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Central Bank relaxes hold on rupee, falls for second day - Bourse keeps slipping

+2
Tiger
sriranga
6 posters

Go down  Message [Page 1 of 1]

sriranga

sriranga
Co-Admin

The rupee fell further on Monday as the Central Bank eased its intervention in the foreign exchange market, but demand still persists, dealers said.

The rupee fell 20 cents against the dollar on Monday to close at Rs. 114.30 against the greenback, but the Central Bank still continued to intervene in the market, selling dollars to prevent a sharp depreciation.

The rupee has fallen for the second consecutive day, down 40 cents since Thursday (Feb. 02) when the rupee closed at Rs. 113.90 against the dollar.

The Central Bank has sold more than US$ 2.5 billion since July to keep the exchange rate stable amidst severe import demand.

This intervention drained rupee liquidity from the banking system which was already exposed to high credit demand. The Central Bank had printed more than Rs. 300 billion in the past one and a half months in order to pump liquidity into the system, which invariably went in to further fuel demand.

Last Friday, the Central Bank said it would increase key policy interest rates to curb this demand and also allow a degree of flexibility in the exchange rate as the country stood in the verge of another balance of payments crisis, with reserves falling from US$ 8.1 billion in July 2011 to US$ 6.3 billion as at end December 2011, prompting Treasury Secretary Dr. P. B. Jayasundera to call for monetary policy tightening and a flexible exchange rate regime.

The IMF on Friday welcomed the Central Bank’s move to a more flexible exchange rate policy, and the US$ 2.6 billion standby facility programme could continue.

The IMF said pressures on the balance of payments, exchange rate and interest rates faced by the country were due to challenges faced by a ‘successful economy’. Economic growth continues to be strong it said.

Meanwhile, the Colombo bourse fell for the fifth consecutive day on selling pressure and liquidity constraints, with the hike in monetary policy rates less likely to help the equities market, dealers said.

The All Share Price Index fell 0.45 percent on Monday (Feb. 06), down 24.96 points to close at 5,561.43 while the Milanka Price Index fell 7.13 points to close at 4,805.99, down 0.15 percent.

Turnover reached a little more than Rs. 1.34 million with 25.3 million shares changing hands during the day way which saw 50 counters close in positive territory against 119 that closed in the red.

"Decliners outpaced gainers by over 3:1 as the indices continued to decline on selling pressure, with turnover dominated by trades on large cap counters COMB, DIST and JKH," John Keells Stockbrokers said.

Year-to-date, the Colombo Stock Exchange fell 8.45 percent on Monday; continuing its downward spiral as the second worst performing stock exchange in the world.
http://island.lk/index.php?page_cat=article-details&page=article-details&code_title=44724

http://sharemarket-srilanka.blogspot.co.uk/

Tiger

Tiger
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

Exchange policy is bound to fail due to low FDI. Low FDI is mainly due to country having no clear view on its economic and political fundermentals.

Ending war was only a necessary factor but not a sufficient factor. Our leaders do not understand this fact and country is loosing out once again as it did in 1948.

Kosinna


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic

Tiger you are absolutely correct.

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics

Tiger wrote:Exchange policy is bound to fail due to low FDI. Low FDI is mainly due to country having no clear view on its economic and political fundermentals.

Ending war was only a necessary factor but not a sufficient factor. Our leaders do not understand this fact and country is loosing out once again as it did in 1948.

I recall the relief and fdi opportunities that were wasted or not utilized after the tsunami.So much $$ came in or could have come in to Sri lanka for reconstruction but due to our vision,plan and execution we missed opportunities. We again have a stong stage but not sure some of these dangerous policy decisions, vision and execution and now rupee volatility is scaring potential foriegn investors. I find expropriation to be a cause for major concern itself.Hope the government will be flexible on this and atleast after the several blunders made of acquiring companies which they should have not under the act.

Maybe i will share later with you a discussion I had with a potention investor based in Usa and why he was worried to invest freely is Sri lanka.

Rajaraam


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

[quote="Tiger"]
"Exchange policy is bound to fail due to low FDI. Low FDI is mainly due to country having no clear view on its economic and political fundermentals.

Ending war was only a necessary factor but not a sufficient factor. Our leaders do not understand this fact and country is loosing out once again as it did in 1948."

Fully agree with you Tiger.No need to say anything more.

sriranga

sriranga
Co-Admin

Tiger wrote:Exchange policy is bound to fail due to low FDI. Low FDI is mainly due to country having no clear view on its economic and political fundermentals.

Ending war was only a necessary factor but not a sufficient factor. Our leaders do not understand this fact and country is loosing out once again as it did in 1948.
Well said Tiger,
IMHO Devaluation will happen after some time, when these politicians finish taking away(may be to Swiss A/C) the fund raised by them by various sources (which all of us know). To facilitate these activities they already relaxed the currency ( CBSL ) regulations.
After that, they will implement the devaluation to facilitate to get back their fund to SL.
Health profit in SL money value.
I'll stop at this point or otherwise this forum will drag to another unwanted debate.
(What I tried to say,hopefully you got it)

http://sharemarket-srilanka.blogspot.co.uk/

sapumal


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

Sri Lanka has good potential in

Leisure
Naval
IT/Software

Industries. This is only a short term problem.

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