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ELPITIYA PLANTATIONS PLC-(ELPL.N0000) has recorded good results.....i think......

4 posters

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ccsentha


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

Guys what about the results of ELPITIYA PLANTATIONS PLC-(ELPL.N0000)?
(http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_report_file/707_1306740433029.pdf)

12months ended on 31st march
2010 EPS - 1.23
2011 EPS - 4.99

6 months ended on march 31st
2010 EPS - 0.74
2011 EPS - 3.45

doesn't this sound like a good improvement?? will the price go up??

thanks

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics

ccsentha wrote:Guys what about the results of ELPITIYA PLANTATIONS PLC-(ELPL.N0000)?
(http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_report_file/707_1306740433029.pdf)

12months ended on 31st march
2010 EPS - 1.23
2011 EPS - 4.99

6 months ended on march 31st
2010 EPS - 0.74
2011 EPS - 3.45

doesn't this sound like a good improvement?? will the price go up??

thanks

Yes good results were expected from ELPL as another member posted about this in another thread before results. ( san1985)

If the market behaves rationally ELPL needs to go up. But will it sustain? I think plantation sector should be discounted but not at the prevailing levels which is absurd. ( PE of around 6 is a bit less when market PEs are over 3 times higher).

dr aruna


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic

today is a month end ELPL will move more on tomorrow onward , might go RS 50 within three to four days time ...................................

Intrinsic


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

slstock wrote:

Yes good results were expected from ELPL as another member posted about this in another thread before results. ( san1985)

If the market behaves rationally ELPL needs to go up. But will it sustain? I think plantation sector should be discounted but not at the prevailing levels which is absurd. ( PE of around 6 is a bit less when market PEs are over 3 times higher).

@ slstock,

What does a low PE indicate against sector PE ? (when all other indicators, ratios are ignored)

PER = MPS/EPS
MPS = 36.40 (as at yesterday)
EPS (ttm) = 4.99 ( as per ELPL FR)

So PER = 36.40/4.99 = 7.29

PLT sector PER = 16.40 (as per CSE website)

Does it say, ELPL PER could possibly reach near 16.40 ?

In other words MPS could be 16.40 X 4.99 = 81.84 @ IDEAL situation ?

At 50% discount 40.00 ?

Please correct me slstock.



Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics

Intrinsic wrote:
slstock wrote:

Yes good results were expected from ELPL as another member posted about this in another thread before results. ( san1985)

If the market behaves rationally ELPL needs to go up. But will it sustain? I think plantation sector should be discounted but not at the prevailing levels which is absurd. ( PE of around 6 is a bit less when market PEs are over 3 times higher).

@ slstock,

What does a low PE indicate against sector PE ? (when all other indicators, ratios are ignored)

PER = MPS/EPS
MPS = 36.40 (as at yesterday)
EPS (ttm) = 4.99 ( as per ELPL FR)

So PER = 36.40/4.99 = 7.29

PLT sector PER = 16.40 (as per CSE website)

Does it say, ELPL PER could possibly reach near 16.40 ?

In other words MPS could be 16.40 X 4.99 = 81.84 @ IDEAL situation ?

At 50% discount 40.00 ?

Please correct me slstock.




One thing to note is cse.lk is not most up to date for Sector PE. So taking 16.5 will be of course too high. With the current earnings plantation sector PE should be less. ( broker reports would have latest updates)

Anyway, what I meant is strong plantation shares does not have to trade at these absurdly low PE as of today (Pe of 5-7).
Yes due to volatility we should discount plantation sector PE to market but the issue is what is the level? If we agree that plantation should trade at discounted Pe of 9-10 will the market do so? It is not currently. Just look at KGAL, MAL, HOPL , NAMU, and ELPL now etc etc to name a few which I think is trading far too low.

In summary the market is discounting the good plantation far too low even considering the volatility. Lets hope these stronger plantation shares get what they deserve a raise

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