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Sri Lanka Equity Forum » Stock Market Talk » JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC

JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC

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41JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Empty Re: JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC on Fri May 27, 2011 4:02 pm

2011_NewComer


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@thighrokker wrote:
@slstock wrote:
@san1985 wrote:
@thighrokker wrote:Undervalued?

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=JINS:SL
shows that JINS is at an all-time high.
On what basis is it under valued?

It has not gone this up in the past....

It may trade at all time high, but you cannot avoid the fact that it still is undervalued.

EPS for the Y/E 31/12/2010 is 2.12.

So at current market price it trades at a PE of 9(19.2/2.12).






Correct with their EPS JINS is still undervalued in its sector. It might be interesting to note, that JINS IPO was at Rs 12 several years ago. This is one of the longest staganated share with regards to IPO price.

Is there a way to get the Insurance sector PE?
Anyone has this?

I think it goes under BFI

http://cse.lk/sectors/sectorSummary.htm

42JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Empty Re: JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC on Fri May 27, 2011 5:02 pm

is


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
one reason for being stagnant for long time was the fact that it is more off a family run business (As I heard)... Is this correct ?

43JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Empty Re: JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC on Fri May 27, 2011 5:09 pm

Slstock


Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
@is wrote:one reason for being stagnant for long time was the fact that it is more off a family run business (As I heard)... Is this correct ?

Shafter family is behind JINS,CFVF and CSEC, KDL companies

44JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Empty Re: JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC on Fri May 27, 2011 5:12 pm

is


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
@slstock.

Is this a reason for stagnation... If so how come that affect ? As I know they paid/are paying good div too.

45JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Empty Re: JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC on Fri May 27, 2011 5:42 pm

thighrokker


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
any ideas/hints how high JINS may go?

46JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Empty Re: JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC on Fri May 27, 2011 5:59 pm

UKboy

UKboy
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@econ wrote:I think all the janashakthi group companies (CSEC,JINS,CFVF) are still undervalued compare with other companies in the financial sector.

That is a well known factor in the market for years..!!
How higher their prices go up eventually will come back more or less to the same level

47JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Empty Re: JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC on Fri May 27, 2011 6:54 pm

uditha9


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@thighrokker wrote:
@slstock wrote:
@san1985 wrote:
@thighrokker wrote:Undervalued?

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=JINS:SL
shows that JINS is at an all-time high.
On what basis is it under valued?

It has not gone this up in the past....

It may trade at all time high, but you cannot avoid the fact that it still is undervalued.

EPS for the Y/E 31/12/2010 is 2.12.

So at current market price it trades at a PE of 9(19.2/2.12).






Correct with their EPS JINS is still undervalued in its sector. It might be interesting to note, that JINS IPO was at Rs 12 several years ago. This is one of the longest staganated share with regards to IPO price.

Is there a way to get the Insurance sector PE?
Anyone has this?
i think jins has a cross holding of csec

48JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Empty Re: JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC on Fri May 27, 2011 9:02 pm

Intrinsic


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
osmand wrote:Dear Friends what is the reason JINS

I sold all my JINS today at a thin 5% markup after holding for four months. I will re-purchase them if they show better signs next week.



49JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Empty Re: JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC on Fri May 27, 2011 9:18 pm

Nigel.Machado


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
i think cfvf has more value in it.

can we expect dividends from cfvf?

Note: currently i hold 20,000 cfvf, do your homework before making any decision.

50JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Empty Re: JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC on Fri May 27, 2011 9:22 pm

thighrokker


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
i came across this during me research
http://investors.lk/11178/JINS+++what+do+yall+think+of+this+stock%3F
[[[[[ ---quote

it's good it'll eventually reach 30-40 in my book, especially if they can muster up an EPS close to 2 this half. one of my few long term investments

reply from Mononoke on 20 Jan

------]]]]]]


** Is this applicable in the current context?

** Dear moderator, i am not sure if i am allowed to post references from other sites. If inappropriate, pls delete this.

51JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Empty Re: JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC on Sat May 28, 2011 10:00 pm

CSE Today

CSE Today
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@UKboy wrote:
@econ wrote:I think all the janashakthi group companies (CSEC,JINS,CFVF) are still undervalued compare with other companies in the financial sector.

That is a well known factor in the market for years..!!
How higher their prices go up eventually will come back more or less to the same level

UK BOY you have the most sensible view on these stock...! Very Happy

godfreydayan


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
why JINS .N0000 ( janashakthi insurance) not moving even the fundamentals are strong..
even the they pay a very good dividend..

53JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Empty Re: JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC on Fri Feb 17, 2012 1:44 pm

hawklk


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
That is the problem with CSE. Fundamental don't move....

54JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Empty Re: JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC on Fri Feb 17, 2012 2:03 pm

Jana1


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Not pbm with CSE, Pbm with director, Schaffer.. Matser mind behind CFVF group..That s less volatile share even during up-trend also

55JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Empty Re: JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC on Fri Feb 17, 2012 2:14 pm

anubis


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
JINS:

Total number of shares as at 06/30/2011: 363,000,132

Profits for the 6 months ending 31/12/2010: 624,910,000 EPS = 1.71
Profits for 6 months ending 06/30/2011: 218,115,000 EPS = 0.60 (the quarterly report says 0.77 but I don't know how they got it).

If you look at the two statements you can see that for the 6 months ending 31/12/2010, they have a 200Mil difference in "Other revenue" section (income statement). Let's be conservative and estimate an EPS of 0.60 for the next 6 months (ending 31/12/2011) - I suppose they'll publish this report soon.

So, our estimated EPS for the year ending 31/12/2011 is 1.2 per share. So, this share has a P/E around 10 for a price around 12 Rs.

The question is, is it a good P/E compared to other financial institutions / banks? analyse COMB.X, HNB.X, SAMP.N and see for yourself. Also compare dividends. A share can be "fundamental" (i.e not JUNK) but that doesn't mean its share price is always justified.

My personal opinion is JINS.N is an OK share for around 12 rupees (I already hold some quantity around 11.50 I think). But I can't say for sure that this share will not fall further (there are banks with much lower P/E values - this share "could" correct more - I don't know).

Cheers!

UPDATE: SOME ISSUES WITH THIS POST HAS BEEN CORRECTED BELOW (READ THE WHOLE DISCUSSION)



Last edited by anubis on Fri Feb 17, 2012 3:14 pm; edited 1 time in total

56JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Empty Re: JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC on Fri Feb 17, 2012 2:30 pm

raa


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
I'm more worried about their ability to keep paying dividends. I collected some between LKR 10.9 - 13.00 as part of dividend earning long term portfolio. At LKR 11.00, a LKR 1.00 dividend is a 9% yield.

57JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Empty Re: JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC on Fri Feb 17, 2012 2:39 pm

Kithsiri

Kithsiri
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Is this worth (less than 12) as a short term investment?

58JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Empty Re: JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC on Fri Feb 17, 2012 2:43 pm

anubis


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Argh!

I've compared an insurance company against financial institutions / banks. I think that is wrong. I have JINS and banks on the same watch list, this is what lead to this mistake.

In any case, the rest of the post holds.

Cheers!

59JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Empty Re: JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC on Fri Feb 17, 2012 2:46 pm

sriranga

sriranga
Co-Admin
@anubis wrote:JINS:

Total number of shares as at 06/30/2011: 363,000,132

Profits for the 6 months ending 31/12/2010: 624,910,000 EPS = 1.71
Profits for 6 months ending 06/30/2011: 218,115,000 EPS = 0.60 (the quarterly report says 0.77 but I don't know how they got it).

If you look at the two statements you can see that for the 6 months ending 31/12/2010, they have a 200Mil difference in "Other revenue" section (income statement). Let's be conservative and estimate an EPS of 0.60 for the next 6 months (ending 31/12/2011) - I suppose they'll publish this report soon.

So, our estimated EPS for the year ending 31/12/2011 is 1.2 per share. So, this share has a P/E around 10 for a price around 12 Rs.

The question is, is it a good P/E compared to other financial institutions / banks? analyse COMB.X, HNB.X, SAMP.N and see for yourself. Also compare dividends. A share can be "fundamental" (i.e not JUNK) but that doesn't mean its share price is always justified.

My personal opinion is JINS.N is an OK share for around 12 rupees (I already hold some quantity around 11.50 I think). But I can't say for sure that this share will not fall further (there are banks with much lower P/E values - this share "could" correct more - I don't know).

Cheers!

Thanks anubis.
Your price seems to be OK for short and medium term.
Only my worry regarding this share is the management.
We'll see.

http://sharemarket-srilanka.blogspot.co.uk/

60JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Empty Re: JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC on Fri Feb 17, 2012 2:46 pm

anubis


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@raa: an interesting question, have you analysed JINS.N dividend history against EPS values? I saw a research report in the research section about dividend histories of different listed companies: http://research.srilankaequity.com/t238-cse-quoted-company-s-dividend-history-updated-on-13-02-2012 (you need to re-register there).

May it's worth looking at JINS.N dividend history (if that's available in above report) and checking if they have been consistent.

Cheers!

61JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Empty Re: JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC on Fri Feb 17, 2012 2:51 pm

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics
@anubis wrote:JINS:

Total number of shares as at 06/30/2011: 363,000,132

Profits for the 6 months ending 31/12/2010: 624,910,000 EPS = 1.71
Profits for 6 months ending 06/30/2011: 218,115,000 EPS = 0.60 (the quarterly report says 0.77 but I don't know how they got it).

If you look at the two statements you can see that for the 6 months ending 31/12/2010, they have a 200Mil difference in "Other revenue" section (income statement). Let's be conservative and estimate an EPS of 0.60 for the next 6 months (ending 31/12/2011) - I suppose they'll publish this report soon.

So, our estimated EPS for the year ending 31/12/2011 is 1.2 per share. So, this share has a P/E around 10 for a price around 12 Rs.

The question is, is it a good P/E compared to other financial institutions / banks? analyse COMB.X, HNB.X, SAMP.N and see for yourself. Also compare dividends. A share can be "fundamental" (i.e not JUNK) but that doesn't mean its share price is always justified.

My personal opinion is JINS.N is an OK share for around 12 rupees (I already hold some quantity around 11.50 I think). But I can't say for sure that this share will not fall further (there are banks with much lower P/E values - this share "could" correct more - I don't know).

Cheers!

Anubis,
Their 2010 Year ending eps was 2.12. Usually for Insurance companies last quarter of the year earnings are higher than the previous quarters ( 6 Month up to June). I am not sure whether this year eps will drop as much as 1.2 . They already reported 0.77 eps for 2011 June . That means 6 month earning will be only Rs 0.43.

There is some investor sentiment issue due to owner family. CFVF and CSEC already had some issues . But JINS after an initial 2009 issue with the insurance board which was resolved quickly ( not a financial fraud) had so far been fraud free. I do not know whether there is any issue recently.

ANyway , jsut note the below facts

1) IPO price in 2008 was Rs 12. Now trading below IPO after 4 years!
2) I recall million of shares were traded when it ran over Rs 20.
3) In 2009 they paid RS 2 dividend. Afterward they have been paying RS 1 dividned. Dividend yield will be one of the highest at CSE for this share if they pay Rs 1 again and your share average is around Rs 12.






Last edited by slstock on Fri Feb 17, 2012 6:02 pm; edited 1 time in total

62JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Empty Re: JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC on Fri Feb 17, 2012 3:04 pm

anubis


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@slstock: thank you very much for this valuable info! Smile

Experience matters!!! Cool

We'll see how it'll go down this year, hoping for the best!!! Basketball

(PS: I think you meant "Their 2010* Year ending eps was 2.12)

Cheers!

63JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Empty Re: JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC on Fri Feb 17, 2012 3:07 pm

greedy

greedy
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@anubis wrote:JINS:

Total number of shares as at 06/30/2011: 363,000,132

Profits for the 6 months ending 31/12/2010: 624,910,000 EPS = 1.71
Profits for 6 months ending 06/30/2011: 218,115,000 EPS = 0.60 (the quarterly report says 0.77 but I don't know how they got it).

If you look at the two statements you can see that for the 6 months ending 31/12/2010, they have a 200Mil difference in "Other revenue" section (income statement). Let's be conservative and estimate an EPS of 0.60 for the next 6 months (ending 31/12/2011) - I suppose they'll publish this report soon.

So, our estimated EPS for the year ending 31/12/2011 is 1.2 per share. So, this share has a P/E around 10 for a price around 12 Rs.

The question is, is it a good P/E compared to other financial institutions / banks? analyse COMB.X, HNB.X, SAMP.N and see for yourself. Also compare dividends. A share can be "fundamental" (i.e not JUNK) but that doesn't mean its share price is always justified.

My personal opinion is JINS.N is an OK share for around 12 rupees (I already hold some quantity around 11.50 I think). But I can't say for sure that this share will not fall further (there are banks with much lower P/E values - this share "could" correct more - I don't know).

Cheers!

You have got the number wrong... it is not 218,115,000 it is 280,115,000... Refer quarterly accounts!

64JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Empty Re: JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC on Fri Feb 17, 2012 3:13 pm

sriranga

sriranga
Co-Admin
Dividend Paid after the IPO.
From their annual Report.
JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Jin10

Interim Dividend announced in 2011.(May be that will be Final Dividend for 2011)

JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Jin210



Last edited by sriranga on Fri Feb 17, 2012 3:14 pm; edited 1 time in total

http://sharemarket-srilanka.blogspot.co.uk/

65JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC - Page 3 Empty Re: JANASHAKTHI INSURANCE COMPANY PLC on Fri Feb 17, 2012 3:13 pm

anubis


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@greedy: many thanks for correcting this!

To be honest I was looking all over the place for what mistake I have made. I maintain separate spread-sheets for analysis and it seems I have entered the wrong number when populating the sheet (sadly, it's a manual process atm).

So, re-estimated EPS = 0.77 * 2 = 1.54

And according to slstock this could be even higher. So, it "looks" this share is undervalued at the moment. Again, no promises, it could go either ways - that's the nature.

Anyway, let's wait and see Basketball

Cheers!

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