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Sri Lanka Equity Forum » Stock Market Talk » HVA - Developing an amasing bull trend in the 12 day ROC chart

HVA - Developing an amasing bull trend in the 12 day ROC chart

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EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator
The below is the long term trend chart of 12 day ROC for HVA. HVA has entered into an amassing bull trend that has never seen during the past three years. The trend has been developing since April 2016 and still climbing with high steam. Let me publish a six year chart whether we could identify a similar trend there. However with this trend I expect the share to reach 13-14 level by June. I will try to post how long this trend will last. You have a major profit opportunity in hand my dear friends. 

HVA - Developing an amasing bull trend in the 12 day ROC chart Np577333LeIiIiIiCiOnXbaSS666CInyHbfIyIiIiKixET+H9GMtpLmNMlIAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC

hiransilva23


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Is it good to buy???i think they hav above 4 million.itz difficult to seel at this price.i also feel it will move atleast 10.

hiransilva23


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Is it good to buy???i think they hav above 4 million.itz difficult to seel at this price.i also feel it will move atleast 12 not 10.precious on is mistake sry.

EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator
Buying at these levels should be absolutely risk free according to technical indicators. I am trying to figure out where this trend will going to take HVA.

gainonly


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Trend is clear.

Still in continous buying side.always matching the seller.

Hope HVA has a long run...
Now the stock is illequid.
Look at the selling quantity day by day its reducing.

Analyse

hiransilva23


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Hm.i asked frm advisor.he always saying no.lot f oppotunities i was mis coz f his advice.personally i think i should buy.it will start in next week.i dnt hav knowledge in technical side bt in my exp i cn feel itz good.and if u r saying smthng i knw definietly v cn get smthng.

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
hiransilva, your advisor is correct. He is a knowledgeable person. Respect him. How ever different people can get different type of risks. So I will say not any thing on this

anjelo

anjelo
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Yes there is a trend on this.if someone can predict the top then it would be super... I would sum this up for everyone.. "high risk,high return!"

hiransilva23


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Anjelo asia securities recomond this??i knw ur advisor.normaly he z nt intrestd in stock lyk this.if he recomond it should be ok.

anjelo

anjelo
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
No he is not the speculative type.but he tells when to collect and when to let go.didnt had contact for sometime now with him.doing my own trading.in an uptrend situation like this now in CSE
any advice would look good since almost all the stocks are moving up.

EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator
HVA - Developing an amasing bull trend in the 12 day ROC chart New_pi10
Ok found a similar trend build previously for HVA. That was formed during August to November 2011. The trend peaked after inflating the price by 100% from the point of initiation.

So looking at the slope of this emerging pattern I can say confidently that the take-off of it will be similar to the one we seen in 2011 so I estimate the price to be peaked around Rs14 and the trend line will be above the 'zero' line till July this year.

anjelo

anjelo
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
In 2011 it went to 58 I think.we have to take the volumes also.in 2011 they rolled around 30million shares I think. But this time they have collected around 4 to 5 million. So considering the volumes if they pish without a roll yes it would go towards 14.if they push with a major roll then it might go very high.its all upto the collector now.to pish it to crazy levels or finish it off around 14.but remember in 2011 there was not much SEC activity and the market was in a bullish like this.but now the SEC is active.buuuuuuuuttttt.... Buuuuttt.. If this guy is connected to government with good graces.then he could get away with a major roll and still walk out free.lot of speculation inside the speculating share!!! Smile as I said. "high risk high return"

fireshelter

fireshelter
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
I FEEL ANJELO HOLD LOT Hva

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
Poor investors lost  millions of money  ,may be billions because of HVA. This is one of the leading manipulation shares in CSE.  I know who involved this manipulation durinh that  time ,obviously That's the reason some people get afraid to touch this share even now.
When it trades around 38 levels,  I also baught  this scrap and loose around 250,000k as I exited around 32. I was lucky to
Exit at those levels but I didn't touch much share  there after.
It may be good in technically at the moment but I am not satisfying it's improvement based on their financials. I'm put HVA in red category so far. Need to do more studies before buying
GL



Last edited by Teller on Sat May 14, 2016 8:46 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : typing error)

Yahapalanaya

Yahapalanaya
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@EquityChamp wrote:HVA - Developing an amasing bull trend in the 12 day ROC chart New_pi10
Ok found a similar trend build previously for HVA. That was formed during August to November 2011. The trend peaked after inflating the price by 100% from the point of initiation.

So looking at the slope of this emerging pattern I can say confidently that the take-off of it will be similar to the one we seen in 2011 so I estimate the price to be peaked around Rs14 and the trend line will be above the 'zero' line till July this year.
Why can't be similar to 10 Sep 2012..

m2_yapa

m2_yapa
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Nope i see there is no reason to HVA to perform above 16.

Chinwi

Chinwi
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
HVA Earning per share for last few years :


Year ended
2011 03 31 0.69
2012 30 31 0.14
2013 03 31 0.59
2014 03 31 (0.26)
2015 03 31 (0.16)
2015 Dec 9 months (0.22)


NAVPS 7.45

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
HVA has faced A very tight situation so it's very difficult to recover accumulated losses and the company is having nearly 1 billion debt.
They have to increase their production as well as sales volumes. Profit margin should increase and must reduce these interesting bearing loans to minimize financial expenses.
I feel the only way to right issue or a merge with a giant linke Hemas ,Cargill's,CCS or Nestle etc...
It's very difficult to make this company as a profit making entity based on current world market conditions.
Diversifying the business also a good strategy in medium to long term.
Buying below 7.50 may be advisable at the moment.
GL

anjelo

anjelo
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
No I have sold my lot but planning to enter on monday as I am a bit ok with this shares trading style. It looks like big run this time after a long time.i have been with this share for some time trading it.but I feel fireshelter holds a big amount as the is the first time I see this person marketing HVA.

fireshelter

fireshelter
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Very Happy

EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator
Still arround 9/-.

fireshelter

fireshelter
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Don't Be hurry Shocked Shocked Shocked Shocked

EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator
Who ever the guy playing HVA innings really playing an Asanka Gurusinghe. Not scoring quickfire as well as not getting out.  Smile

fireshelter

fireshelter
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Basketball Basketball Basketball

fireshelter

fireshelter
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
alien alien

anjelo

anjelo
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
maybe CCS is trying to buy HVA :-)

EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator
I guess the player knows something like HVA made profits for the last quarter. So he is collecting the liquidity as well as slowly uping the price.

hiransilva23


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Good to buy at 9????

anjelo

anjelo
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
yes it seems like he is waiting for the financial statement to come out to push this high. Or maybe a party wants to bu ya big stake (some deal going on), or maybe the player is bluffing!!!
but it cant be bluffing that much as the march financial statement is due, so he should have pushed this by now but still NO. so yes he might be knowing something. i collected some at 9 today.
trying to ride this wave.....
Taking a risk this time as i made a small profit to counter a loss.
something is going on and it looks good for HVA.
the buyer is keeping it at 9.
for people who says that this share came from 4.50 they missed something,
that not much of shares were traded below 6 levels.
interesting trading pattern, only can relate to the 2011 huge run!!!!!
head spinning thought!!!!

anjelo

anjelo
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
check LK deleted site and go to HVA and see april 29-05-2016 after than some days of data have been hidden only 05-05-2016 is shown afterwards.
maaan these people are good in closing the peoples eyes.
this seems to be a well planned up trend.

EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator
HVA need to record only above 220-240mn per quarter to earn a positive PAT. I sense that they have recorded improved revenue coz inthe last quarter our tea export income too grew + Iran is also coming into the picture.
Lets see what is this drama all about.

anjelo

anjelo
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
maybe they are planning a 10 or 20 cents dividend,
it is not the dividend that would drive this up,
the potential of it been a profitable company once more.
the IPO price was 15.
maybe some plan going on to push this back up with the profit showing....

anjelo

anjelo
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Government  have reduced the rubber export gov tax ,cess from Rs 15 to Rs 4 per 1kg today. Rs 11 drop.
Tea has a export cess of 
Rs.10/- per kg or 2.5% of the Colombo Tea Auction average.
this might also be the case if gov reduces the cess as well.
the for every 1kg exported HVA would profit.
so if it happens it would make a big change as, the taxes on the books would not be there and also profits would be shown as well.game changer if it happens for HVA.

EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator
@EquityChamp wrote:HVA need to record only above 220-240mn per quarter to earn a positive PAT. I sense that they have recorded improved revenue coz inthe last quarter our tea export income too grew + Iran is also coming into the picture.
Lets see what is this drama all about.

Hello. I said this in the morning and in he evening what I can see.
Q4 15/16 - Revenue 278mn, GP 42mn and Net Profit 4mn.

This is for what the collector has been collecting absorbing more than 4mn shares from the market. I don't need to say anything about tomorrow. Technical charts are absolutely bullish and technical indicators together with moving averages indicates STRONG BUY. So anyone who holding HVA including you Angelo can be met tomorrow evening for a nice cocktail.  Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy

hiransilva23


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Ayyo balan hitiya.broker ganna epama kiwwane.heta ganna bari weida???

EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator
Anything below 9.40 should be less risky.

Advice to Hiran, you are not making the company with us to satisfactory level instead you are going behind fortune tellers. Try to improve yourself on screening stocks and their opportunities by yourself. This should come into your blood if you are going to be successful on stock markets. Otherwise you will be a sacrifice.

hiransilva23


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Hm ya.dtz true.i need to improve my knowlede.lot f tims im following news n roumous.

anjelo

anjelo
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Damn true.... They have turned around.... Next year outlook should look good... Just imagine a tax reduction on top of this.its possible...if they did to rubber.highly likely for tea as well...

gainonly


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
After turnaround following stocks were  moved to the sky.

BLI
PARQ
ALUF

Likewise HVA will also go up  to the upper levels.

EC analysed with patterns .thanks for that.

anjelo

anjelo
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Can you show the before and after numbers for the below three companies Bro
@gainonly wrote:After turnaround following stocks were  moved to the sky.

BLI
PARQ
ALUF

Likewise HVA will also go up  to the upper levels.

EC analysed with patterns .thanks for that.

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