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price and volume analysis

+3
sriranga
arrowms
parackrama
7 posters

Go down  Message [Page 1 of 1]

1price and volume analysis  Empty price and volume analysis Tue Nov 01, 2011 1:40 pm

parackrama

parackrama
Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

how do we analyze price and volume properly, need help on this.

2price and volume analysis  Empty Re: price and volume analysis Tue Nov 01, 2011 2:11 pm

arrowms


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Price - candlestick chart --http://www.candlestickforum.com/PPF/Parameters/16_332_/candlestick.asp

Volume - RSI Chart---------------------- 0 - 20 - Over sold
------------------------------------------20 - 60 (Upward trend) - Buy @ 50
------------------------------------------Above 70 Over bought

{ Please note - I am not professional analyst, Just look after my stock }

3price and volume analysis  Empty Re: price and volume analysis Tue Nov 01, 2011 2:54 pm

sriranga

sriranga
Co-Admin

May be this link will help you to certain extend (hope so)
http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t11476-basic-volume-theory?highlight=volume

http://sharemarket-srilanka.blogspot.co.uk/

4price and volume analysis  Empty Re: price and volume analysis Tue Nov 01, 2011 5:53 pm

rijayasooriya

rijayasooriya
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

arrowms wrote:Price - candlestick chart --http://www.candlestickforum.com/PPF/Parameters/16_332_/candlestick.asp

Volume - RSI Chart---------------------- 0 - 20 - Over sold
------------------------------------------20 - 60 (Upward trend) - Buy @ 50
------------------------------------------Above 70 Over bought

{ Please note - I am not professional analyst, Just look after my stock }
In the process of calculation of RSI does not consider volume.There is a some sort of smoothing for sharp price increases.So I do not think it is a good volume indicator.
RSI=100-(100/1+RS)
RS=average of x days' up closes/average of x days' down closes.
In a normal market:-
70 overbought
30 oversold
In a bear market:-20 oversold
In a bull market:-80 overbought
50 can be taken as buy or sell signal.But crossing back under the 70 line can be taken as sell signal and crossing back over the 30 line can be taken as buy signal.

5price and volume analysis  Empty Re: price and volume analysis Tue Nov 01, 2011 6:00 pm

arrowms


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

rijayasooriya wrote:
In the process of calculation of RSI does not consider volume.There is a some sort of smoothing for sharp price increases.So I do not think it is a good volume indicator.
RSI=100-(100/1+RS)
RS=average of x days' up closes/average of x days' down closes.
In a normal market:-
70 overbought
30 oversold
In a bear market:-20 oversold
In a bull market:-80 overbought
@rijayasooriya
I thought Oversold/Overbought means the volumes of shares.
Does it mean the price is Over/Under???? or what????
anyway thx for update

6price and volume analysis  Empty Re: price and volume analysis Tue Nov 01, 2011 6:24 pm

rijayasooriya

rijayasooriya
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

arrowms wrote:
rijayasooriya wrote:
In the process of calculation of RSI does not consider volume.There is a some sort of smoothing for sharp price increases.So I do not think it is a good volume indicator.
RSI=100-(100/1+RS)
RS=average of x days' up closes/average of x days' down closes.
In a normal market:-
70 overbought
30 oversold
In a bear market:-20 oversold
In a bull market:-80 overbought
@rijayasooriya
I thought Oversold/Overbought means the volumes of shares.
Does it mean the price is Over/Under???? or what????
anyway thx for update
Well I am not an expert but what I have understood is,overbought/oversold(extremities of oscillator) does not relate to volumes, it means current price move/trend has gone too far too fast so there may be a correction or consolidation.Hope u got it.

7price and volume analysis  Empty Re: price and volume analysis Tue Nov 01, 2011 9:22 pm

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics

RSI indicates strength of the direction so when its at 30 we cant really say whether the counter is heading for a run.. it has to be measured with volumes to figure out if there's anything to happen..

Stochastics is the best indicator to indicate Oversold/Overbought regions..
20-30 - Oversold and both signals are heading up means the price is moving up but if cannot say whether it can turn back around 50...
80 and above - over bought, selling time..

8price and volume analysis  Empty Re: price and volume analysis Wed Nov 02, 2011 12:05 am

rijayasooriya

rijayasooriya
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

smallville wrote:RSI indicates strength of the direction so when its at 30 we cant really say whether the counter is heading for a run.. it has to be measured with volumes to figure out if there's anything to happen..

Stochastics is the best indicator to indicate Oversold/Overbought regions..
20-30 - Oversold and both signals are heading up means the price is moving up but if cannot say whether it can turn back around 50...
80 and above - over bought, selling time..
Yes Stochastic is good momentum indicator.

9price and volume analysis  Empty Re: price and volume analysis Wed Nov 02, 2011 12:30 am

hirankb

hirankb
Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

RSI has no volume component. only the RELATIVE STRENGTH OF THE PRICE MOMENTUM. Normally it is the simple avergae of 14 days of trading. ( the X in the above calculation is 14. but in highly volatile markets it should be 7 ).

Stochastic (fast) fails misserably in a trending market, which again is a price momentum indicator which is ideal for sideways market.. this gives prominence to closing price in the days range.

one of the best Price with volume indicators is the Chaikin's money flow index(CMF) . Actually this indicates cash flow in and out of a counter. if +1 it means the closing price has been the days high for 20 straight days and -1means the opposite. the normal range is +.05 to -.05. if the line crosses zero from below if is a very good buy signal and vice versa. if the price trend and the CMF trend is diverging ( moving in opposite directions , it is a clear indication of an impending reversal.but make sure at least 3 indicators confirm your action. MACD, RSI , CMF , MACD of volume are very good for CSE. make few trades based on these and fine tune the smoothing period for each counter. YOU WILL GAIN more than 75% of the time. I do.

10price and volume analysis  Empty Re: price and volume analysis Wed Nov 02, 2011 9:36 am

arrowms


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

I was totally mistaken the theory. I used Candlestick, MACD and RSI in DFN.
Considered RSI is the volume and Candle as price and MACD as movement.
But i made some profit last few months. May be Luck Very Happy
I Hope to check Stochastics and Chaikin's money flow index with Other charts

Very Happy THX all Very Happy

11price and volume analysis  Empty Re: price and volume analysis Wed Nov 02, 2011 10:10 am

deep


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

Nice discussion. I learned something... cheers

12price and volume analysis  Empty Re: price and volume analysis Wed Nov 02, 2011 1:41 pm

parackrama

parackrama
Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

thank u all very much.

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