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Sri Lanka Doesn’t Need to Raise Rates Further, Cabraal Says

+8
Tiger
wiki
csehistorian
rijayasooriya
Kumar
Kosinna
greedy
FXX
12 posters

Go down  Message [Page 1 of 1]

FXX

FXX
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Sri Lanka doesn’t need to further tighten monetary policy for now even though an increase in fuel and transportation costs and a weakening currency may stoke inflation, the head of the central bank said.

The central bank’s rate increase earlier this month will have a “demand-driven impact” and help moderate inflation, its Governor Ajith Nivard Cabraal said in a telephone interview today. The bank expects the island nation to meet its target of mid-single digit inflation, he said, without giving a timeframe.

“What we have done is sufficient,” Cabraal said. “It’s a policy package that will bring systemic changes in the right direction.”

Policy makers on Feb. 3 raised benchmark rates for the first time in five years and said they would curtail import- related credit to reduce trade and current-account deficits. The moves will ensure that inflation remains at “mid-single digit levels” in the second half of 2012, they said.

The bank on Feb. 9 also abandoned a currency trading band to help conserve foreign-exchange reserves. Together the policies will help to bring down the trade and current-account deficits, Cabraal said.

Ceylon Petroleum Corp., Sri Lanka’s state oil company, raised petroleum prices from Feb. 12. The price increases led to a 20 percent rise in bus fares, the state-run Daily News reported today.
Stocks Fall

The benchmark Colombo All-Share Index lost 3.8 percent to 5002.68 at 12:51 p.m. local time, extending eight days of losses and set to close at its lowest level since August 2010, while the Sri Lankan rupee plunged 2.8 percent to 120.10 per dollar, according to Bloomberg data.

Stocks and the rupee slumped last week after Cabraal said policy makers would “intervene” in the currency market through “supply and not based on price.”

Sri Lanka devalued the currency by 3 percent in November to boost exports. The central bank lowered the rupee’s trading band against the dollar on Feb. 3, Feb. 6 and Feb. 9, prior to announcing its removal.

Consumer prices in the capital, Colombo, increased 3.8 percent in January from a year earlier after gaining 4.9 percent in December.

Sri Lanka’s foreign-exchange reserves have dropped by about 25 percent from an unprecedented $8 billion last year, as the central bank sold dollars to defend the local currency.

The dismantling of the trading band came after calls by the International Monetary Fund for a more flexible exchange rate.

The IMF, which has disbursed $1.75 billion from a $2.6 billion program to boost the Sri Lankan central bank’s reserves, said Feb. 3 it endorsed the decision to raise rates and cool credit demand.

greedy

greedy
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

That is what he was telling to exchange rates.... that we have enough reserves and CBSL will depend EXchange Rate. Later he did the opposite. So can we rely on what he say on this INTEREST RATE???

Kosinna


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic

He does not have vision and knowledge to manage the economy. His vision is shortsighted and he adamantly kept the rate fixed for a long period and wasted $2.0 billion to defend his ego. He may have realized that the he cannot work against the economic fundamentals of the country.

Kumar

Kumar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

In Srilanka from politics to policy making telling somthing and doing against to it normal.
God can't change these rascals attitude.

rijayasooriya

rijayasooriya
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

I also think this Cabr--l guy is not suitable for this post.I do not know whether it is due to interferences from politicians.

He do not have a plan.He is just like an amateur gambler in CSE.The only difference I can see is gambler in CSE is mainly playing with his/her money or with credit(ultimately he has to pay) but this person is playing with country's money.He is safe with his salary.

csehistorian


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic

rijayasooriya wrote:I also think this Cabr--l guy is not suitable for this post.I do not know whether it is due to interferences from politicians.

He do not have a plan.He is just like an amateur gambler in CSE.The only difference I can see is gambler in CSE is mainly playing with his/her money or with credit(ultimately he has to pay) but this person is playing with country's money.He is safe with his salary.

you could have saved a lot of typing by just saying he is someone like you.

rijayasooriya

rijayasooriya
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

csehistorian wrote:
rijayasooriya wrote:I also think this Cabr--l guy is not suitable for this post.I do not know whether it is due to interferences from politicians.

He do not have a plan.He is just like an amateur gambler in CSE.The only difference I can see is gambler in CSE is mainly playing with his/her money or with credit(ultimately he has to pay) but this person is playing with country's money.He is safe with his salary.

you could have saved a lot of typing by just saying he is someone like you.

I salute ur great knowledge and know it all attitude.Can I suggest u to his position ? I am -100% sure u will do that job very successfully.

lol! lol! lol! lol! lol! lol!

wiki


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

no one believe him now

Tiger

Tiger
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

I think its high time for him to go or send him. Once the trust is gone at that level, it can cause greater damage to investor confidence and greater economy.

lets see what our politicians would do, to correct the situ. Only unforeseen factor for the economy was impact of Iran oil disruption on economy, every other economic indicators were available. In such an environment policies adopted by CB were naive and unprofessional. Someone must be the scapegoat, ideal candidate is Governor, However I think he will be made Minister of Finance in Sri Lanka before long.

gamaya


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

Can we arrange a marriage between former sec aunty and this guy. Well suited couple. Could be soulmates.

sapumal


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

Very good news to CSE.
With Inflation (after devalue 6% and fuel price hike ) no interest rate adjustment. This will again attract FD to CSE.
But best thing is to not do too much and do it 50% - 50% way.

FXX

FXX
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Feb 16, 2012 (LBT) - Lankan Rupee opened around 119.40/65 against the US dollar and later strengthened as much as 118.70/119.00 after briefly dipping in early trade, dealers said.

cseguide

cseguide
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

now loosing the faith on government policies. corruption, wastage, poor management and unproductive Government institutions eat all hard earn tax money. no sufficient foreign investment. day by day worsen the situation.

mra

mra
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

cabrall and politicians are behind white skin people. these people are helpless in the eyes of US and Europe. these people dance according western tune. west will encourage corruption/wastage/poor managements etc..then let these people dance according to their tune. that's what happening today. more to come....
God bless our country..

sapumal


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

greedy wrote:That is what he was telling to exchange rates.... that we have enough reserves and CBSL will depend EXchange Rate. Later he did the opposite. So can we rely on what he say on this INTEREST RATE???

Trade deficit and credit growth is the major concerns. Also they are inter related because most of the credits are use to import related industries.

What they have done to control is
Increase rates and impose a ceiling for credit
Devalue rupee to 120 (automatically)

ATM, they might observing the results of the experiment
If CB is not intervening, at this exchange rate we should earn (export,FDI,..) enough to pay imports,debts,... on daily basis
Otherwise CB has to change rates again.

Also CB can't do this to save economy. This is the responsibility of the government to initiate local industries. Still we are importing cloths, tyres, eggs, coconuts , sugar ....


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