What will happen tomorrow? - Sat May 09, 2020 6:12 pm
View this post on InstagramWinter is coming for CSE! Top analysts of Echelon Square warned investors and traders at a Zoom session hosted by Echelon Magazine titled ‘Blood on the Street’ in Colombo, Sri Lanka discussing the outlook of capital markets post COVID-19, that the stock market rout is far from over and is expecting a further drop of at least 700 points or 15% from the last closing and broad market corporate earnings to fall by 30% losing half of the stock market value in the coming days and months. The market is anticipating panic selling and foreign outflows close to Rs. 40 billion or more alone over the coming trading periods especially due to the fears of defaulting on the International Sovereign Bond (ISB's) by GOSL and the unsettling nature of the pandemic which has caused more economic damage to highly debt-ridden frontier and emerging markets like Sri Lanka. The mass exodus of funds is also likely to be caused by the closure of the country’s only stock exchange for seven consecutive weeks to curb the spread of the virus which also dented investor confidence and ignited fear. Discreetly implying adapting the "sell in May and go away" strategy by conserving cash in the short term as markets look ahead for a lot more pain. The island's economy could take a few years to bounce back to positive territory, largely depending on the fiscal management of the country and the hope of vaccination to curb the pandemic to prevent new cases further escalating. Recoveries of regional exchanges are seen, however, market analysts around the world are preparing that the latest rally also is known to be a 'relief rally' could be the start of a painful bear market, therefore, stock markets haven't reached their bottom yet. The Colombo Stock Exchange opens on Monday only for 2hrs starting from 11:00 a.m local time. #cse #srilanka# #stockmarket #stocks #equities #sl #stockmarketcrash #coronavirus #covid19 #frontiermarkets #emergingmarkets #investments #colombostockexchange