FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™
Dear Reader,

Registration with the Sri Lanka FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™️ would enable you to enjoy an array of other services such as Member Rankings, User Groups, Own Posts & Profile, Exclusive Research, Live Chat Box etc..

All information contained in this forum is subject to Disclaimer Notice published.


Thank You
FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™️
www.srilankachronicle.com


Join the forum, it's quick and easy

FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™
Dear Reader,

Registration with the Sri Lanka FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™️ would enable you to enjoy an array of other services such as Member Rankings, User Groups, Own Posts & Profile, Exclusive Research, Live Chat Box etc..

All information contained in this forum is subject to Disclaimer Notice published.


Thank You
FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™️
www.srilankachronicle.com
FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.
FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™

Encyclopedia of Latest news, reviews, discussions and analysis of stock market and investment opportunities in Sri Lanka

Click Link to get instant AI answers to all business queries.
Click Link to find latest Economic Outlook of Sri Lanka
Click Link to view latest Research and Analysis of the key Sectors and Industries of Sri Lanka
Worried about Paying Taxes? Click Link to find answers to all your Tax related matters
Do you have a legal issues? Find instant answers to all Sri Lanka Legal queries. Click Link
Latest images

Latest topics

» Price Movement in Brent Co., WTI Co., and CEYPETCO Price Revisions Since Hamas' Attack on Israel in October 2023
by sheildskye Today at 6:19 am

» WATA; MELS; LLUB; RCL- DIVIDEND SEASON
by sheildskye Today at 6:04 am

» NDB Wealth buys more into Access Engineering; foreign investor Tundra exits
by Dasun Maduwantha Sun Oct 13, 2024 12:57 pm

» Access to invest in agri and livestock
by rajithasahan Sun Oct 13, 2024 12:00 am

» ACCESS ENGINEERING PLC (AEL.N0000)
by Shiranli Sat Oct 12, 2024 11:48 am

» COMMERCIAL BANK OF CEYLON PLC (COMB.N0000)
by EPS Fri Oct 11, 2024 10:54 pm

» Stocks on the Radar at CSE
by Biggy Fri Oct 11, 2024 11:37 am

» Construction Giant's IPO - Access Engineering
by Nandana Withanage Thu Oct 10, 2024 1:12 am

» Global Rice prices drops
by Rare Sun Oct 06, 2024 3:19 am

» Post-election winners.
by Rare Thu Oct 03, 2024 1:01 pm

» ACCESS Engineering,my target Rs. 26/-
by shiraz latiff Thu Oct 03, 2024 12:41 pm

» Access Engineering awarded two more contract packages at Colombo Port
by shiraz latiff Thu Oct 03, 2024 12:39 pm

» Asha Securities and Asia Securities Target AEL (Access Enginnering PLC )
by nilantha suranga Thu Oct 03, 2024 12:36 pm

» ACCESS ENGINEERING PLC (AEL) Will pass IPO Price of Rs 25 ?????
by Anushka Perz Wed Oct 02, 2024 10:33 am

» History Repeat Access Engineering PLC
by sakuni Wed Oct 02, 2024 10:31 am

» Asian stocks drift higher amid rate cut speculation; Japan lags
by Rare Mon Sep 30, 2024 1:29 pm

» Sri Lanka: Light Rail Transport (LRT) at what opportunity cost?
by God Father Mon Sep 30, 2024 7:52 am

» Sri Lankan companies with small market cap
by Rare Sat Sep 28, 2024 4:41 am

» Large cap Sri Lankan companies
by Rare Sat Sep 28, 2024 4:36 am

» Gold, copper, iron and aluminum no more bargain
by Rare Sat Sep 28, 2024 4:25 am

» Reinstatement of SLT-Mobitel's ETA System for Streamlined Visa Processing
by pramu perera Fri Sep 27, 2024 8:49 pm

» Oil prices fall further
by Rare Fri Sep 27, 2024 12:20 pm

» Sri Lanka rupee closes at 275/290 to the US dollar
by Rare Thu Sep 26, 2024 11:58 am

LISTED COMPANIES

Submit Post
ශ්‍රී ලංකා මූල්‍ය වංශකථාව - සිංහල
Submit Post


CONATCT US


Send your suggestions and comments

* - required fields

Read FINANCIAL CHRONICLE™ Disclaimer



EXPERT CHRONICLE™

ECONOMIC CHRONICLE

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP)



CHRONICLE™ YouTube


You are not connected. Please login or register

How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You

+7
Kumar
anubis
illuminati
K.Haputantri
lokuayya
CSE.SAS
sriranga
11 posters

Go down  Message [Page 1 of 1]

1How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Empty How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Fri Dec 23, 2011 3:04 pm

sriranga

sriranga
Co-Admin

Just sharing this article for our members benefit and open for healthier discussion.
Please note always we need to see the both side of the coin.

How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You

One huge trap that many investors fall into, both amateur investors as well as professional investors on stock market, is to fall for a Bear Market Rally. They are incredibly easy to get sucked into and are probably some function of hope and human nature that can be devastating if you don't watch out!

First of all, what exactly is a Bear Market Rally? Well, generally speaking, a Bear rally is a rally that occurs during a bear market. Stocks fall across the board for a long period of time during a bear market. After days, weeks, even months of watching stocks fall, suddenly you notice that they are starting to rise again!

You wait a few days, maybe even a week or two, and see that the rally has continued! Maybe the Bear is truly over! That's when you fall into the trap and start investing again! Inevitably the same thing happens in every Bear market...they turn back downwards. No, the bear was NOT over...it was just taking a little breather on its way back down.

What causes a bear market rally? Usually it has to do with short sellers, who have been selling short for some time and making a killing. Eventually the short sellers need to cover their positions and buy back in. If enough short-sellers buy back in any one time, this excess demand can make the stock prices increase. A short increase in prices can fuel speculation from people like you who think the bear may be over and buyback in.

Of course eventually all the short-sellers will have covered their positions and demand will decrease back to its present downward level and the bear will continue, often wiping out the increases that you just saw.

Bear market rallies generally tend to last about five or six weeks and not much longer than that. In fact, once a bear rally ends, it usually ends abruptly and the stock prices across the board usually drop dramatically right away.

I know that it is incredibly hard to watch the stock market increase day after day and week after week after an extended bear has shown nothing but plunging prices for months on end. It's just human nature to hope for the best, and hope that the bear is actually over.

That's the trap that most investors fall into. You have got to be able to look past that emotional side of it and instead focused solely on market fundamentals. If the fundamentals of the market have not improved, then the bear is not going to be over even if prices are increasing across the board.

So keep an eye on fundamentals, and as always in the stock market, try to keep your emotions out of it and you should be just fine in the long run.
Edited article By Jason Markum
http://ezinearticles.com

http://sharemarket-srilanka.blogspot.co.uk/

2How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Empty Re: How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Fri Dec 23, 2011 3:08 pm

CSE.SAS

CSE.SAS
Global Moderator

Good post on time.

3How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Empty Re: How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Fri Dec 23, 2011 3:20 pm

lokuayya


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

do we have short selling in cse?

4How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Empty Re: How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Fri Dec 23, 2011 5:24 pm

K.Haputantri

K.Haputantri
Co-Admin

Thanks Sriranga you have educated us all on possible pitfalls.

5How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Empty Re: How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Fri Dec 23, 2011 6:43 pm

illuminati


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

K.Haputantri wrote:Thanks Sriranga you have educated us all on possible pitfalls.

Agreed. good one

6How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Empty Re: How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Fri Dec 23, 2011 7:38 pm

anubis


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

CSE doesn't have short-selling. So if this is a Bear rally, what could be the reason? Manipulation? Anticipation of news? Foreign participation?

Cheers! santa

7How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Empty Re: How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Fri Dec 23, 2011 7:43 pm

Kumar

Kumar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

In CSE there is no shortselling but the big fishes are buying and disposing in a correct time to fool the retail investors which is similar to shorting. (Entry and Exit)

8How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Empty Re: How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Fri Dec 23, 2011 8:29 pm

rijayasooriya

rijayasooriya
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

I doubt the value of this analysis in CSE

9How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Empty Re: How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Fri Dec 30, 2011 12:15 pm

Kumar

Kumar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Is this happening in CSE?
Fed up with the index dipping in RED.
Any comments?

10How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Empty Re: How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Fri Dec 30, 2011 3:08 pm

Stockmate


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

We are, most possibly, in the third bear market rally now. But some people get angry when we say so.

But the ASI moves within a 900 ASI unit band. So it is wide enough to make money. Best time for swing trading in small volumes. I am not afraid to buy close to the support line

11How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Empty Re: How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Fri Dec 30, 2011 5:17 pm

Kumar

Kumar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Stockmate wrote:We are, most possibly, in the third bear market rally now. But some people get angry when we say so.

But the ASI moves within a 900 ASI unit band. So it is wide enough to make money. Best time for swing trading in small volumes. I am not afraid to buy close to the support line

Agreed.
This guy ( Sriranga) time to time hit the nail in the proper time no?

12How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Empty Re: How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Tue Jan 03, 2012 3:58 pm

greedy007


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Stockmate wrote:We are, most possibly, in the third bear market rally now. But some people get angry when we say so.

But the ASI moves within a 900 ASI unit band. So it is wide enough to make money. Best time for swing trading in small volumes. I am not afraid to buy close to the support line

You are correct stockmate.

13How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Empty Re: How Bear Market Rallies Can Fool You Sat Mar 03, 2012 10:34 pm

Redbulls

Redbulls
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics

If the fundamentals of the market have not improved, then the bear is not going to be over even if prices are increasing across the board.

That is million time true.

Sponsored content



Back to top  Message [Page 1 of 1]

Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum