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some brokers’ debts are in the billions of rupees

+10
Gaja
salt
Academic
tubal
Monster
mono
Rajitha
anu
mark
duke
14 posters

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mono


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

anu wrote:Thanks tubal. That is exactly what I meant.

If this 20bn is only institutional outstanding, there is no reason for small investors to sell at a much lower levels. So T+5 clearing, causing this mayhem is not logical.

that's nonsense. Some of us have stop losses when they get hit we sell, for example I've sold over 10 mn in the last couple of weeks. And I carry no debts. there is something called momentum to the market and it works both ways. When some people start selling it triggers waves of selling. this gets compounded when people are not willing to commit to buy back again.

Academic


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

mono wrote:
anu wrote:Thanks tubal. That is exactly what I meant.

If this 20bn is only institutional outstanding, there is no reason for small investors to sell at a much lower levels. So T+5 clearing, causing this mayhem is not logical.

that's nonsense. Some of us have stop losses when they get hit we sell, for example I've sold over 10 mn in the last couple of weeks. And I carry no debts. there is something called momentum to the market and it works both ways. When some people start selling it triggers waves of selling. this gets compounded when people are not willing to commit to buy back again.

Following is a post by you few weeks back. Is it consistent?

psst.....

Rolling Eyes

you know if you ask me there might not be a credit crunch in March. a lot of the credit could have been easily cleared off these 1 & 1/2 months. That might also explain why some of these large caps are sluggish. a lot of break out are breaking down because of credit clearing. HHL being the most recent


http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t657-today-market

mono


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

Academic wrote:
mono wrote:
anu wrote:Thanks tubal. That is exactly what I meant.

If this 20bn is only institutional outstanding, there is no reason for small investors to sell at a much lower levels. So T+5 clearing, causing this mayhem is not logical.

that's nonsense. Some of us have stop losses when they get hit we sell, for example I've sold over 10 mn in the last couple of weeks. And I carry no debts. there is something called momentum to the market and it works both ways. When some people start selling it triggers waves of selling. this gets compounded when people are not willing to commit to buy back again.

Following is a post by you few weeks back. Is it consistent?

psst.....

Rolling Eyes

you know if you ask me there might not be a credit crunch in March. a lot of the credit could have been easily cleared off these 1 & 1/2 months. That might also explain why some of these large caps are sluggish. a lot of break out are breaking down because of credit clearing. HHL being the most recent


http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t657-today-market

Why is it inconsistent.

salt


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

mono wrote:I think people are just aping the december sentiments here, about retail credit clearance. I doubt there is a lot of retail credit left over. As rajitha said most people are in a new credit cycle.


People say many things when it down. Yes, nobody knows exact reason.
Combination of all those factors should be driving the market down. What is more inportant to undertand , at which point will it tiugger the turn? Is it 7,000, or 6,750 or 6,500 or less than this ...

Gaja


Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics

This T + 5 issue i asked in the another post yesterday on Looks like collection started?

wis


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

For some people this buying on credit, margin trading is like using drugs or playing casino. They're buying more and more even though they're facing heavy losses. They add more and more debts expecting profits in the future.

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics

wis wrote:For some people this buying on credit, margin trading is like using drugs or playing casino. They're buying more and more even though they're facing heavy losses. They add more and more debts expecting profits in the future.

My thinking is also our greed dragged us to this level.. when the market is down for 3-4 days continuesly.. lets say T+5 or credit clearance, we buy more thinking the counters are ever attractive now.. but then find out its again falling more than we thought.. we avg.. or observe for a turn.. still ti goes down.. then we panic and sell.. big fish keep cash for these scenarios and collect at the bottom.. now who lost.. its retailers..
If we ever thought abt playing safe with low margins or no credit at all the losses in a down market is bare minimum.. we'd have used the margin to buy back low.. but now we're facing a loss and cant even buy..

Meta Trader

Meta Trader
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Wow !
what a discussion !
i think i was too late to contribute in here Sad Sad Sad

anu

anu
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Rajitha wrote:
anu wrote:Rajitha, what you say may be logical.

But why do you think the shares accross the board were falling like in a bottomless pit on thin volumes. If forced selling is not happening, what is the fun of selling at a much discounted prices, sometimes at loss. Essentially those are not institutional investors who were selling but retail lots.

It cannot be only the T+5 case, as the period in red was too long. It cannot be explained as a pure profit taking too, when many fundamentally sound stocks have gone to pre-sept.10 levels.

We need to think

Yes think first! What drives the CSE ? Its certainly not good PE or PBV or growth . (How can you define some of the CARS shares that under perform going up then and rights trading above share price?) Its the anticipation and forums + news papers talking about the huge credit clearing that is said to happen at the end of this month! Also funny thin about T+5 is some brokers did not follow it and they were forced to few days ago! Also when you buy on credit you have to clear it now no matter how low the price is! Some like me even keep extending the small amount of credit I had buying low and selling high for few weeks now but finally sold them at a loss few days back!

Did you ask your brokers BTW how much month credit clearing he has to do ? Please go ask him that first and come here and let me know than maybe type speculations! ( Unless thats your intention) For me all my brokers have 0 credit to clear by end of the month as they all have been wiped out already.

And, good to see this type of typical class-room-bully type of posts sprouting from immaturity.
May be a bit more maturity needed to respect views of others and respond, as no one is perfect and no one posts here with 100% accuracy.

Intolerance towards others views is a sign of weakness, which needs your attention my friend.

And, to the point - I did check up with my brokers.

The reasons for market down fall seem to be many - Credit clearance, margin calling, T+5 (which is not strictly adhered), selling for forthcoming IPOs, stop-loss selling etc.

And they do have credits to be cleared, which is an important factor.


For your information, I have not settled over 2Mn. for the last 2 weeks, for which I have not got a call from them still..!!


Rajitha

Rajitha
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

[quote="anu"][quote="Rajitha"]
anu wrote:
And, good to see this type of typical class-room-bully type of posts sprouting from immaturity.
May be a bit more maturity needed to respect views of others and respond, as no one is perfect and no one posts here with 100% accuracy.

Intolerance towards others views is a sign of weakness, which needs your attention my friend.

And, to the point - I did check up with my brokers.

The reasons for market down fall seem to be many - Credit clearance, margin calling, T+5 (which is not strictly adhered), selling for forthcoming IPOs, stop-loss selling etc.

And they do have credits to be cleared, which is an important factor.


For your information, I have not settled over 2Mn. for the last 2 weeks, for which I have not got a call from them still..!!



I'm not being a bully just voicing not agreeing with your opinion! Are you not the person who asked others to raise the issues if others don't agree with you as well ? I'm perfectly happy towards other peoples views. I'm just saying maybe do some research first or give any evidence specially when you strongly disagree some one showing some evidence or points!

AS you said you have over 2Mn to be settled from last 2 weeks! So much do you have left to settle now for last year ? If I post a topic asking people about the amount of credit they have to settle for t+5 and credit left over from last December I can bet anything that we will have over 1000x the time of cash for the T+5! ( I doubt there are even a single person who still left to settle their credit who has been active at CSE )
As you said in the end its collection of many things and mainly fear! Thats not what you been telling at start!

UKboy

UKboy
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Meta Trader wrote:Wow !
what a discussion !
i think i was too late to contribute in here Sad Sad Sad

Yes its a valuable discussion & bit late.

Sadly or luckily I havent had with any unpleasant credit related issues. As a bit conservative investor I always try to not use my credit facilities.

duke


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

so what happens to those 20 billion debt if not settled on march end?
it seems brokers are keeping it out of spotlight always pointing the others. but should they be responsible for that. could it mean the market could see a huge dip when they struggle to clear it? what happens if the brokers don't do it?

mark

mark
Expert
Expert

tubal wrote:Guys, there is credit to be cleared. My broker says the amount is about 20 billion. While everyone keeps talking about the T+5, the ground reality is that it hasn't been strictly implemented by all brokers. Some have but some have not.

Don't also forget that purchases made before 31/12/2010 are not covered by this T+5 rule. I remember how some people at investnow were gleefully urging others to buy before the dec 31 deadline. I think a lot of people have done exactly that. To be quite frank, I did too but I sold off all that stuff in February.

so are you guys thinking past days turnovers cleared the debt???
i don't think so......... (thin volumes and low turnovers in past few days...)
i think we can expect some high fluctuations in some counters,which were rose rapidly....
i may be 100% wrong............... Cool

anu

anu
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Rajitha wrote:
Did you ask your brokers BTW how much month credit clearing he has to do ? Please go ask him that first and come here and let me know than maybe type speculations! ( Unless thats your intention) For me all my brokers have 0 credit to clear by end of the month as they all have been wiped out already.

Rajitha, the above lines of you is not voicing your opinion. It is simply bullying. You and me both were not 100% clear about the reason. But posting like this hurts. Sharing the views however contradictory it may be, in a decent way, within the ethical lines of posting is welcome.

My Rs 2Mn. plus outstanding is for what I bought during 1st and 2nd week of March.11. So this T+5 clearing etc. is not the real cause.

For all the members: I am amused by the way this reputation point system works in this forum.
Is it gratification for friendship and supporting ones views? So funny. In this case I would be happy have -1000 rep points for me - if that is the cost to be forthright in views....!!!!!

mono

mono
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

Anu, stop playing victim. I know the booboo hurts, but deal with it. this is the internet. Wink

So far I haven't seen any evidence from you. your 2 million story doesn't help your cause one bit. It shows how easily T+5 can get out of hand. So far most people who have been in touch with thier brokerages are claiming that their brokerages don't have credit to clear. They could be lying, but all of them lying seems a little too much.

anu

anu
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

mono wrote:Anu, stop playing victim. I know the booboo hurts, but deal with it. this is the internet. Wink

So far I haven't seen any evidence from you. your 2 million story doesn't help your cause one bit. It shows how easily T+5 can get out of hand. So far most people who have been in touch with thier brokerages are claiming that their brokerages don't have credit to clear. They could be lying, but all of them lying seems a little too much.

mono - the last thing I would want is to play victim. No member saw any evidence from you and Rajitha either. It is the opinion of every member. You and Rajitha can give your opinion. But overtures and bullying will not be taken up with folded hands.

It is not my intention to write back in the same language. I only pointed out when it leaves a bad taste in the mouth.

duke


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

no no sir we don't have any credit sir. we're clean sir. it's probably other brokers. i have a list of good shares. (looks at the portfolio of the big investors with billions of debt) yes sir those have potential. see market is moving sir. not to worry sir. could you please excuse me sir i have lot of calls to make today. no sir nothing to do with credit clearing sir.

mono

mono
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

anu wrote:
mono wrote:Anu, stop playing victim. I know the booboo hurts, but deal with it. this is the internet. Wink

So far I haven't seen any evidence from you. your 2 million story doesn't help your cause one bit. It shows how easily T+5 can get out of hand. So far most people who have been in touch with thier brokerages are claiming that their brokerages don't have credit to clear. They could be lying, but all of them lying seems a little too much.

mono - the last thing I would want is to play victim. No member saw any evidence from you and Rajitha either. It is the opinion of every member. You and Rajitha can give your opinion. But overtures and bullying will not be taken up with folded hands.

It is not my intention to write back in the same language. I only pointed out when it leaves a bad taste in the mouth.

eh! I have 2mn on T+5 is as good as evidence buddy. And all these conversations with brokers is also evidence.

anu

anu
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

mono - Me having 2mn beyond T+5 for the purchase during march goes against your argument that T+5 only brought down the market. If you read the posts, members are not consistent in telling that there is no debt to be cleared. So it is rather opinion than being a concrete evidence!

anu

anu
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

duke wrote:no no sir we don't have any credit sir. we're clean sir. it's probably other brokers. i have a list of good shares. (looks at the portfolio of the big investors with billions of debt) yes sir those have potential. see market is moving sir. not to worry sir. could you please excuse me sir i have lot of calls to make today. no sir nothing to do with credit clearing sir.

duke - a good one....!

mono

mono
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

anu wrote:mono - Me having 2mn beyond T+5 for the purchase during march goes against your argument that T+5 only brought down the market. If you read the posts, members are not consistent in telling that there is no debt to be cleared. So it is rather opinion than being a concrete evidence!

Oh i see so all these people with T+5 were just lying around and not selling. Just like you. The point is people had vast amounts of T+5 piled up and wanted to sell at the same time people were not interested in buying or didn't have money to buy. This deficit started the down fall. The rest was momentum.

Members are pretty consistent about the debt only Tubal's broker is saying other brokerages, not thiers, have 20bn to sell.

anu

anu
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

That's again your opinion mono.

Read this. Not only tubal. There are other members telling about debt clearance:

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t1894-artificial-day-low-volume-of-trades-still-credit-clearing-left

See, if T+5 was not properly implemented like in my case, whether that alone is enough to cause this much of damage is something arguable. True enough there can be other contributors like stop loss, momentum traders etc contributing to this.

mono

mono
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

anu wrote:That's again your opinion mono.

Read this. Not only tubal. There are other members telling about debt clearance:

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t1894-artificial-day-low-volume-of-trades-still-credit-clearing-left

See, if T+5 was not properly implemented like in my case, whether that alone is enough to cause this much of damage is something arguable. True enough there can be other contributors like stop loss, momentum traders etc contributing to this.

Ah so you're changing your stance from T+5 isn't enough to what if T+5 isn't properly implemented. T+5 is at least 30% of any day's turnover it can do a lot of damage a lot more than than whatever credit that is left behind. And people having to sell T+5 is as much of an opinion as gravity is.

So what did your broker say about how much credit is left behind.

Rajitha

Rajitha
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

It seems pointless talking or trying to explain to people that can't grasp with facts! All they want is people to praise them for putting fuel and writing the same rumor they heard from some one else and get upset if any one disagree with them. ( Not worth the effort mono we just get negative rep thats it! ). It seems best to nod along with idiots although you know they are posting baseless rumors and can't even talk 1 minute to try and confirm even if it might have the tiniest bit of truth!

BTW ANU we did had some facts unlike your rumors that you trying to point out as facts! All the peoples brokers + mine as we heard have 0 credit left over from last year to clear( Atleast from retailers as i said) . But including you + many others have t+5 credit !

Gaja


Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics

X KNOW BETTER THAN Y, Y KNOWS BETTER THAN X, AND I DON'T KNOW ANYTHING ABOUT IT!

duke


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

getting answers from brokers is like horunge ammalagen pena ahuwa wage

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