Trade Deficit Widens To $ 7.7 Bn.
Sources: Sri Lanka Customs and Central Bank of Sri Lanka
External trade continued to remain resilient in October 2011, Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) in a press release said.
Reflecting the high export base in October 2010 and contraction in tea, rubber and minor agricultural crops exports, export earnings declined by 4.9% to US dollars ($) 882 million in October 2011 year on year (YoY). However, during the first ten months of 2011, cumulative export earnings increased by 23.4% to $ 8,702 million YoY. At the same time, import expenditure driven by high investment and intermediate goods growth increased by 41.4% to $ 1,751 million in October 2011 YoY, CBSL said. Import expenditure was mainly driven by increases in intermediate and investment goods. Intermediate goods imports increased YoY by 42.7% led by petroleum imports. Higher petroleum import expenditure was mainly due to the higher average crude oil import price of of $ 107.2 per barrel in October 2011 compared to $ 81 per barrel in the corresponding month of 2010. Cumulative import expenditure in the first ten months of 2011 increased by 50.7% to $ 16,436 million YoY. As a result, the trade deficit for the first 10 months of 2011 stood at US dollars 7,734 million, a significant portion of which was on account of government’s infrastructure related projects’ imports that have been funded mainly by foreign loans, it said. In that context total inflows to government, including International Sovereign Bond proceeds amounted to $ 3,507 million, during 2011’s first ten months.
Industrial exports recorded a 12.8% growth in October 2011 YoY. Agricultural export earnings which accounted for 23% of total exports declined by 10.3% mainly due to decline in tea export earnings by 12.1% YoY in October 2011. Despite higher export prices, rubber volume exports declined by 40.8% in October 2011 as a result of high rubber demand by domestic industries to produce value added exports. Minor agricultural exports earnings also declined due to lower pepper, cocoa, fruits and vegetables exports. Industrial exports growth was led by textile and garments; rubber based and petroleum products; diamond and jewellery and food, beverages and tobacco. Textiles and garments exports grew by 12% YoY in October 2011. Rubber based products exports increased by 34.8% in October 2011 YoY. compared with the corresponding month of 2010.
Fertiliser imports grew in terms of both prices and volumes by 28.9% and 72.6% YoY respectively and the sharp increase of volume was mainly due to expansion of fertiliser subsidy to cover all crops. Investment goods imports increased by a substantial 58.7% in October 2011 led by higher import expenditure on machinery and equipment, transport equipment and building materials. Non-food import expenditure increased by 12.7% despite the decline in personal motor vehicle imports by 16.3% YoY in October 2011.
For the first eleven months of 2011, tourism earnings grew at a healthy 46.7% rate to $ 736 million YoY. Average per tourist earnings per day increased to $ 97 for the period under review from $ 88 for the same period in 2010. Tourist arrivals for the first eleven months of 2011 increased by 33.1% to 758,458 YoY. The majority of tourists numbering 281,484 arrived from Western Europe while arrivals from Middle-East, East Asia, South Asia and Australasia also recorded healthy growths during this period.
Cumulative workers’ remittances inflows grew at 24.3% to $ 4,203 million in the first ten months of 2011. The expansion in services exports and increased workers’ remittances helped contain the trade deficit impact, thereby mitigating the current account deficit to $ 3,253 million for the first ten months of 2011.
Gross official reserves, excluding Asian Clearing Union (ACU) balances, increased to $ 6,896 million by end October 2011 from $ 6,610 million by end 2010. Gross official reserves had reached a historically high $ 8,099 million level by end July 2011 as a result of the Central Bank accumulating high reserves over a period of time thus avoiding fluctuations in the domestic foreign exchange market. A part of such reserves have now been utilized to deal with any exchange rate pressure due to increased imports demand arising mainly from petroleum and investment goods. Total external reserves, which include commercial banks’ gross official reserves and foreign assets also increased to $ 8,136 million by end October 2011 from $ 8,035 million by end 2010. In terms of import months, gross official reserves and total external reserves by end October 2011 were equivalent to 4.4 months and 5.1 months respectively.
arrived from Western Europe while arrivals from Middle-East, East Asia, South Asia and Australasia also recorded healthy growths during this period.
The cumulative inflows on account of workers’ remittances grew at 24.3 per cent to US dollars 4,203 million for the first ten months of 2011. The expansion in exports of services and increased workers’ remittances helped contain the impact of the trade deficit, thereby mitigating the deficit of the current account to approximately US dollars 3,253 million for the first ten months of 2011.
Gross official reserves, excluding Asian Clearing Union (ACU) balances, increased to US dollars 6,896 million by end October 2011 from US dollars 6,610 million by end 2010. Gross official reserves had reached a historically high level of US dollars 8,099 million by end July 2011 as a result of the Central Bank accumulating high reserves over a period of time thus avoiding fluctuations in the domestic foreign exchange market. A part of such reserves have now been utilized to deal with any pressure on the exchange rate due to increased demand for imports arising mainly from petroleum and investment goods.
Total external reserves, which includes gross official reserves and foreign assets of commercial banks also increased to $ 8,136 million by end October 2011 from $ 8,035 million by end 2010. In terms of months of imports, gross official reserves and total external reserves by end October 2011 were equivalent to 4.4 months and 5.1 months, respectively.
(a) Revised; (b) Provisional; (c) FDIs for the first nine months of 2010 and 2011; (d) Tourism earnings for the first eleven months of 2010 and 2011; (e) Government inflows in 2010 and 2011 including International Sovereign Bonds proceeds issued in October 2010 and July 2011 respectively.
http://www.thesundayleader.lk/2012/01/01/trade-deficit-widens-to-7-7-bn/