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LLUB - a quick look

5 posters

Go down  Message [Page 1 of 1]

1LLUB - a quick look Empty LLUB - a quick look Thu Apr 14, 2011 7:48 pm

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics

Chevron a subsidiary of Chevron Texaco Corporation is the market leader for lubricants in the Sri Lankan context which is 69% approximately. Chevron operates with two brands namely ‘Caltex’ and ‘Lanka’ currently . LIOC follows with 15% in a market which now has 15 operators.

Chevron Lubricants Lanka PLC engages in blending, manufacturing, importing, distributing, and marketing lubricant oils, greases, break fluids, and specialty products in Sri Lanka.
The company offers its products for industrial, commercial, and consumer applications.
Chevron Lubricants Lanka PLC markets its products under Chevron, Caltex, and Texaco brands.
The company was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Colombo, Sri Lanka.

Factors to consider;

1. Expected increase in vehicle registrations in 2010E and 2011E could benefit the lubricant industry,New vehicle registrations over the first four months of 2010 amounted 95,929.

2. Chevron has expanded its operations overseas to Bangladesh and the Maldives in a small scale where exports amount to 10% of the company revenue.

3. Sectors such as tourism, agriculture and fisheries are poised to benefit the most in post war Sri Lanka. Also with power projects and road development projects taking place a positive impact could be expected on the lubricants market.

4. Gross profit margins could come under pressure as base oil prices are on the rise.

5. Historically LLUB has demonstrated a clear dividend policy of paying high dividends.

Current Assets: 3,083,79
Current Liabilities : 1,028,59

EPS for the year ended 31st December 2010 : 12.51

ordinary Shares : 120 Mn

Public Holding : 49%

Sector PE : 23.40

Fair Sector PE at a 30% discount : 16.38
Hence fair valuation of share = 16.38 * 12.51 = Rs. 204.9/-

Current PE:162/12.51 = 12.95

Current PE is abt half of the sector PE, therefore; its safe to assume this is undervalued..

Most importantly LLUB is one of the very few counters that gives u 4 interim dividends a year.. The first one is pending in April..

Note:- Some facts have been taken from 2010 research reports of JKSB & BMS.

2LLUB - a quick look Empty Re: LLUB - a quick look Fri Apr 15, 2011 12:58 am

mark

mark
Expert
Expert

i'm 200% agree with you,this is a very attractive undervalued share with longterm prospect....
good DY...........good management......good CSR.......good value chain...strong BS with huge retain earnings
*ROE-69%(2010)

*An Ecuadorian judge has ruled that Chevron was responsible for widespread contamination of the country's Amazon basin and fined the company $8bn (£5bn). The oil firm blasted the ruling as a "fraud".
http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2011/feb/14/chevron-contaminate-ecuador
this will not affect srilanka in subsidiary context.........

3LLUB - a quick look Empty Re: LLUB - a quick look Fri Apr 15, 2011 9:29 am

seyon


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

smallville wrote:
Most importantly LLUB is one of the very few counters that gives u 4 interim dividends a year.. The first one is pending in April..

Note:- Some facts have been taken from 2010 research reports of JKSB & BMS.

Hi smallville

Thanks for the good analysis. I also have been following up this for long time. This is very attractive counter in terms of dividend pay out. For 2010 Rs.12.25 dividend had been paid out, basically 7% dividend yield ( 11/ average price of 160). As u pointed out. with new expansion and increasing vehicle registration will increase the dividend pay out and value of the company...

Happy Trading

4LLUB - a quick look Empty Re: LLUB - a quick look Thu Jun 09, 2011 6:22 pm

Chief


Stock Analytic
Stock Analytic

Why hasn't LLUB declared their first interim dividend which is usually declared in the period of April-May every year? It's about time that they declare their first interim dividend this year, because the last dividend(fourth Interim Dividend) was declared in December 2010. I wonder whats going on. Hope they declare it soon.

5LLUB - a quick look Empty Re: LLUB - a quick look Fri Jun 10, 2011 8:29 am

Soundchips


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

waiting to see LLUB regaining momentum.

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