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Sri Lanka Equity Forum » Stock Market Talk » ASPI will reach 6500 this month

ASPI will reach 6500 this month

Go down  Message [Page 1 of 1]

1ASPI will reach 6500 this month Empty ASPI will reach 6500 this month on Fri May 16, 2014 5:57 pm

Meman


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
With the current market momentum ASPI will reach 6500 this month. We see positive results coming in and few more to come.

2ASPI will reach 6500 this month Empty Re: ASPI will reach 6500 this month on Fri May 16, 2014 6:36 pm

barba


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Some say it should go to 6700. How about that

3ASPI will reach 6500 this month Empty Re: ASPI will reach 6500 this month on Fri May 16, 2014 6:53 pm

dhanurrox


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
This way is better,slow and steady.

4ASPI will reach 6500 this month Empty Re: ASPI will reach 6500 this month on Fri May 16, 2014 7:05 pm

Balanced_Views


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Meman wrote:With the current market momentum ASPI will reach 6500 this month. We see positive results coming in and few more to come.

It will be mid-June when it reaches 6500. But it should. Buy shares where good results are expected. Sell banking shares and buy LIOC, TKYO, HHL

5ASPI will reach 6500 this month Empty Re: ASPI will reach 6500 this month on Fri May 16, 2014 8:40 pm

schemer


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
I also think it can reach 6500.snag is corporate results is below expectation.

6ASPI will reach 6500 this month Empty Re: ASPI will reach 6500 this month on Fri May 16, 2014 8:45 pm

cse1981

cse1981
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
withing 10 market day

7ASPI will reach 6500 this month Empty Re: ASPI will reach 6500 this month on Fri May 16, 2014 10:04 pm

shadow walker

shadow walker
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
with the financial statements of LIOC..TKYO..TJL..LGL... market will fly to 6700 in june..

8ASPI will reach 6500 this month Empty Re: ASPI will reach 6500 this month on Fri May 16, 2014 11:23 pm

worthiness


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Positive market momentum absorbing new investors depicts its directions with casual dips. Determination of index level & related time period may be varying with in & out of foreign traders' intervention. Also, correction of overbought & oversold situations are to be adjusted itself.

9ASPI will reach 6500 this month Empty Re: ASPI will reach 6500 this month on Sat May 17, 2014 6:57 am

dhanurrox


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@shadow walker wrote:with the financial statements of LIOC..TKYO..TJL..LGL... market will fly to 6700 in june..
Above shares may perform well but index is not hitting 6700 because of that.

10ASPI will reach 6500 this month Empty Re: ASPI will reach 6500 this month on Sat May 17, 2014 8:28 am

gagamini


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
See the foreign inflow of yesterday . Due to JKH it is over one billion . Is not this a very good sign of marching our Market beyond 6500 ? . It looks foreigners are having a big confidence on our market . Indian factor too may affect us positively like . When Indian market BSE breaks 25000 mark and march towards 30,000 with influx of foreign funds into Indian market spill over from that market to CSE could happen . May be signs of that appearing with yesterday foreign buying .

However , if our political leaders could grab this opportunity and improve a very good relationship with our naghbour in respect of political , economic and other important aspects , CSE even could break 10,000 mark by the end of year .

If that doesn't materialize , growth of our market would not be that aggressive and India like surge of Stock Market would happen only after regime change for which signs are appearing . If we talk frankly , It is high time for it . In India it happened after 10 years which is a longer period for them and we are now 20 years and it is must . Arrival of business friendly corruption free government could witness an arrival of golden era for CSE . Let us wait for that .

11ASPI will reach 6500 this month Empty Re: ASPI will reach 6500 this month on Sat May 17, 2014 8:43 am

SHARK aka TAH

SHARK aka TAH
Expert
Expert
How to improve relationship when the indian fishermen porching on a daily basis in our waters.mara will not do anything and our fishing folk should make satyagraha infront of jaffna Indian consular office to send a strong signal to the indian govt that tamilnadu politicos trying to drag the central govt I to the picture by not doing anything to prevent illegal porching.

12ASPI will reach 6500 this month Empty Re: ASPI will reach 6500 this month on Sat May 17, 2014 9:00 am

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
Some investors and other market players over reacted to India on Indian rupee and other worries including gold crisis there. This situation created great opportunity for intelligent market players. After big sell off in Indian rupee, gold and stocks their economy gradually started to stabilize due to steps taken by Raghuram Rajan a Former International Monetary Fund (IMF) chief economist as a new governor of the country's central bank then at the end of 2013. After some of his progressive policies stocks market started to form intermediate up trend.

13ASPI will reach 6500 this month Empty Re: ASPI will reach 6500 this month on Sat May 17, 2014 9:15 am

Sstar

Sstar
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
My belief is ASPI will reach 9,000 in another 24 months. This is both supported by fundamental and technical analysis. Basis of above assumption is the declining interest rates. Low interest rates will improve future corporate profitability and will shift investors from debt to equity investments. Further low interest rates will fuel real estate prices, domestic investments and overall growth of the economy. Only thing Govt will have to control is the likely rise in the demand pull inflation and the Foreign Exchange rate. They have been quite successful.

Technical Analysts can have a look at the Elliot waves!

14ASPI will reach 6500 this month Empty Re: ASPI will reach 6500 this month on Sat May 17, 2014 9:55 am

VALUEPICK

VALUEPICK
Expert
Expert
Remember we should not underestimate central bank governor in Sri-Lanka. They are creating low interest rate environment to accelerate investment. Times to come companies will have more options to raise their capital. Market goes up and down in stages. Once major up trend form there will be lot of opportunities. So stocks will adjust according to the market situation. Different stocks have different personalities.

Some stocks may be out of favour and must have stagnated now. Their personality will change when market form their major uptrend strongly. They will become break out stocks. I believe some stocks have formed their intermediate uptrend now. If market maintain major up trend they can break their all time high due to their growth higher earnings in the coming quarters and years. If we can identify major uptrend we should not forget any sector. Because all sectors will have uptrend.

15ASPI will reach 6500 this month Empty Re: ASPI will reach 6500 this month on Sat May 17, 2014 10:28 am

stevenapple


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Whatever in a nutshell investors will have a upper hand.we have a great playing field after quite sometime.

16ASPI will reach 6500 this month Empty Re: ASPI will reach 6500 this month on Sat May 17, 2014 10:44 am

gagamini


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@VALUEPICK wrote:Remember we should not underestimate central bank governor in Sri-Lanka. They are creating low interest rate environment to accelerate investment. Times to come companies will have more options to raise their capital. Market goes up and down in stages. Once major up trend form there will be lot of opportunities. So stocks will adjust according to the market situation. Different stocks have different personalities.

Some stocks may be out of favour and must have stagnated now. Their personality will change when market form their major uptrend strongly. They will become break out stocks. I believe some stocks have formed their intermediate uptrend now. If market maintain major up trend they can break their all time high due to their growth higher earnings in the coming quarters and years. If we can identify major uptrend we should not forget any sector. Because all sectors will have uptrend.

There is no argument about positive steps  taken by the Governor of CBSL  which have contributed to

* Reduction of interest rates to multi year low
* Maintaining Rupee value at a stable level benefiting exporter as well as FOREX mkt
* Maintaining Inflation to record low
* Maintaining GDP growth above 7 %
* Maintaining and improving our foreign reserve level above 8 billion USD

Improvement of the above  factors have mainly contributed to the present status of the Stock Market and Further  improvement  of said macro economic factors would make CSE more attractive .

However , one thing we should not forget is despite all very positive developments why private sector credit is not growing  as expected . There are certain factors which are seriously affecting the business confidence of the country . Even though we make a rosy picture of  our development and growth  if private sector does not make new investments and they postpone their development ventures that we may need to think seriously . Coupled with above developments private sector credit growth too improved substantially that would have reflected in the CSE much better than this . Anyhow , we assume in time to come there would be an improvement of this as well .

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