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Sri Lanka Equity Forum » Stock Market Talk » Short Term Targets

Short Term Targets

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21Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Sun Jan 26, 2020 5:30 pm

Teller


Moderator
Moderator
Pabc struggle with regulatery issues and ban of the primary dealing of bonds. As they have to collect some funds debentures or bonds, of course highest interest expense will arise. No chance even 13

22Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Sun Jan 26, 2020 9:14 pm

KavinduTM


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Teller wrote:Pabc struggle with regulatery issues and ban of the primary dealing of bonds. As they have to collect some funds debentures or bonds, of course highest interest expense will arise. No chance even 13

ban for primary dealing of bonds will be ended in this february and won't be extended again i guess. That was such a private revenge isn't it?

But they are getting more profits with the tax cuts and last month also there was opned a new branch. My hope they will win over those issues , so i see this as a good investment.

Its upto people to buy or not.

23Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Mon Jan 27, 2020 8:37 am

KavinduTM


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@KavinduTM wrote:
@Teller wrote:Pabc struggle with regulatery issues and ban of the primary dealing of bonds. As they have to collect some funds debentures or bonds, of course highest interest expense will arise. No chance even 13

ban for primary dealing of bonds will be ended in this february and won't be extended again i guess. That was such a private revenge isn't it?

But they are getting more profits with the tax cuts and last month also there was opned a new branch. My hope they will win over those issues , so i see this as a good investment.

Its upto people to buy or not.

I think it will pass 13 this week.

24Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Mon Jan 27, 2020 1:05 pm

NANDANA2012


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@ThilinaM wrote:@kavidu - RCL have some cash flow issues . after teller highlighted i checked. according to my analysis there profit is consist of inventory. but tiles will not expire. when the demand become high RCL will plumet to 140 . but we have to wait some time.
Profits are calculated after deducting the Closing stock.. How can it contains stock ?? They may have a big stock - is that u mean ?

25Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Mon Jan 27, 2020 1:07 pm

NANDANA2012


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@hammurabi wrote:*Collect SPEN as much as possible. The NAV is at 120. MPS is moving between 43-45. I notice that Hari is making big moves; he has acquired almost 10% of JKH. I expect a major tourism promotion this year. If things go well SPEN could move above 80, to its original price.
**Collect RCL at current price level. RCL is owning the whole Tile industry, and what I believe is, someday, Rocell will have a good share in the international market. Because its subsidiaries are producing a great variety of products, targeting middle class and the top class with premium tiles. And even at MPS 80, its much much undervalued.
***Collect OSEA. One of the least risky shares. Current MPS so much below from what it should be. Real estate will again see a big boom. And the value of Overseas Realty will keep increasing continuously. And It a regular dividend payer. Rs.1.5 expected in February. 
****Invest a portion in PLC (Peoples' Leasing and Finance). PLC is the No.1 Non-Banking Financial Institution in Sri Lanka. And it is the least riskiest in the whole industry. It earns a very good deal of profit every year and Its a regular and stable dividend payer. If the market matures, I expect this to be trading at atleast 28.
*****ABL is close to it lifetime lowest. Though its small bank compared to COMB, SAMP, its the pioneer and No.1 Islamic finance institution in Sri Lanka. It has got is own customer base. Not a Monopoly, But definitely MONOPOLISTIC. And when we look at the financial performance, Its has the most stable performance in the banking industry since its establishment (Refer annual statements). And the major holder of ABL is based in Jeddah, A 150 Billion Dollar Company (10 times larger than the Market capitalization of CSE Short Term Targets - Page 2 Icon_lol ). its going cheap these days, Collect and make a 100% return when the market booms.
******Do Not Buy for short-term trading. Hold for atleast a year. I believe most of us can make atleast a 100% return, If they don't sell cheap.

Happy Trading Guys!

Very Good Collection.. But some doubts about ABL as it never runs..(Not because of value)

26Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Mon Jan 27, 2020 1:08 pm

Kipling


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Hi Kavindu
Trust drastic drop today linked to virus fear psychosis.
TO low a comfort.
Trust all your predictions on track.
Await your response.
Thanks.

27Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Mon Jan 27, 2020 1:33 pm

KavinduTM

KavinduTM
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Kipling wrote:Hi Kavindu
Trust drastic drop today linked to virus fear psychosis.
TO low a comfort.
Trust all your predictions on track.
Await your response.
Thanks.

Hi Kipling
Yeah i think same.
But this virus case is unexpected. Hope it will be okay sooner.
Yeah nothing changed , ASI will run.

28Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Mon Jan 27, 2020 3:03 pm

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
Virus is not the reason to CSE down. Fundementally and technically it must down


_________________




Teller said is said..

29Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Mon Jan 27, 2020 5:21 pm

Ekanayake90

Ekanayake90
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
LIOC - should grab the opportunity
Brent crude fell by $1.12 a barrel, or 1.9%, to $59.57 by 0113 GMT, having earlier dropped to $58.68, the lowest since late October.
U.S. crude slipped by $1.14, or 2.1%, to $53.05, having earlier eased to $52.15, the lowest since early October.

30Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Mon Jan 27, 2020 8:26 pm

KavinduTM

KavinduTM
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Teller wrote:Virus is not the reason to CSE down. Fundementally and technically it must down
 
Why not? , almost all major share markets down.

https://www.investing.com/indices/major-indices

31Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Tue Jan 28, 2020 10:17 am

KavinduTM

KavinduTM
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Virus spreads and world share markets are in a downtrend.

But i think they will find some solution fast   Crying or Very sad

We will meet our favourite shares at attractive prices again.

32Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Tue Jan 28, 2020 12:14 pm

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
I am telling again and again, virus is not the fact to CSE down . Fundementally and technically index must down. Some times 5500 is possible. Think based on cash flow not eps or navps


_________________




Teller said is said..

33Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Tue Jan 28, 2020 12:18 pm

Kipling


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Maharaja telling again & again index down to 4700.
Await GR resounding win @ GE.
All Diaspora & Isis forces will be defeated.

34Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Tue Jan 28, 2020 12:24 pm

KavinduTM

KavinduTM
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Teller wrote:I am telling again and again, virus is not the fact to CSE down . Fundementally and technically index must down. Some times 5500 is possible. Think based on cash flow not eps or navps

But i think virus is the fact. Sudden downtrend with a daily percentage of -1%
Even when same happening with all major share markets in the world. 

Yeah maybe you are correct. but that's my opinion.

35Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Tue Jan 28, 2020 12:29 pm

Kipling


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Hi Kavindu 
Do you have even 1% worry that there is any fundamental & technical problems with CSE.
I noted your comments under “Where Are We Now”

36Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Tue Jan 28, 2020 12:40 pm

KavinduTM

KavinduTM
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Kipling wrote:Hi Kavindu 
Do you have even 1% worry that there is any fundamental & technical problems with CSE.
I noted your comments under “Where Are We Now”

Hi Kipling.
Nah actually we are in a good point. i have 0% worry about CSE at this point.
It is highly undervalued market. And we can expect much from this gov. will see.
This virus case is unexpected disaster. Not only for CSE. Challenge for the whole world.

37Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Tue Jan 28, 2020 1:07 pm

KavinduTM

KavinduTM
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@KavinduTM wrote:Virus spreads and world share markets are in a downtrend.

But i think they will find some solution fast   Crying or Very sad

We will meet our favourite shares at attractive prices again.

OSEA :- 15.50/= 
PABC :- 12/=
VPEL :- 6.30/=
SAMP :- 159/=
REXP :- 262/=

I think they are worthy @ above prices. (Good chance)

38Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Wed Jan 29, 2020 5:50 am

liyanaarachchi


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
@KavinduTM wrote:
@KavinduTM wrote:Virus spreads and world share markets are in a downtrend.

But i think they will find some solution fast   Crying or Very sad

We will meet our favourite shares at attractive prices again.

OSEA :- 15.50/= 
PABC :- 12/=
VPEL :- 6.30/=
SAMP :- 159/=
REXP :- 262/=

I think they are worthy @ above prices. (Good chance)
Is there any reason to increase the price of OSEA?

39Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Wed Jan 29, 2020 2:21 pm

KavinduTM

KavinduTM
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@liyanaarachchi wrote:
@KavinduTM wrote:
@KavinduTM wrote:Virus spreads and world share markets are in a downtrend.

But i think they will find some solution fast   Crying or Very sad

We will meet our favourite shares at attractive prices again.

OSEA :- 15.50/= 
PABC :- 12/=
VPEL :- 6.30/=
SAMP :- 159/=
REXP :- 262/=

I think they are worthy @ above prices. (Good chance)
Is there any reason to increase the price of OSEA?

Yeah. 17 is an easy target. Also div is close

40Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Thu Jan 30, 2020 5:47 am

liyanaarachchi


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
@KavinduTM wrote:
@liyanaarachchi wrote:
@KavinduTM wrote:
@KavinduTM wrote:Virus spreads and world share markets are in a downtrend.

But i think they will find some solution fast   Crying or Very sad

We will meet our favourite shares at attractive prices again.

OSEA :- 15.50/= 
PABC :- 12/=
VPEL :- 6.30/=
SAMP :- 159/=
REXP :- 262/=

I think they are worthy @ above prices. (Good chance)
Is there any reason to increase the price of OSEA?

Yeah. 17 is an easy target. Also div is close
Thanks. But it's price is continuously decreasing since long time

Maximum price of the quarter
201916.8016.1016.40
201818.8018.0017.0017.10
201721.0021.8019.9018.60
201623.8026.1020.7021.10

Minimum price of the quarter
201915.5014.2014.90
201817.0015.5015.3015.50
201719.2019.4017.3016.80
201622.3021.6020.0019.30

I have no idea about the last quarter because I joined with CSE very recently. 

My idea is it won't pass 16.50

However it has a good dividend rate.

41Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Thu Jan 30, 2020 10:09 am

KavinduTM

KavinduTM
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Yeah @liyanaarachchi. Your point is correct. But watch what happened 2010 - 2015 period and what happened 2015 - 2020 periods. Downtrend started 2015.

EPS,NAV, PE ratios all are satisfying. And this will be a good investment. According to my view, Now it is a good time to enter.

Also technically it shows a good buy around 15.50/=
Also good dividend rate.

We can hope more than 1.25/= dividend this time.

This company has a good future. 17-18/= levels are expected in near future.



Last edited by KavinduTM on Thu Jan 30, 2020 10:17 am; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : Spelling Mistake)

42Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Fri Jan 31, 2020 8:27 am

liyanaarachchi


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
@KavinduTM wrote:Yeah @liyanaarachchi. Your point is correct. But watch what happened 2010 - 2015 period and what happened 2015 - 2020 periods. Downtrend started 2015.

EPS,NAV, PE ratios all are satisfying. And this will be a good investment. According to my view, Now it is a good time to enter.

Also technically it shows a good buy around 15.50/=
Also good dividend rate.

We can hope more than 1.25/= dividend this time.

This company has a good future. 17-18/= levels are expected in near future.
Thank you very much. We will able to get a dividend rate more than 8% for 1.25 rupees. 

I got those details by quarterly data reports of that company. Thanks for you advise and I will see. 

This is my first company. My broker recommended this company.

43Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Fri Jan 31, 2020 8:32 am

liyanaarachchi


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
Do I have to pay broker chargers when I am selling my shares?

44Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Fri Jan 31, 2020 8:38 am

ThilinaM

ThilinaM
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@liyanarachchi - OSEA at this prices 15.5 are best for beginer to start. your broker should be honest. what is the broker?? any way do not expect huge returns from OSEA. OSEA is like 6-8% better than FD thats it

45Short Term Targets - Page 2 Empty Re: Short Term Targets on Fri Jan 31, 2020 7:34 pm

KavinduTM

KavinduTM
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@liyanaarachchi wrote:
@KavinduTM wrote:Yeah @liyanaarachchi. Your point is correct. But watch what happened 2010 - 2015 period and what happened 2015 - 2020 periods. Downtrend started 2015.

EPS,NAV, PE ratios all are satisfying. And this will be a good investment. According to my view, Now it is a good time to enter.

Also technically it shows a good buy around 15.50/=
Also good dividend rate.

We can hope more than 1.25/= dividend this time.

This company has a good future. 17-18/= levels are expected in near future.
Thank you very much. We will able to get a dividend rate more than 8% for 1.25 rupees. 

I got those details by quarterly data reports of that company. Thanks for you advise and I will see. 

This is my first company. My broker recommended this company.

Welcome. Its my pleasure.

Yeah it has a good div policy too. What is your broker company?

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