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Good news comes with the bad

2 posters

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1Good news comes with the bad Empty Good news comes with the bad Wed Dec 28, 2011 10:28 pm

dindon1

dindon1
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Though it is good to see the market started to improve.,will the higher government bonds yield will effect the market??
Even today also the bonds yield went up by 10 basis points.,In the recent past this has been a common thing.,Treasury yields represent the risk free rate. They are considered risk free from default.
The higher the yield is on treasuries the less investors will potentially put into stocks, because it is less likely they will get a return on stocks above the risk free rate. That pushes stock valuations down. When yields are low investors tend to take more risk on stocks for higher returns and that pushes stock valuations up.
I am bit concern about recent amounts of foreign selling.,Is there a correlation between bonds yield and the foreign selling??



Last edited by dindon1 on Thu Dec 29, 2011 8:40 am; edited 1 time in total

2Good news comes with the bad Empty Re: Good news comes with the bad Wed Dec 28, 2011 11:10 pm

Antonym

Antonym
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

The economic signals are certainly confusing:
Interest rates are increasing, which would dampen enthusiasm for stocks - as you have pointed out.
The LKR has been devalued and continues to be under pressure; this may result in higher inflation.

One way to hedge your financial position is to apportion your investments between Fixed Deposits (Yield: 10%) and high dividend yielding stocks (Yield: 6-7% + capital appreciation).

3Good news comes with the bad Empty Re: Good news comes with the bad Fri Jan 20, 2012 7:27 pm

Antonym

Antonym
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

Antonym wrote:The economic signals are certainly confusing:
The LKR has been devalued and continues to be under pressure; this may result in higher inflation.
As I have mentioned elsewhere, empirical evidence suggests that devaluations are often anticipated by equity markets. This causes negative returns for upto 30 days after devaluation. One year later, however, returns are significantly positive. (Patro & others, 2009)

In addition to deciding when to buy - based on technical analysis, you also need to be aware of the value of what you are buying - i.e., fundamental analysis. If you have identified a company whose business prospects are good and whose management is honourable (treats stakeholders fairly), half the battle has been won.

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