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Sri Lanka Equity Forum » Stock Market Talk » SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000)

SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000)

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201SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Tue May 26, 2015 6:14 pm

EPS


Expert
Expert
Yes. extreemly massive results. Quarter they reported massive 3.17 EPS. For the year end 8.46.
Last quarter end EPS 2.50.
Now reported 3.17. What a Quarter on Quarter growth company.

202SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Tue May 26, 2015 6:28 pm

stocker


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@k9 wrote:Super results.good news for parq lovers.

8.46 EPS FOR 2014/15.
Now the parq is one of the greatest share in cse.

Thanks a lot buddy. Becuase of you i kept this share.

203SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Tue May 26, 2015 6:42 pm

EPS


Expert
Expert
Very important point is, PARQ is now shows continuous QUARTER ON QUARTER growth performance. That is massive plus point for investors to upgrade this share to next level.
Defa PARQ current valuation above 100 with minimum 10 PER.
This first well performing year under Nimal Perera. Never goes back all companies under him. First changing year they reports 8.46 EPS. What a change to the company.
Remember SEMB predicted 6 EPS for 2015. but they deliver 8.46 massive EPS.
SEMB next year forecasted EPS is 11. will see the growth.
Now this shows as a long term holding stock.
Also,
I like to revalue the PARQ at current quarter EPS 3.17 x 4 = 12.68 level.
So, compaire to sector trading PER of 11, PARQ can now valued at Rs.120 range. Will see during next quarter.

204SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Tue May 26, 2015 8:58 pm

shadow walker


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@piras wrote:Better to sell now
please sell immediately...

205SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Tue May 26, 2015 9:00 pm

fireshelter


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
you sell we keep holding

206SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Tue May 26, 2015 9:02 pm

ONTHEMONEY


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Hi Guys,

We can observed a mix note on LALU and PARQ in recent financial performance. Although LALU earned substantial earnings to justify its prices, last Quarter 2014/2015 performance is weak compared to other 3 companies listed ( PARQ, ALUM, ALUF ). All companies in the same group and being in the same industry has recorded a significant growth in revenue. Therefore we cannot expect a super revenue in 1Q 2015/2016 FY. Hence I recommend collect in parcels at below levels if anyone have bought over Rs 80/-.

Though ALUF and ALUM has recorded a healthy growth in sales; prices are little overpriced to recommend. Hence a risk is associated.

However PARQ has displayed impressive results for the last quarter 2014/2015 together with significant growth in QoQ growth. Major contribution via Aluminium business while tiles have also contributed to improve performance.

During 1Q 2014/2015 company has recorded on an EPS of Rs 0.77. However during last quarter it has increased up to Rs 3.17 with constant revenue growth. Hence it is obvious that PARQ would record Rs 3.50 for the 1Q 2015/2016 FY.

I expected PARQ price Rs 125+ and above in medium term. 

Why? 

Company is doing extremely well. Still heavy orders for aluminium products continue.

1. Impressive growth in performance in recent Quarters YoY.

2. Continuously reducing Banks liabilities ultimately increasing NAV, Annualized earnings would justify the above price and above.

3. Highest profits generated in Q4 during last 2 years. Hence we can expect better results. Company has made losses in history. However after the takeover by Lanka Tiles, company is performing well.

4. Strong fundamentals and drivers in the market involved in the list of stockholders. ( e.g Gulam Hussain)

5. High chances for a very attractive dividend.

Not all technically sound shares perform well. In my view a share to perform in the market it should have 2 key components; market drivers+fundamental backing. PARQ has it.

Considering all above facts PARQ displays signs to jump out of blocks. Considering the ill-liquid nature I recommend to hold as a Long term Investment.


Happy Investments

207SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Tue May 26, 2015 9:07 pm

shadow walker

shadow walker
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Market.Watch. wrote:I strongly belive PARQ will report maximum of EPS 7.0 for the financial year ended 31.03.2015. or maximum of 7.5. can not go further.
So, base on that PARQ can be trade EPS 7.5 x PER 10 times of Rs.75/-.
I think exit point 65/- to 70/- range would be safe.
super results 8.40 EPS for the year. for the last Q  3.17 EPS ....
8.40 x PE 10 IN SHORT TERM THIS WILL REACH TO 85

208SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Tue May 26, 2015 9:10 pm

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert
Why Investors sell PARQ now....? I's a clear growth shown company now. it is not a short term trading company now. It has clearly showed their Quarter on Quarter Growth. Why people sell Growth companies. I strongly belive PARQ will trade above Rs.100 or even 120 in comming year. Not soon. Price will adjust accordingly. Nimal Pereras company will never go back. See RCL, LWL and Others. Defa PARQ also future winner. From tomorrow onwards, we can see buying interest for long term investors. Not gamblers. Gamblers will cry.

209SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Tue May 26, 2015 9:43 pm

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert
@hariesha wrote:SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 P412

above image will clearly shows the PARQ FUTURE PLANS.
2015 SEMB predicted EPS 6.59. Actuals 8.46.
2016 expectation is 11.26 & by 2017 prediction 19.22.

210SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Tue May 26, 2015 10:32 pm

lakmal87


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
I analized PARQ
Last quarter profit was 91mn & included fixed asset disposal gainof 24.8mn. that mean normaly business activities EPS should be, (91-24.8) 66.2mn
66.2mn/27.3mn(no of shares) Rs2.43
This my analized. But i think shares may be increase short term & after stabel..

211SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Tue May 26, 2015 10:35 pm

fireshelter

fireshelter
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Sureshot that's mistake i correct that

212SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Tue May 26, 2015 10:41 pm

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert
Below the financial Highlights from 31.03.2015 PARQ report:

01. PARQ Quarter on Quarter (QoQ) Growth,
        Quarter 01 30.06.2014 - EPS 0.77
        Quarter 02 30.09.2014 - EPS 2.01
        Quarter 03 31.12.2014 - EPS 2.52
        Quarter 04 31.03.2015 - EPS 3.17 (last quarter 25% growth)

02. Net Asset Value Growth,
        2014 - Rs.25.38
        2015 - Rs.38.97 (53% growth)

03. in 2014 accum loss of 85 Mn, now converted to Balance sheets as 145 Mn Profit. (change the company path).

04. Reduction of Non Current & current Liabilities.

        Loans from related companies - drop from 119 Mn to 83 Mn.

        Long term borrowings payable after one year - drop from 204 Mn to 150 Mn.

        Long term borrowings payable within one year - drop from 60 Mn to 59 Mn.

        Short term loans - drop from 213 Mn to 152 Mn

         Loans payable to related companies - drop from 49 Mn to 36 Mn.

         Bank overdrafts - drop from 107 Mn to 66 Mn.

05. Year on Year basis Revenue up by 23 %.

06. Year on Year basis Gross Profit up by 34%.

07. Year on Year basis PBT up by 113 %.

08. Massive improvement of Operating Cash Flow.

09. Reduction of Interest Cost.

10. Intereim Dividend paid in this year compaire to last year Zero dividends.

11. 30% rowth of Aluminium Products Revenue & 147% growth of Aluminium sector Profits.

12. The Subsidiary Swistek Aluminium Ltd incurred Rs.15.27 Mn for the service rendered in improving the manufacturing process. This will benifited for future.



Last edited by EPS on Tue May 26, 2015 10:46 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : update)

213SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Tue May 26, 2015 10:57 pm

k9


Expert
Expert
91 mn is totally operational profit.100% guarenteed.pls do not psot any  comment without analysing correctly as investors are misleaded with wrong analysis.

In the income statement there is a row called other comprehensive income.thats from revaluation of malumahara factory land.that is 153 mn.its not take into the total net profit  or quaterly net profit.if that 153 mn take into the profit ,eps will be 3.17+(153/27.372)=245/27.372=8.9 for Q4 of 2014/15.if so parq yearly eps =5.29+8.9=14.2

So pls dont mislead investors.3.17 is purely operational and revaluation profit is not take into the parq  total or q profit.
 And also Nav is 39 now with revaluation profit also.

Yearly operational eps=8.46
Yearly eps with revaluation=14.2

214SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Tue May 26, 2015 11:06 pm

lakmal87


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
I don't want mislaed any other person. see cash flow. Then you can find the asset disposal gain 24.8 mn.

215SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Tue May 26, 2015 11:17 pm

EPS

EPS
Expert
Expert
@k9 wrote:91 mn is totally operational profit.100% guarenteed.pls do not psot any  comment without analysing correctly as investors are misleaded with wrong analysis.

In the income statement there is a row called other comprehensive income.thats from revaluation of malumahara factory land.that is 153 mn.its not take into the total net profit  or quaterly net profit.if that 153 mn take into the profit ,eps will be 3.17+(153/27.372)=245/27.372=8.9 for Q4 of 2014/15.if so parq yearly eps =5.29+8.9=14.2

So pls dont mislead investors.3.17 is purely operational and revaluation profit is not take into the parq  total or q profit.
 And also Nav is 39 now with revaluation profit also.

Yearly operational eps=8.46
Yearly eps with revaluation=14.2

Yes. This is correct. When doing a Land Revaluation process (As required once in each 02 years for IFRS reporting purpose) double entry will pass as,
     Debit : PPE (Land) - Balance Sheet Account
     Credit : Revaluation Reserves - Balance Sheet Account
So, there is no effected to P&L and only the NAV will go up.

216SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Wed May 27, 2015 1:21 am

k9


Expert
Expert
Look at the parq sales growth also.25% growth in Q 4.
So thats great.
Alum also recorded only15% sales growth.alum has 54% of aluminium industry.

Aluf also increased 52 mn to55mn in Q 4.

Parq increased alluminim sector profit to 169 mn from 68 mn.parq is having 24%of the aluminium industry.

Sales wise also parq Q4 results is the best.

217SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Wed May 27, 2015 5:31 am

lakmal87


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Dear K9, now u compare last year result & this year result. It is aslo good. But i analized last 4th quarter operating profit was (91-24.8)66.2mn. Are u agree or not?

218SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Wed May 27, 2015 5:33 am

lakmal87


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Dear K9, now u compare last year result & this year result. It is aslo good. But i analized last 4th quarter operating profit was (91-24.8)66.2mn.

219SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Wed May 27, 2015 7:36 am

k9


Expert
Expert
Dear lakmal87,

In the notes it is not specified and mentioned  and in the segmental profit column also only categorize into tile related and Aluminum.
So we have to wait till annual report released to deeply analyze.

On the other point is according to the LKAS 1 disposal profit also considered as operational income.




........................................................................................................................................
When we analyze a company, in PARQ we can clearly see the Sales growth as i mentioned earlier.So its a key factor for any company growth and future growth also.I mentioned about the sales growth 25% can be considered as a key factor of any company growth.

PARQ sales and profit growth is superb compared to the last year.YOY sales and profit also growing up.

Now they have earned 251 Mn for 2014/15.Dont know what they are going to do with this 251 Mn.Out of this ,this small company do another investing activity which can favour to the EPS.

Please analyse the SMB research PARQ report.It forecasts only 6 eps for 2014/15.but recorded more.
they have forecasts  11 for 2015/16 and 19 for 2016/17.

220SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Wed May 27, 2015 9:56 am

kassachandi


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
PARQ will fly later today.Still u guys can grab this valuable asset @67-68 range.this will gradually move towards 75 range in this week.

221SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Wed May 27, 2015 9:59 am

fireshelter

fireshelter
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Month End wait & Collect lower

222SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Wed May 27, 2015 4:11 pm

Market.Player

Market.Player
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@k9 wrote:Waiting for the PARQ Party Time....

Hopping Massive results
ALUF also shows 1.02 EPS...but ALUF has to wait sometime to Record Profits like PARQ.
Currently ALUF recorded 0.14 EPS for the 2014/15 yr.Trading at 35 levels.
Turnover wise ALUF has not recorded increasement ,52 mn for both Q3 and Q4 2014/15.
Reason is Aluf is suppling their products to the ALUMAX,thats y Mr. Dhammika P has taken over ALUF for the benifit of ALUM.
In Q3 GP is 32.9 mn and Q4 GP has come down to 12 mn

ALUF price will be gone up becuase of the favourable market situation.For trading purposes ALUF is ok.

But Investment purpose mid and long PARQ is the best.

Still Super Stock.....
This time will pass 100++
No words to express about the PARQ EPS....
Hoping a reasonable dividend also...

Keep in touch.
Happy Trading.........


Top of the post Party time .... to be adjust as joke of the forum....

223SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Wed May 27, 2015 4:13 pm

Market.Player

Market.Player
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@k9 wrote:LALU Q4 results has been released.According to the LALU Q4 profit pattern we can not expect more profits than this.but Q4 profit is not big as all think.Overall EPS is 10.6.

This Q Group revenue has decreased 30%, but company income statement revenue increased by over 30%.So we can assume that Aluminum revenue has been increased.other subsidiary revenue came down .Remember they have sold one subsidiary.

Anyway Aluminum revenue has been increased but as all expected this Q profit is not a big profit.


Then what about the PARQ results-Deep analysis


PARQ profit consists with Aluminum(65%) and Tile related profits.(35%)


2014/15 9 months profit is 160 Mn.

Last year Q4 profit is 77 Mn.
Aluminum profit-(77*0.65)=50 Mn
we can expect reasonably Aluminum profit growth by 40%.{profit growth 40%-60% range as this is Q4}

Assuming growth rate 40%,Then (50/100)*140=70mn.(this can be gone up to 100 Mn){70-100 mn range}

Other profit segment Tile related profit is 77-50=27 Mn
This profit will  definitely be double according to the last year pattern and high demand in PARQ tile related products in this seasonal Q4=27*2=54 Mn{54 Mn -70 Mn range}

Last Q Total profit should be 70+54=124Mn
Yearly profit 2014/15 minimum=160(9 months profit)+124(Q4)=284 Mn
So 2014/15 year EPS will be 284mn/27.372 Mn shares=10.37

Then Next year we can expect EPS 2 for the Q1 2015/16.
Last yr 2014/15 Q1 EPS 0.50.and yearly massive profits nearly EPS 15.
So  PARQ is the super Long Term Stock.
According to my analysis out of ALUM,ALUB,LALU ,
PARQ is the best ever Share.
Reasons,
1.Trading below 10x PE.
2.Super continuous EPS.
3.Profit consists with two different sectors.
4.Aluminum market share 24%(second largest)
5.Tile related product market share over 75%.

Happy trading.
Always stay with fundamentals .....So never loose.

 Nice EPS calculation.

224SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Wed May 27, 2015 4:15 pm

Market.Player

Market.Player
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@ONTHEMONEY wrote:Hi Guys,

We can observed a mix note on LALU and PARQ in recent financial performance. Although LALU earned substantial earnings to justify its prices, last Quarter 2014/2015 performance is weak compared to other 3 companies listed ( PARQ, ALUM, ALUF ). All companies in the same group and being in the same industry has recorded a significant growth in revenue. Therefore we cannot expect a super revenue in 1Q 2015/2016 FY. Hence I recommend collect in parcels at below levels if anyone have bought over Rs 80/-.

Though ALUF and ALUM has recorded a healthy growth in sales; prices are little overpriced to recommend. Hence a risk is associated.

However PARQ has displayed impressive results for the last quarter 2014/2015 together with significant growth in QoQ growth. Major contribution via Aluminium business while tiles have also contributed to improve performance.

During 1Q 2014/2015 company has recorded on an EPS of Rs 0.77. However during last quarter it has increased up to Rs 3.17 with constant revenue growth. Hence it is obvious that PARQ would record Rs 3.50 for the 1Q 2015/2016 FY.

I expected PARQ price Rs 125+ and above in medium term. 

Why? 

Company is doing extremely well. Still heavy orders for aluminium products continue.

1. Impressive growth in performance in recent Quarters YoY.

2. Continuously reducing Banks liabilities ultimately increasing NAV, Annualized earnings would justify the above price and above.

3. Highest profits generated in Q4 during last 2 years. Hence we can expect better results. Company has made losses in history. However after the takeover by Lanka Tiles, company is performing well.

4. Strong fundamentals and drivers in the market involved in the list of stockholders. ( e.g Gulam Hussain)

5. High chances for a very attractive dividend.

Not all technically sound shares perform well. In my view a share to perform in the market it should have 2 key components; market drivers+fundamental backing. PARQ has it.

Considering all above facts PARQ displays signs to jump out of blocks. Considering the ill-liquid nature I recommend to hold as a Long term Investment.


Happy Investments


125 +

225SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) - Page 11 Empty Re: SWISSTEK (CEYLON) PLC (PARQ.N0000) on Wed May 27, 2015 4:18 pm

Market.Player

Market.Player
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@EPS wrote:Very important point is, PARQ is now shows continuous QUARTER ON QUARTER growth performance. That is massive plus point for investors to upgrade this share to next level.
Defa PARQ current valuation above 100 with minimum 10 PER.
This first well performing year under Nimal Perera. Never goes back all companies under him. First changing year they reports 8.46 EPS. What a change to the company.
Remember SEMB predicted 6 EPS for 2015. but they deliver 8.46 massive EPS.
SEMB next year forecasted EPS  is 11. will see the growth.
Now this shows as a long term holding stock.
Also,
I like to revalue the PARQ at current quarter EPS 3.17 x 4 = 12.68 level.
So, compaire to sector trading PER of 11, PARQ can now valued at Rs.120 range. Will see during next quarter.

120

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