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Sri Lanka Equity Forum » Stock Market Talk » The dream I saw about KGAL prices

The dream I saw about KGAL prices

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1The dream  I saw about KGAL prices Empty The dream I saw about KGAL prices on Tue May 31, 2011 11:07 pm

ipoguru


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
It is great to be rich at least in dreams.
I was rich in my dream. I had 50,000 shares of KGAL collected at 200 rupees. And networth of me is about 100 million rupees and KGAL is about 10% of my portfollio.

And quarterly results were out and the results fulfil the expectations. When I check the order book I could see huge selling pressure at 250 levels but I did not see much buying pressure. I also wanted to sell at 275 or high with this order book I saw I will not get a chance. It seem everybody interested about KGAL has bought the share before reports out and now not much interest from rest of the crowd at CSE.

Hmmm I thought for a while. It came to me like a flash. To make the price up I need get these stupid retailers to sell their share at low prices.

So I decided to play a game. Even if I loose the game I will still get profit.

I dumped my 10000 shares from 227 rupees to 215 rupees time to time dragging the price down with me
I saw some retailers join happily and no increase in buying pressure.

I dumped another 5000 shares from 215 to 210 rupees. Still I didn't see buying pressure increasing. So I decided not to buy at this levels. I informed my obidient broker firms not to recommend KGAL at this price levels since it is going down rapidly. They will give 100 reasons for their customers.

At the day end trade book looks like this. I am happy that 34000 shares that contributed to selling pressure has been sold.

ime Price Quantity Change Splits Side

(14:11:08) 210.00 100 -8.60 1 Buy
(14:01:05) 208.00 100 -10.60 1 Sell
(14:01:05) 208.10 100 -10.50 1 Sell
(14:01:05) 208.40 300 -10.20 1 Sell
(14:01:05) 208.50 100 -10.10 1 Sell
(14:01:05) 208.60 400 -10.00 1 Sell
(13:57:43) 208.60 100 -10.00 1 Sell
(13:55:08) 210.00 200 -8.60 2 Buy
(13:47:49) 210.00 100 -8.60 1 Sell
(13:27:13) 210.00 100 -8.60 1 Buy
(13:26:17) 210.00 900 -8.60 1 Sell
(13:26:12) 210.00 100 -8.60 1 Sell
(13:25:25) 210.50 1,000 -8.10 1 Sell
(13:08:27) 211.90 200 -6.70 1 Buy
(12:27:24) 210.00 900 -8.60 5 Sell
(12:27:24) 211.10 100 -7.50 1 Sell
(12:26:10) 212.00 400 -6.60 2 Sell
(12:17:25) 212.00 200 -6.60 1 Sell
(12:17:25) 212.10 300 -6.50 1 Sell
(11:46:12) 214.00 2,000 -4.60 1 Buy
(11:45:59) 214.00 2,000 -4.60 1 Buy
(11:45:20) 214.00 1,000 -4.60 1 Buy
(11:45:19) 214.00 100 -4.60 1 Buy
(11:44:58) 213.90 100 -4.70 1 Buy
(11:34:31) 214.00 100 -4.60 1 Buy
(11:32:32) 210.00 100 -8.60 1 Sell
(11:32:32) 210.50 200 -8.10 1 Sell
(11:32:32) 212.00 200 -6.60 2 Sell
(11:27:59) 212.90 1,000 -5.70 1 Buy
(11:27:19) 212.90 200 -5.70 1 Buy
(11:21:28) 212.90 100 -5.70 1 Buy
(11:21:01) 212.90 100 -5.70 1 Buy
(11:19:58) 212.90 100 -5.70 1 Sell
(11:18:33) 214.00 200 -4.60 1 Buy
(11:08:51) 214.00 200 -4.60 2 Sell
(11:01:13) 215.00 100 -3.60 1 Buy
(11:00:38) 215.00 1,000 -3.60 1 Buy
(11:00:31) 215.00 200 -3.60 1 Buy
(10:52:50) 215.50 100 -3.10 1 Sell
(10:49:08) 215.10 400 -3.50 1 Buy
(10:48:05) 214.00 100 -4.60 1 Sell
(10:47:46) 215.10 500 -3.50 1 Buy
(10:45:28) 215.10 100 -3.50 1 Sell
(10:42:33) 215.10 400 -3.50 1 Sell
(10:42:33) 215.80 100 -2.80 1 Sell
(10:37:36) 216.00 100 -2.60 1 Sell
(10:31:50) 216.00 3,700 -2.60 2 Sell
(10:31:50) 217.90 100 -0.70 1 Sell
(10:31:50) 218.00 700 -0.60 1 Sell
(10:24:37) 218.00 300 -0.60 1 Buy
(10:24:18) 216.00 100 -2.60 1 Sell
(10:23:36) 216.00 4,300 -2.60 2 Sell
(10:23:36) 216.10 200 -2.50 1 Sell
(10:22:24) 218.00 4,700 -0.60 1 Sell
(10:22:20) 218.00 300 -0.60 1 Sell
(10:22:02) 218.10 300 -0.50 1 Sell
(10:22:02) 219.00 600 0.40 1 Buy
(10:06:58) 220.00 300 1.40 1 Buy
(10:02:07) 218.10 100 -0.50 1 Sell
(10:01:38) 218.10 1,000 -0.50 3 Sell
(09:50:56) 220.00 200 1.40 1 Buy
(09:50:08) 220.00 1,300 1.40 1 Sell
(09:50:01) 220.00 600 1.40 1 Sell
(09:49:54) 221.50 100 2.90 1 Buy
(09:48:22) 220.00 100 1.40 1 Buy
(09:47:56) 220.00 400 1.40 1 Buy
(09:45:35) 220.00 800 1.40 1 Buy
(09:45:27) 220.00 200 1.40 1 Sell
(09:44:53) 222.00 400 3.40 1 Buy
(09:44:37) 221.90 600 3.30 1 Buy
(09:44:08) 220.00 300 1.40 1 Buy
(09:43:56) 220.00 500 1.40 2 Buy
(09:43:24) 219.00 200 0.40 1 Sell
(09:43:22) 220.00 500 1.40 1 Buy
(09:43:05) 220.00 200 1.40 1 Buy
(09:43:01) 220.00 5,000 1.40 1 Sell
(09:42:58) 220.00 1,000 1.40 1 Sell
(09:42:18) 222.00 500 3.40 1 Buy
(09:41:10) 222.00 500 3.40 1 Buy
(09:40:20) 222.20 200 3.60 1 Buy
(09:39:37) 222.20 300 3.60 1 Buy
(09:39:12) 222.20 600 3.60 2 Sell
(09:39:07) 222.20 2,000 3.60 1 Sell
(09:37:56) 222.20 100 3.60 1 Sell
(09:37:29) 222.20 100 3.60 1 Sell
(09:37:21) 224.00 300 5.40 1 Buy
(09:36:59) 222.20 400 3.60 1 Sell
(09:36:59) 222.30 100 3.70 1 Sell
(09:36:18) 224.00 200 5.40 1 Buy
(09:33:46) 225.00 800 6.40 3 Sell
(09:33:08) 228.00 1,000 9.40 1 Buy
(09:33:04) 228.00 6,000 9.40 2 Buy
(09:33:04) 227.50 2,000 8.90 2 Buy
(09:32:46) 225.00 1,000 6.40 2 Sell
(09:32:20) 227.50 1,000 8.90 1 Buy
(09:31:02) 228.00 4,000 9.40 1 Buy
(09:31:02) 227.00 500 8.40 2 Buy
(09:31:02) 226.00 500 7.40 1 Buy
(09:30:01) 225.20 1,000 6.60 1 Buy



The next day arrived. Initially it tried to go up I did dump another 5000 shares at 210 levels and the again prices started to go down.

After that I did not dump any shares and I collected back 20,000 shares silently by putting small orders of 1000's some times 100's at about 202 rupees. Also I informed my allies to collect as much as possible silently.

It is so easy to trade when you know you are the master. No fear at all.

End of the day trade book did look like follows.

Time Price Quantity Change Splits Side
14:28:17 204.9 1,400 -4.8 1 Buy
14:27:30 204.9 100 -4.8 1 Buy
14:23:33 201.1 400 -8.6 1 Sell
14:23:33 201.2 100 -8.5 1 Sell
14:18:45 201 300 -8.7 1 Sell
14:17:16 201 700 -8.7 6 Sell
14:13:29 201.1 700 -8.6 2 Sell
14:08:54 201 1,100 -8.7 3 Sell
14:08:54 201.1 400 -8.6 4 Sell
14:08:54 201.2 500 -8.5 1 Sell
13:47:15 201 600 -8.7 2 Sell
13:40:41 201 500 -8.7 1 Buy
13:39:50 201 300 -8.7 1 Buy
13:39:31 201 600 -8.7 4 Sell
13:38:29 201 100 -8.7 1 Sell
13:38:29 201.5 500 -8.2 1 Sell
13:38:09 202 500 -7.7 1 Buy
13:37:57 202 500 -7.7 4 Sell
13:37:57 202.1 100 -7.6 1 Sell
13:35:41 203 200 -6.7 1 Sell
13:35:41 203.1 400 -6.6 3 Sell
13:35:41 204 100 -5.7 1 Sell
13:32:03 206 1,500 -3.7 1 Buy
13:20:18 205 400 -4.7 1 Buy
13:18:11 205 3,000 -4.7 1 Buy
13:04:34 204.5 500 -5.2 1 Buy
12:59:31 204 300 -5.7 1 Buy
12:50:11 204 100 -5.7 1 Buy
12:48:00 204 100 -5.7 1 Buy
12:47:33 204 1,000 -5.7 1 Buy
12:34:51 204 1,100 -5.7 2 Sell
12:26:10 204 100 -5.7 1 Buy
12:21:22 204 200 -5.7 1 Buy
11:46:19 205 100 -4.7 1 Buy
11:28:16 200.4 100 -9.3 1 Sell
11:27:44 200.4 800 -9.3 1 Sell
11:27:44 200.5 100 -9.2 1 Sell
11:27:44 200.6 100 -9.1 1 Sell
11:25:26 200.5 1,100 -9.2 1 Sell
11:25:26 200.6 300 -9.1 1 Sell
11:25:26 201 1,000 -8.7 1 Sell
11:23:32 205 1,000 -4.7 1 Buy
11:22:35 200.9 800 -8.8 2 Sell
11:22:01 201 1,000 -8.7 1 Sell
11:17:29 201 1,100 -8.7 2 Sell
11:16:42 201 1,000 -8.7 1 Sell
11:09:33 201 1,800 -8.7 3 Sell
10:56:38 201 500 -8.7 2 Sell
10:52:43 205 500 -4.7 1 Buy
10:51:37 201.5 2,000 -8.2 1 Sell
10:50:48 202 3,000 -7.7 2 Sell
10:49:42 206.9 100 -2.8 1 Buy
10:47:03 202 1,200 -7.7 1 Buy
10:46:41 202 4,000 -7.7 3 Buy
10:46:39 202 100 -7.7 1 Buy
10:46:34 202 100 -7.7 1 Buy
10:45:42 202 1,000 -7.7 1 Buy
10:45:15 202 200 -7.7 1 Buy
10:44:51 202 300 -7.7 1 Buy
10:44:33 202 100 -7.7 1 Buy
10:44:28 202 2,500 -7.7 1 Buy
10:42:14 202 500 -7.7 3 Sell
10:34:25 202 300 -7.7 1 Sell
10:34:25 202.1 100 -7.6 1 Sell
10:13:54 201 600 -8.7 2 Sell
10:13:54 201.5 200 -8.2 1 Sell
10:13:54 202.2 1,000 -7.5 1 Sell
10:13:54 202.5 1,000 -7.2 1 Sell
10:13:54 203 400 -6.7 2 Sell
10:13:54 204 100 -5.7 1 Sell
10:12:00 203.1 200 -6.6 1 Sell
9:51:37 205 500 -4.7 1 Sell
9:51:37 205.5 300 -4.2 2 Sell
9:33:35 210 1,000 0.3 1 Buy
9:32:06 210 200 0.3 1 Buy
9:31:27 210 1,800 0.3 1 Sell
9:31:18 210 2,000 0.3 1 Sell
9:30:02 210 1,000 0.3 1 Buy



With this game I got some profit and got 50000 shares intact. You may say total value of portfolio gone down.
Who cares now much of the selling pressure is removed the road is clear for big ride. May be I let those stupid retailers sell their shares at low price for few days more and make the road more clear for me. I and my allies are collecting so that we can set up the game for the big rally.

With the selling pressure reduce I can increase the price in no time.

I know those stupid retailers who bought the share at 230 levels and sold at 202 will again jump into the boat at 250 or 275 levels seeking quick cash.

No issue. I felt like Malinga bowling to under 13 school cricket team.

Then I wake up......

:lol!:

2The dream  I saw about KGAL prices Empty Re: The dream I saw about KGAL prices on Tue May 31, 2011 11:25 pm

FXX

FXX
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@ipoguru wrote:
I know those stupid retailers who bought the share at 230 levels and sold at 202 will again jump into the boat at 250 or 275 levels seeking quick cash.

well said mate, people who buy shares in past 2 days are real winners

rep+

3The dream  I saw about KGAL prices Empty Re: The dream I saw about KGAL prices on Tue May 31, 2011 11:33 pm

xhora

xhora
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
If I had a pile of cash Sad
so couldn't buy more of KGAL

4The dream  I saw about KGAL prices Empty Re: The dream I saw about KGAL prices on Wed Jun 01, 2011 7:52 am

milanka

milanka
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@xhora wrote:If I had a pile of cash Sad
so couldn't buy more of KGAL

@xHora ,

The bag you are carrying , I thought contains lot of cash, . lol!

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/u188

5The dream  I saw about KGAL prices Empty Re: The dream I saw about KGAL prices on Wed Jun 01, 2011 9:27 am

xmart

xmart
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@ipoguru,

it is classical. the exact way of CSE. + for the story.

6The dream  I saw about KGAL prices Empty Re: The dream I saw about KGAL prices on Wed Jun 01, 2011 9:56 am

ipoguru


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
100 milion is quite a lot money for me. But .........

There are quite a few billioners in CSE. Let them apart and think there could be how many people with 100 million. I think a lot. It should be in 1000's range.

So you see it is quite easy to manipulate a counter like KGAL even with 100 million.

This is the reason that we see lot of guys in this forum saying they can't believe the price movement of particular share.

There could be 1000's of manipulators in CSE. They are not the one's to blamed but the crowd following stupid retailers who are looking for quick cash are to be blamed.

If there are no fish in the river no body going fishing there.



Last edited by ipoguru on Wed Jun 01, 2011 11:43 am; edited 2 times in total

7The dream  I saw about KGAL prices Empty Re: The dream I saw about KGAL prices on Wed Jun 01, 2011 10:10 am

xmart

xmart
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
hit the bottom KGAL. sellers please come down and dance with me. lol

8The dream  I saw about KGAL prices Empty Re: The dream I saw about KGAL prices on Wed Jun 01, 2011 11:18 am

RIO

RIO
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Nicely said...! not only KGAL it applies to COCO N - today...see the pattern of trades...!

9The dream  I saw about KGAL prices Empty Re: The dream I saw about KGAL prices on Wed Jun 01, 2011 12:59 pm

Mega


Stock Trader
looks KGAL going further down

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