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BREXIT FORECASTS

2 posters

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1BREXIT FORECASTS  Empty BREXIT FORECASTS Thu Jun 23, 2016 1:03 pm

samaritan


Moderator
Moderator

U.K. polls hinted this weekend that voters are leaning just slightly toward choosing to stay in the European Union in a June 23 referendum. The betting markets show the odds of remaining are significantly higher. Who’s right?
http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2016/06/20/who-to-trust-on-brexit-predictions-the-pollsters-or-the-bettors/

OPINION POLLS IN THE RECENT PAST:
Pre election opinion poll forecasted a marginal victory for David Cameron, but he won comfortably.
Lean victory to say 'No' in the Scottish referendum ended up in a decisive win. 
CONCLUSION:
Going by the above, my forecast would be that Britain will remain with a fair majority voting in favor.

2BREXIT FORECASTS  Empty Re: BREXIT FORECASTS Thu Jun 23, 2016 1:18 pm

nigma


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

[size=35]Final polls give Remain lead - YouGov and ComRes published 23 June[/size]

The Remain camp swung back into the lead in the two final polls before the EU referendum.
A survey by ComRes for the Daily Mail and ITV News gave Remain a 6-point lead over Leave - on 48% compared to 42%.
But the phone poll of 1,032 people on June 17-22 also underlined the confusion among voters as 11% of people said they were still undecided.

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