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Sri Lanka Equity Forum » Stock Market & Forum Help » Political and Socio-Economic Analysis » Political uncertainty to affect the stock market?

Political uncertainty to affect the stock market?

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Sstar

Sstar
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
පොදු අපේක්ෂකයා මෛත්‍රීපාල
2014 නොවැම්බර් 21 වෙනි සිකුරාදා, 06:37
0 COMMENTS
 ඊ-තැපැල:: මුද්‍රණය ::පී.ඩී.එෆ් (PDF) 

Political uncertainty to affect the stock market? Mithreepala_sirisena
ඒකාබද්ධ විපක්ෂ දේශපාලන පක්ෂ ජනාධිපතිවරණයේ පොදු අපේකෂකයා ලෙස සෞඛ්‍ය ඇමති මෛත්‍රීපාල සිරිසේන මහතා නම් කර ඇති බව වාර්තා වේ. ඇමතිවරයාද මේ සඳහා සිය එකඟතාවය පළකර තිබේ.
ඇමති මෛත්‍රීපාල සිරිසේන මහතා සමග කාලයක් තිස්සේ කරගෙන ගිය සාකච්ඡා වට කිහිපයක් අවසානයේදී එජාපය ඇතුළු විපක්ෂ දේශපාලන පක්ෂ මෙම එකඟතාවයට පැමිණ තිබේ.
මෛත්‍රීපාල සිරිසේන මහතා ආණ්ඩුවෙන් ඉවත්වෙනවාත් සමඟ ඔහු සමග ඇමතිවරු ගණනාවක් ඒකාබද්ධ විපක්ෂයට එක්වීමට තීරණය කර තිබේ. ඒ වගේම මැතිවරණය අතරතුරදීත් අමාත්‍යවරුන් සිරිසේන මහතාට සහාය පිණිස ආණ්ඩුවෙන් ඉවත් වීමට තීරණය කර ඇතැයි විශ්වාස කටයුතු ආරංචිමාර්ග තහවුරු කරයි.



http://www.lankatruth.com/home/sinhala/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=12685:2014-11-20-11-40-08&catid=36:2011-10-17-04-27-38&Itemid=72

ආණ්ඩුවේ ප්‍රබල පිපිරීමක්
2014 නොවැම්බර් 20 වෙනි බ්‍රහස්පතින්දා, 17:09
1 COMMENTS
 ඊ-තැපැල:: මුද්‍රණය ::පී.ඩී.එෆ් (PDF) 
Political uncertainty to affect the stock market? Chogm_rajapaksha_thumb_medium200_ජනාධිපතිවරණය ප්‍රකාශයට පත් කිරීමත් සමග ආණ්ඩුවේ ඇමතිවරුන් ගණනාවක් ඉවත්වීමට සූදානම් වන බව වාර්තා වේ. ඇතැම් වාර්තා සඳහන් කරන්නේ එම සංඛ්‍යාව 20ත් 28ත් අතර වන බවය.
විපක්ෂයේ ප්‍රබලයෙකු ආණ්ඩුවට එකතු කර ගැනීම සඳහා දැරූ සියලු ප්‍රයත්න මේ වනවිට බිඳවැටී ඇති බවද ආණ්ඩුවේ පිරිස් ඉවත්වීමට සූදානම් වී ඇති බව තහවුරු වී ඇත. මේ අතර ජ්‍යෙෂ්ඨ ඇමතිවරුන් මෙන්ම ශ්‍රී ලංකා නිදහස් පක්ෂයේ ප්‍රබලයින්ද සිටින බව අනාවරණය වේ.
ඉදිරි දින කිහිපය තුළදී මහින්ද රාජපක්ෂ මහතාට දරාගත නොහැකි මට්ටමේ බොහෝ සිදුවීම් සිදුවීමට නියමිත බව වැඩි දුරටත් හෙළි වේ.

shadow walker

shadow walker
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
http://lankacnews.com/sinhala/news/125111/

ආණ්‌ඩුවේ මැති ඇමැතිවරුන් පිරිසක්‌ අද (21 දා) විශේෂ ප්‍රකාශයක්‌ කර විපක්‍ෂයේ අසුන් ගැනීමේ උත්සාහයක්‌ පවතින බව දේශපාලන ආරංචි මාර්ග පවසයි.

මේ පිරිස ඊයේ (20 දා) හිටපු ප්‍රබල දේශපාලනඥයකුගේ නිව සේදී හමුවී රහසිගත සාකච්ඡාවක්‌ ද පවත්වා ඇතැයි එම ආරංචි මාර්ග පවසයි.

ප්‍රබල ඇමැතිවරුන් සහ ආණ්‌ඩුවේ දිස්‌ත්‍රික්‌ නායකයන් කිහිප දෙනෙක්‌ද මේ පිරිසට අයත් බව පැවසේ.

මේ අතර විපක්‍ෂයට යන බව පැවසෙන අය තවදුරටත් ආණ්‌ඩු පක්‍ෂයේ රඳවා ගැනීම සඳහා ආණ්‌ඩුවේ තවත් ප්‍රබලයන් පිරිසක්‌ එසේ යන බවට සැකකරන අය සමග සාකච්ඡා වට කිහිපයක්‌ද පවත්වා ඇතැයි දැනගන්නට තිබේ.

එක්‌සත් ජාතික පක්‍ෂයෙන් ආණ්‌ඩුවට සම්බන්ධවී ඇමැති ධුර දැරූ කිහිප දෙනෙක්‌ද මේ අතර සිටින බව සඳහන් වේ. විශේෂයෙන්ම ඉදිරි මහ මැතිවරණයකදී එම පිරිසට ආණ්‌ඩු පක්‍ෂයෙන් තරග කර පාර්ලිමේන්තුවට පිවිසීමට ඇති අපහසුතාව මෙලෙස එම පිරිස්‌ යළි එජාපයට එක්‌වීමට හේතුව බවද තවදුරටත් පැවැසේ.

මතුව ඇති වර්තමාන තත්ත්වය හමුවේ හදිසි කැබිනට්‌ සංශෝධනයක්‌ කිරීමට නියමිත බව දේශපාලන ආරංචි මාර්ග පවසයි. මෙහිදී මෙතෙක්‌ එතරම් වැදගත් ඇමැති ධුර හිමිව නොතිබූ ශ්‍රීලනි පක්‍ෂයේ ප්‍රබලයන්ට ඉදිරියේදී ප්‍රධාන පෙළේ ඇමැති ධුර ලැබීමට නියමිත බවද එම ආරංචි මාර්ගවලින් පැවසේ.

එසේම ජනාධිපතිවරයා සතුව පවතින අමාත්‍යාංශ සහ චම්පික රණවක ඇමැතිවරයා විසින් දරන ලද අමාත්‍යාංශය සහ විපක්‍ෂයට එක්‌වන බවට පැවසෙන ඇමැතිවරුන්ගේ අමාත්‍යාංශ මෙලෙස ශ්‍රීලනිප ප්‍රබලයන්ට ලබාදීමට නියමිතය.

– Divaina

opfdo

opfdo
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@shadow walker wrote:http://lankacnews.com/sinhala/news/125111/

ආණ්‌ඩුවේ මැති ඇමැතිවරුන් පිරිසක්‌ අද (21 දා) විශේෂ ප්‍රකාශයක්‌ කර විපක්‍ෂයේ අසුන් ගැනීමේ උත්සාහයක්‌ පවතින බව දේශපාලන ආරංචි මාර්ග පවසයි.

මේ පිරිස ඊයේ (20 දා) හිටපු ප්‍රබල දේශපාලනඥයකුගේ නිව සේදී හමුවී රහසිගත සාකච්ඡාවක්‌ ද පවත්වා ඇතැයි එම ආරංචි මාර්ග පවසයි.

ප්‍රබල ඇමැතිවරුන් සහ ආණ්‌ඩුවේ දිස්‌ත්‍රික්‌ නායකයන් කිහිප දෙනෙක්‌ද මේ පිරිසට අයත් බව පැවසේ.

මේ අතර විපක්‍ෂයට යන බව පැවසෙන අය තවදුරටත් ආණ්‌ඩු පක්‍ෂයේ රඳවා ගැනීම සඳහා ආණ්‌ඩුවේ තවත් ප්‍රබලයන් පිරිසක්‌ එසේ යන බවට සැකකරන අය සමග සාකච්ඡා වට කිහිපයක්‌ද පවත්වා ඇතැයි දැනගන්නට තිබේ.

එක්‌සත් ජාතික පක්‍ෂයෙන් ආණ්‌ඩුවට සම්බන්ධවී ඇමැති ධුර දැරූ කිහිප දෙනෙක්‌ද මේ අතර සිටින බව සඳහන් වේ. විශේෂයෙන්ම ඉදිරි මහ මැතිවරණයකදී එම පිරිසට ආණ්‌ඩු පක්‍ෂයෙන් තරග කර පාර්ලිමේන්තුවට පිවිසීමට ඇති අපහසුතාව මෙලෙස එම පිරිස්‌ යළි එජාපයට එක්‌වීමට හේතුව බවද තවදුරටත් පැවැසේ.

මතුව ඇති වර්තමාන තත්ත්වය හමුවේ හදිසි කැබිනට්‌ සංශෝධනයක්‌ කිරීමට නියමිත බව දේශපාලන ආරංචි මාර්ග පවසයි. මෙහිදී මෙතෙක්‌ එතරම් වැදගත් ඇමැති ධුර හිමිව නොතිබූ ශ්‍රීලනි පක්‍ෂයේ ප්‍රබලයන්ට ඉදිරියේදී ප්‍රධාන පෙළේ ඇමැති ධුර ලැබීමට නියමිත බවද එම ආරංචි මාර්ගවලින් පැවසේ.

එසේම ජනාධිපතිවරයා සතුව පවතින අමාත්‍යාංශ සහ චම්පික රණවක ඇමැතිවරයා විසින් දරන ලද අමාත්‍යාංශය සහ විපක්‍ෂයට එක්‌වන බවට පැවසෙන ඇමැතිවරුන්ගේ අමාත්‍යාංශ මෙලෙස ශ්‍රීලනිප ප්‍රබලයන්ට ලබාදීමට නියමිතය.

– Divaina

kattiya panic......Sudda buying

Dhehan

Dhehan
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Yes Suddah will be smart

Patchchasira


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
Who ever gets elected no one will have policies that will effect the economy adversely, so why panic?

Invest-Wise

Invest-Wise
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
unnecessary panic has set in. With UNP or UPFA the market should not get affected as economy is still in tact. What is it with our people.....love to just panic.

opfdo

opfdo
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Invest-Wise wrote:unnecessary panic has set in. With UNP or UPFA the market should not get affected as economy is still in tact. What is it with our people.....love to just panic.  

nature of foolish, sorry to use that word

Sarabulathwita

Sarabulathwita
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
mona pissuda ban - maithree pala owa karala passa bima anaganna tharam modayek nemai ban. Ehema modayeknam parlimenthu manthree kenek waida ???

ape investors la mee lokewath nathi moda ralak.

ONTHEMONEY


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Yes it is true that political instability has an impact on CSE.

If Maithreepala is the common candidate it will be a good race and if he wins we can see changes in economic sentiments and projects. Don't know how these will impact on companies?

However if MR wins it will boost projects already started.

ONTHEMONEY


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Sources reveal that Maithreepala to run over with 60 PMs.Is it true?

Invest-Wise

Invest-Wise
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
20 ministers is what i hear. I know more to cross in the next few days.

SHARK aka TAH

SHARK aka TAH
Expert
Expert
@ONTHEMONEY wrote:Yes it is true that political instability has an impact on CSE.

If Maithreepala is the common candidate it will be a good race and if he wins we can see changes in economic sentiments and projects. Don't know how these will impact on companies?

However if MR wins it will boost projects already started.
i am telling deffa... it will be positive......


Gainer

Gainer
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
More more better for the market next winner 100% alien

Nuwan Samarawickrama


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@SHARK aka TAH wrote:
@ONTHEMONEY wrote:Yes it is true that political instability has an impact on CSE.

If Maithreepala is the common candidate it will be a good race and if he wins we can see changes in economic sentiments and projects. Don't know how these will impact on companies?

However if MR wins it will boost projects already started.
i am telling deffa... it will be positive......



Dear Shark

what will happen if this continue next week ????

nalban


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
A lot of people comment here with political affiliation,
what I learn today is investors react negatively to instability. I don't think government had time to organize a mega share sell to create a situation.

we need to think about the country in long term we were just coming out of the mega mess we were in last 30 years. Things going to be bloody mess if we don't think long term with country first attitude.

Today is just a glimpse of what could come due to political instability in SL which was the mega plan of most of the western powers and LTTE rump.
I am actually sad. I am not a die hard MR supporter but I dream about SL leapfrogging , now it is not sure with people only thinking about their personal agendas. we cannot enjoy little wins at CSE when country could be in trouble.

Gainer

Gainer
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
only today market down from monday bull run because of highly expecting winner is alien

NC

NC
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Today is Special Xmas sales day for buyers... everywhere sellers at 20%, 30% discount...

Political uncertainty to affect the stock market? Troll-dad-dance-smiley-emoticon

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
In the short run market is like a weighing machine. When we buy stocks it is always better to target mid and long term. Short term market volatility will be there in the coming two decades. Because there are different types of market players in the market. In my previous posts I said it is better to keep stocks which are suitable for during uncertainty times as well. I am in the process of re balancing my portfolio.
In some period market create special opportunities.

Good luck

NC

NC
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
We can look at the end of the day how much price has been rejected with the panic selling... Very Happy

man123


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@NC wrote:We can look at the end of the day how much price has been rejected with the panic selling... Very Happy

not much turn back ASI down much but its good for healthy market, Monday market may turn back otherwise better to wait and collect little down

worthiness


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Watch Sirasa Now...What is going on.....

Gainer

Gainer
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
In what appeared to be a major political strategy, the United National Party (UNP) today decided to support SLFP General Secretary and Health Minister Maithripala Sirisena as the common candidate for the upcoming presidential election.
 
UNP Assistant General Secretary Akila Viraj Kariyawasam said the members of the UNP’s G-20, which was set up to take decisions on the presidential election, made this decision when they met this morning.
 
He said a final decision would be taken at the party’s Working Committee meeting this evening
- See more at: http://www.dailymirror.lk/emergency/57095#sthash.eFkkV3Fu.dpuf      alien alien alien alien alien alien alien alien alien alien alien alien

Sstar

Sstar
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
We might have this down trend continue until election results are announced. I am waiting to do my buying in January.. Smile

schemer


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
there is no uncertainty in the outcome of the process.
I personally like if ranil contest and come clean to power without help of this plot .but as usually politics is a dirty game. it is same this time too.
Ranil will be the powerfull prim minister.
maithree will be the head of state with the ministry of defence in his hand.
foreign parties are aware of this outcome ,that is the reason for increase foreign buying last few weeks.
looks like some western influence also involved through chanrdika good or bad.
some strong nationalistic politicians are in, therefore little relief. rathna thera ,champika, sajith,jvp etc.

Dhehan

Dhehan
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
My3 : Will support you and corrupt MR will go home

Patchchasira


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
Few questions:
1) What did CBK do to develop the country and defeat LTTE terror as claimed by MS?  
2) Does anyone believe that MS will be independent of CBK and her manipulations?
3) Even if MS is elected, will the JHU agree to some of the things that they are planning to do (especially regarding implementation of the 13th Amendment) and then what happens to the stability of GOSL?
4) Are any of these politicians beyond corruption?
5) Will minority parties agree to a parliamentary system instead of a proportionally represented system?
6) And what's with the crying between CBK and MS? are these leadership qualities?

Dhehan

Dhehan
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
It seams business entrepreneurs and some big shots are always favor of MR for security of their investments.

In general apart from the above, people really need a change to eliminate this corrupt family politics.
(Point no:4 - We can not stop 100% corruption in politics yet we could save unnecessary wast of our country's resources from MR business)

Patchchasira


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
@Dhehan wrote:It seams business entrepreneurs and some big shots are always favor of MR for security of their investments.

In general apart from the above, people really need a change to eliminate this corrupt family politics.
(Point no:4 - We can not stop 100% corruption in politics yet we could save unnecessary wast of our country's resources from MR business)
           

No! I just asked a few questions any sane person would ask. I believe MS was being deceptive and  has become a pawn of CBK lead interests! After the euphoria what next! All I saw was personal grievences and the usual BS about corruption (easy to say hard to prove and everyone accuses the governing party as long as they are in the opposition) laid out in front of the public. Except for constitutional changes I did not hear anything about the future of this nation.

nalban


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
patchchasira you have a very sound argument.

People with common sense will understand all these crossovers are done on personal grievances not to protect country.

MS wanted premiership , CBK we all know.

As I have mentioned earlier this Fruit salad politics wont sustain , we as the investor community have got a lot to worry now for due to political instability that would drag the country backwards in next year.




Octopus

Octopus
Expert
Expert
@Sstar wrote:We might have this down trend continue until election results are announced. I am waiting to do my buying in January.. Smile

Sstar, I think you should start buying now ... I mean now...slowly but steadily..Now itself rather wait till the election results. Once the election results out, we are done and market will start moving again.

Personally, This is the time I am going to show my maturity in CSE. I have been in CSE for long time. I have been through most of the the blood baths. I survived. This news is nothing comparing to what we had in the past. so I am prepared.

Play smart.... Collect... Sell High.... I'd satisfied with small returns now probably..10%

I hope we'll get good opportunities till the election end



Last edited by Octopus on Sat Nov 22, 2014 6:19 pm; edited 2 times in total

SHARK aka TAH

SHARK aka TAH
Expert
Expert
I think no need to wait till jan to BUY, we should buy according to price actions..... so we will not miss our favorite share or shares

Octopus

Octopus
Expert
Expert
@SHARK aka TAH wrote:I think no need to wait till jan to BUY, we should buy according to price actions..... so we will not miss our favorite share or shares


exactly shark. I agree with you 100% That's what I thought too.
I think we should have some cash in hand to some extend to grab the opportunities along the way to election. we will see opportunities in coming months rather after election.

Balanced_Views


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
EVERYONE CALM DOWN!!!

Market will do fine in the medium and long term!

So dont panic

dow

dow
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
some people exit from the market previous dip at 7400 ..
some people panic exit this dip at 7500..
both are waiting for enter again 2015 January..
so January we can't buy this discounted price valuable stock..

better for start the collection this level
if will UNP come to the stage, we will see another 2010 market again. don't miss it.
buy only valuable and future winning stocks.Smile

D.G.Dayaratne


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
I fully agree God advice

Buy only fundamentally sound stocks

Senior Citizen

Senior Citizen
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Dhehan wrote:My3 : Will support you and corrupt MR will go home

Dhehan,

I think you just infringed on the copy rights law on the use of MY3. I am the first to use that term or code name for Mipaithripala.

Just Joking man! Very Happy

SC

Sstar

Sstar
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Visit the Separate Section of the Forum as given below for Political and Socio-Economic Analysis of the Stock Market.

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/f9-political-and-socio-economic-analysis

D.G.Dayaratne


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Expectation of MT3 will boost stock market from Monday

If not mauplated by Authorities

ONTHEMONEY


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
We had a massive run in the market and high potential for a profit taking based on this incident. I think investors will be on sidelines till mid December.

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
We need to analyze which sectors have more to gain and lose in a crisis, and decide on mid and a long-term plan. This type of uncertainty can lead to great opportunities for investors who position themselves to take advantage of it. Some investors might decide to be offensive and that will lead to great returns when things turn around.

As long as major uptrend is intact we can stay bullish.

Good luck!

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