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TKS Research report on General Election outcome from only 12,500 or 0.0008% of 15.04 Million Sri Lankan Voter Base - Decide Accurate or Not?

+2
thestock123
EquityChamp
6 posters

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EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator

District wise end result looks correct to me.
Attachments
TKS Research report on General Election outcome from only 12,500 or 0.0008% of 15.04 Million Sri Lankan Voter Base - Decide Accurate or Not? AttachmentGeneral Election 2015 - Estimated-Results-12-08-2015-with-Bonus-Seat-Allocation.pdf
Research report published by TK research.
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EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator

The latest poll conducted by Reuters showed that MR have 36% from Sinhalese community against 32% for RW to PM post but MR has only 2% from Tamils & Muslims compared to 70% for RW. The TK research report also indicated the same trend where UNP is winning in huge margins in the districts where strong minority presence while UPFA is winning comfortably on districts with strong Sinhalese community.

thestock123


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic

EquityChamp wrote:District wise end result looks correct to me.

This is good estimation ,but considering the results of Badulla ,Nuwaraeliya will not be possible. Badulla should be UNP -5 UPFA-3 ,nuwaraeliya  UNP-5   UPFA-3

and also Polonaruwa and monaragala results are not realistic estimation...

those should be UPFA-3 UNP-2 accordingly ,no seats for JVP.

Ryan Hudson


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

sample size is not enough and there is something about perception, these paid research orgs of unp police junta

Prince

Prince
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

I dont beleive even financial researches done by Stock Brokers. All rubbish.  They will create reports when they want to sell a quantity.

Smile

nis2010


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Prince wrote:I dont beleive even financial researches done by Stock Brokers. All rubbish.  They will create reports when they want to sell a quantity.

Smile
I agree with this phrase. "They will create reports when they want to sell a quantity. " .

DealKing

DealKing
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

The total registered Voter Base in Sri Lanka - Sri Lanka's total registered voters 15,044,490 (15 million and 44 thousand and 4 hundred and Ninety) ලංකාවේ සියලු ලියාපදිංචි ඡන්ද දායකයින් ගණන එකසිය පනස් ලක්ෂ හතලිස් හාර දහස් හාරසිය අනුවකි (පහළොස් මිලියන හතලිස් හාර දහස් හාරසිය අනුවකි) which means TKS Research is done with only even 0.0008% of total voter base.Not even 1%

TKS Research Report sample is very small have a look the number of participants are only 12,500 and read the bottom of the report...It is important to note that above estimated results analyzed based on the current political situation (as of 12th August 2015) and perception of over 12,500 respondents participated for the independent pre-election survey conducted in all 25 administrative districts in Sri Lanka.

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