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Sri Lanka Equity Forum » Stock Market Talk » Expert Chamber » Touchwood Case Review

Touchwood Case Review

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41Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Thu May 26, 2011 10:55 pm

seyon


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Look at the Financial as of 30the September 2011 for the six months.

Net Earnings about Rs.86Mn

Total net assets is Rs.2.8Bn and Net Assets per share about Rs. 39.92.

When u analyze the balance sheet Cash and Cash Equivalents is reported 484 Mn, this is generated from the rights issue. This surplus cash would have been used for the new investment. So we will get very much attractive net assets in the Range of Rs.50-55 per share as at 31.03.2011, Further Agarwood plantations is in stage of harvesting, hence the fair value of these biological assets will boost the net assets.

I am pretty much sure, on disclosing the financial TWOD will have a other run.

Happy Trading


42Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Fri May 27, 2011 3:45 pm

seyon


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Look some interesting information about Touchwood, I managed to get some information from their newsletter ( http://www.touchwood.com/PDF/TW.YIELD.pdf)

As i mentioned earlier coming financial statement would be very much attractive

Touchwood Delivers over $328,000USD in First Wave ofAgarwood Returns

Our goal at Touchwood is to provide sound investments that
deliver future value. And few products fit that requirement
better than our Agarwood investments. After totaling the returns
paid from November 2010 through the end of March 2011, we
are pleased to report a range of profitability that extends from
24.3% to 34.4% for clients who initially purchased our Agarwood
product.

These returns are just the beginning. In the coming months,
clients who have invested in subsequent agarwood packages
will begin to receive the profitability from their investments as
well.

25% Increase in Price per Tree

Due to the consistent level of quality graded Agarwood being
produced at our plantations we have negotiated a higher price
per KG. This means a higher return of US$250 will be paid out per
tree in quarter 2, an increase of US$50 over the previous quarter.
This proves the quality of our product and commitment to deliver
the best value possible to our clients.
Note: These figures are based on the agar trees that are 6 years old. Our
current 7 year product will hold a higher grade and quantity then the 6 year
meaning a higher level of return come harvest.


Bamboo Processing Plant: Furthering Profitability through High-Quality Timber Products

When it comes to ensuring your investment future, our highest
priority is providing investment products that deliver maximum
value through reliable returns. As such, we are proud to announce
the construction of a series of large-scale, multimilliondollar
processing plants – including a 30,000-square-foot
manufacturing plant and a 15,000-square-foot processing
plant, both located in Sri Lanka and set to open their doors for
production in June 2011 (please see photos on this page). In
Thailand the construction of a further plant is also on the way.
These facilities enable us to process bamboo and other raw
materials, instantly increasing the end value of our investment
products by producing high-grade bamboo flooring that has
been treated, lacquered and finished for sale. In addition, these
plants will create up to 100 jobs for local communities – an
essential component in our ongoing pledge to a triple bottom
line: people, planet, profit.

43Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Sat May 28, 2011 1:52 am

seyon


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Who gave _ rep.. Pls tell me the reasons

I do not understand the members behavior

44Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Sat May 28, 2011 5:08 am

chamith


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
must be someone who missed the bus, and got losses by getting on board at high.

45Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Sat May 28, 2011 9:01 am

seyon


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@seyon wrote:Who gave _ rep.. Pls tell me the reasons

I do not understand the members behavior

I just have done the research on this and Keep on updating my findings. I know there are people in this forum who might have earned profit in early run or who might have bought at high price. Unfortunately again the case has been put off to 18th July 2011, then the price was drop significantly, that is only reason i am updating the finding on TWOD and telling the people who bought at high price that not get panic and be Patience. Yes this will have other run after the financial released. I know the people who tried to pushed up the shares and booked some profit and last two days they are slowly collecting.

Further when i started to post regarding i did not have any single shares of Touchwood, even i did not trade during the run also. If u want to check my portfolio ( It is in Acuity Stockbrokers) I will give my CDS a/c personally.

Now i decided I will not be doing any posting in this forum hereafter, i going to be only the visitor.

Thanks guys for ur all support.

Happy Trading.

46Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Sat May 28, 2011 9:25 am

Antonym

Antonym
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@seyon: Please do not get discouraged by some misguided member. You will be depriving many of us of your valuable opinions, from which this forum has certainly benefited.

Most of us do not doubt your genuine nature; please continue to express your views sincerely and fearlessly... Thanks, my friend!

47Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Sat May 28, 2011 10:11 am

Fresher


Moderator
Moderator
@seyon wrote:
@seyon wrote:Who gave _ rep.. Pls tell me the reasons

I do not understand the members behavior

I just have done the research on this and Keep on updating my findings. I know there are people in this forum who might have earned profit in early run or who might have bought at high price. Unfortunately again the case has been put off to 18th July 2011, then the price was drop significantly, that is only reason i am updating the finding on TWOD and telling the people who bought at high price that not get panic and be Patience. Yes this will have other run after the financial released. I know the people who tried to pushed up the shares and booked some profit and last two days they are slowly collecting.

Further when i started to post regarding i did not have any single shares of Touchwood, even i did not trade during the run also. If u want to check my portfolio ( It is in Acuity Stockbrokers) I will give my CDS a/c personally.

Now i decided I will not be doing any posting in this forum hereafter, i going to be only the visitor.

Thanks guys for ur all support.

Happy Trading.

dear friend,
you must understand people's mentalities. As chamith said, it must be someone who missed the bus or made a loss buying at a high.
the rep system has been argued in the past too. don't take decisions based on that.
most of us know how valuable you are to the forum, so please be with us.

48Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Sat May 28, 2011 4:06 pm

chamith

chamith
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Come on. This rep thing is so silly.
Well we will give you positive reps. dont worry.

I knew this share was at 52week lowest when i brought it. I just had to hold it nearly 3 weeks. n the rally started. I was so impressed with your research work. The BAR Association newsletter and all the case dates. I tried to even contact a friend of mine who is a lawyer. But certainly you have found so much details than me. So impressed. Please continue sharing your research. Dont get put off by these reps. Anyway there has to be stupid people like those who just jump into rallies without any clue. Well it touched 30 to 32 i knew that the momentum is loosing. So i dumped all my shares. Finally that was a good decision. Now i can buy later at low. If someone who has no analytical point of view, may just give negative reps and express their anger. Its always like that. Take it easy..

49Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Sat May 28, 2011 4:18 pm

UKboy

UKboy
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@seyon wrote:Who gave _ rep.. Pls tell me the reasons

I do not understand the members behavior

Dont worry Seyon

If you go with the flow most people recognise you as a hero.

But if you see things from a different angle or trying to tell the bitter truth, then you will be black listed.

As Sri Lankans we have this attitude in our blood



Last edited by UKboy on Sat May 28, 2011 4:21 pm; edited 1 time in total

50Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Sat May 28, 2011 4:19 pm

StocksWatch

StocksWatch
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
I also had bought this around 24 and kept in my PF for more than 3 months. When this was trading around 32, I also noticed that buying pressure is diminishing and disposed all my stake between 29.80 and 32.90. As Chamith correctly said, you need to have at least some common sense to notice that the trend is coming to an end and liquidate your position at an early stage. There is no point in blaming others or giving minus reps.

So Seyon, don't worry about these childish behaviours of some. Please cheer up buddy. We need you actively participating in this forum.

51Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Sat May 28, 2011 4:44 pm

bmi


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
guys its our own money we should take the risk please think no money no honey brokers are brokers they must respect investors brokers have no knowledge they pretending they know everything all bullshit don't believe and depending on brokers and adviser what they say take your own decision win or loss we are happy with the experience of ours

52Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Sat May 28, 2011 5:08 pm

bmi


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
but I didn't mentioned about Seyon we need him cheers Seyon

53Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Sat May 28, 2011 5:12 pm

kasun333


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
cheers Seyon

54Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Tue May 31, 2011 9:56 pm

Thushara


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
cheers seyon......EPS for the Year 11.52 and Net assets per share Rs 50.37. Currently trade at almost haft of it's NA. So there is a another possibly run. What do u think.

55Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Wed Jun 01, 2011 4:30 am

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
@seyon wrote:
@seyon wrote:Who gave _ rep.. Pls tell me the reasons

I do not understand the members behavior

I just have done the research on this and Keep on updating my findings. I know there are people in this forum who might have earned profit in early run or who might have bought at high price. Unfortunately again the case has been put off to 18th July 2011, then the price was drop significantly, that is only reason i am updating the finding on TWOD and telling the people who bought at high price that not get panic and be Patience. Yes this will have other run after the financial released. I know the people who tried to pushed up the shares and booked some profit and last two days they are slowly collecting.

Further when i started to post regarding i did not have any single shares of Touchwood, even i did not trade during the run also. If u want to check my portfolio ( It is in Acuity Stockbrokers) I will give my CDS a/c personally.

Now i decided I will not be doing any posting in this forum hereafter, i going to be only the visitor.

Thanks guys for ur all support.

Happy Trading.

Seyon, do not get discouraged. Sometimes I too feel when some give negative reps they are more emotional than constructive. I found the way you presented this as genuine and as a finding which is very helpful ( though I don't have any TWOD also within last 9 months).

It is good if there is system to give a reason for negative reps ( comment next to reps. Maybe it can be anonymous ).

56Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Wed Jun 01, 2011 4:20 pm

seyon


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

Thanks u all for ur support.

My humble request is if u have ( whoever giving Negative rep) any different views pls come and spell out in words rather blindly giving the neg rep.

This is a good platform to sharing our views, don't discourage anyone.

Thanks

57Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Wed Jun 01, 2011 5:42 pm

seyon


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
This post is not for promoting the share, there are members who interested in financial statement. I just have done the analysis

Let us look at the financial statement as of 31.03.2011

Revenue - Rs.1,589,740,889 out of that Gain Arising from Changes in Fair Value of Biological Assets Rs.1,327,423,575 ( different between the value of biological assets of 2010 & 2011) then the balance of Rs.262,317,314 reporting for Plantation Establishment and Maintenance Income and commission income, which is realized income.

Looking the Revenue,Provision for Purchase Back Guarantee,Fair value of the biological assets and the pattern of each financial stream between the 1st six months to second six months indicates that some of their plantation are in the matured stage ( Agarwood Plantation). Hence the coming quarter we might see the actual return/ fair value from the harvest from these plantation. This will boost the company profit and the cash flow.

Net assets is very much attractive reporting Rs.50, 50% discount to the current Mkt value

Further we can see 385Mn ( from the right issue) cash equivalent is yet to be used for the future investment, As i mentioned company is looking to invest in Bamboo Processing Plant in June 2011

Picked From Newsletter

construction of a series of large-scale, multimilliondollar
processing plants – including a 30,000-square-foot
manufacturing plant and a 15,000-square-foot processing
plant, both located in Sri Lanka and set to open their doors for
production in June 2011 (please see photos on this page). In
Thailand the construction of a further plant is also on the way.


Our expected case against SLAASMB postponed to 18th July 2011

The said Supreme Court Case No SPL LA 42/10 had been postponed on numerous occasions and finally it is fixed for hearing on the 18th of July 2011.

Happy Trading

58Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Wed Jun 01, 2011 7:25 pm

TuskerLK

TuskerLK
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@seyon wrote:
Thanks u all for ur support.

My humble request is if u have ( whoever giving Negative rep) any different views pls come and spell out in words rather blindly giving the neg rep.

This is a good platform to sharing our views, don't discourage anyone.

Thanks


Exactly seyon, If we make a correction to what we posted here, we are required to give the reason for such edit, whilst the reps are given away anonymously without any reasoning.

Admin, Shed some light on this.

59Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Wed Jun 01, 2011 10:12 pm

Rocky

Rocky
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
So finally are we to conclude that there will be a good run on this share until the court case is finalized on 18/07/2011?

Looks like the profits have been toned down by the management for some reason or another as a huge provision for expenses has been made. I am not sure that the final audited accounts might be better after the court case.

Better to hold on to these shares a little longer to get the best benefit. Those who bought cheap may dispose of them if they got their desired profit.

I will wait the full term as I have bought plenty of this share.
Worth waiting some more.

60Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Wed Jun 01, 2011 10:24 pm

mono

mono
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
hybrid_OS wrote:So finally are we to conclude that there will be a good run on this share until the court case is finalized on 18/07/2011?

Looks like the profits have been toned down by the management for some reason or another as a huge provision for expenses has been made. I am not sure that the final audited accounts might be better after the court case.

Profits have gone up from 331mn to 426mn.

61Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Wed Jun 01, 2011 10:31 pm

TuskerLK

TuskerLK
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@mono wrote:
hybrid_OS wrote:So finally are we to conclude that there will be a good run on this share until the court case is finalized on 18/07/2011?

Looks like the profits have been toned down by the management for some reason or another as a huge provision for expenses has been made. I am not sure that the final audited accounts might be better after the court case.

Profits have gone up from 331mn to 426mn.

Then how come the EPS gone up from 4 rupees to 11 rupees ( I couldn't dig into the reports)

62Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Wed Jun 01, 2011 11:07 pm

Fresher


Moderator
Moderator
tinyman - there was a 1:1 rights issue anda 4:1 subdiision last year.

EPS of 4.68 is the earnings adjusted to the present no. of shares (71mil)
EPS of 11.52 as I understood should hav been calculated with the weighted average no. of shares

btw, is that kumar sangakkara in that top20 list?

63Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Wed Jun 01, 2011 11:20 pm

Monster

Monster
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
npp wrote:tinyman - there was a 1:1 rights issue anda 4:1 subdiision last year.

EPS of 4.68 is the earnings adjusted to the present no. of shares (71mil)
EPS of 11.52 as I understood should hav been calculated with the weighted average no. of shares

btw, is that kumar sangakkara in that top20 list?
Interesting, it seems Kumar Chokshanada Sangakkara is in the top 20 share holder list

64Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Wed Jun 01, 2011 11:22 pm

Chabbi

Chabbi
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Monster wrote:
npp wrote:tinyman - there was a 1:1 rights issue anda 4:1 subdiision last year.

EPS of 4.68 is the earnings adjusted to the present no. of shares (71mil)
EPS of 11.52 as I understood should hav been calculated with the weighted average no. of shares

btw, is that kumar sangakkara in that top20 list?
Interesting, it seems Kumar Chokshanada Sangakkara is in the top 20 share holder list

Yesterday night i also noticed Very Happy

may be from IPL money Very Happy

65Touchwood Case Review  - Page 3 Empty Re: Touchwood Case Review on Wed Jun 01, 2011 11:54 pm

npc86

npc86
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
npp wrote:
btw, is that kumar sangakkara in that top20 list?

He has selected nice investment...!

jocolor

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