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EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000)

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201EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty EXPOLANKA IPO - DO NOT INVEST? Sat Apr 30, 2011 12:58 pm

swarnasana


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Over 300 million shares given in a private placement at Rs 6.00 per share..
What will happen to the buyers who buy at Rs 14.00 at the IPO?

202EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Sat Apr 30, 2011 1:00 pm

kiri


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

swarnasana wrote:Over 300 million shares given in a private placement at Rs 6.00 per share..
What will happen to the buyers who buy at Rs 14.00 at the IPO?
http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t3116-expolanka-pre-ipo-sell-down-creates-controversy
there are more details. thanks

203EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Sat Apr 30, 2011 6:43 pm

avilon


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

So many negative factors.feels the IPO has a lesser interest.Is it worthy to take this IPO with a high risk.

swarnasana


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Why is Securities and Exchange Commission of Sri Lanka maintaining a deafening silence?

205EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty EXPOLANKA IPO Sat Apr 30, 2011 8:19 pm

swarnasana


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Why is Securities and Exchange Commission of Sri Lanka maintaining a deafening silence?

206EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Sat Apr 30, 2011 9:16 pm

Amila86

Amila86
Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic

How does EXPO effct to WAPO share price?

207EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Sat Apr 30, 2011 10:54 pm

tubal


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

swarnasana wrote:Why is Securities and Exchange Commission of Sri Lanka maintaining a deafening silence?

As I said in another thread; There is no cure for stupidity, so the SEC or anyone else can't do anything about a bunch of fools buying a share at 14 when it's worth only 6.

208EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty buy at secondary markert Sat Apr 30, 2011 11:25 pm

shaankh

shaankh
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

It will trade lower than 14/- in the secondary market.

209EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Sat Apr 30, 2011 11:40 pm

tata


Stock Analytic
Stock Analytic

Yes.
It is very much likely trade below 14 at secondory market.
At the same time I feel its a good share to have in our portfolios in MT/ST.

210EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Sun May 01, 2011 12:25 am

Meta Trader

Meta Trader
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

tubal wrote:
swarnasana wrote:Why is Securities and Exchange Commission of Sri Lanka maintaining a deafening silence?

As I said in another thread; There is no cure for stupidity, so the SEC or anyone else can't do anything about a bunch of fools buying a share at 14 when it's worth only 6.

if this thing worth that much JKH and WAPO should subscribe again for more shares .Please correct me if i'm wrong !

211EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Sun May 01, 2011 10:00 am

ssb

ssb
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

6 -14 got large price range

Meta Trader

Meta Trader
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Several top blue chips including John Keells Holdings PLC, Ceylon Investments PLC and Softlogic Holdings Limited, bought into Expolanka Holdings Ltd. in September last year paying a price of Rs.6 per share offered at the company’s IPO which opens on May 12 to the public at Rs.14 per share.

However, analysts said that these were not new shares, as in the case of 172 million shares to be issued at the Expolanka IPO to raise slightly over Rs.2.4 billion for the company.

"The private placement was a sell down (by the directors who sold some of their own shares) and not an issue of new shares by the company," one well informed analyst explained. "The pricing for the private sale was a decision of the sellers and does not affect the valuation of the company."

He said that Expolanka restructured its operations prior to the forthcoming IPO to enhance shareholder value by divesting some loss making businesses within the group.

These loss-makers were purchased by members of the Kassim family which controls Expolanka Holdings and they used the proceeds of the sell down of their Expolanka shares to purchase the loss making companies from the parent. Thus much of the sales proceeds of their Expolanka shares went back to Expolanka and help restructure its balance sheet.

At a meeting last week between Expolanka’s directors and management, the investing community and brokers, Mr. Khalil Masood, a former Chairman of Pakistan’s SEC who lives here and runs the brokerage, SKM Lanka of which he owns 25%, asked whether the big purchasers at the six-rupee price would give a commitment that they would hold the shares for at least a three-year period.

"That is a tall order" replied Mr. Osman Kassim, Chairman of Expolanka who indicated that it was not possible for them to give such an undertaking on behalf of other shareholders.

However, Mr. Krishan Balendra, President of John Keells Capital, lead managers and financial advisors to the issue said that it was likely that the John Keells group would participate in the IPO.

Mr. Ashok Pathirage, Chairman of Softlogic Holdings, said that his group was bullish about Sri Lanka and about Expolanka and said that they too would participate in the IPO.

Analysts said that it was likely that some other big names like Carsons would also be participating in the issue.

The buyers at the six-rupee price in September 2010 included JKH (83.3 million shares), Ceylon Investments (of the Carsons Group) (41.6 million), Lanka Strategic Investments (16.7 million) Softlogic (16.5 million), Falcon Trading (8.3 million), Times Garments (8.3 million) and some other clients of John Keells who got allotments.

In September, five directors of Expolanka, Messrs. Osman Kassim, Sattar Kassim, Shafik Kassim, Farook Kassim and Hanif Yousoof (CEO/Director) of the group sold down 61.3 million shares each of their holdings at the Rs.6 price.

However, all of them own approximately 283.8 million shares each of the company prior to the IPO.

Well informed sources said that at the time the Rs.6 sell down price was determined, the only final figures available were the results of the company’s performance in the financial year ended March 31, 2010 when an after-tax profit of Rs.591 million was earned on revenue of Rs.23.7 billion.

But in the nine months ended December 31, 2010 a consolidated pre-tax profit of Rs.1.9 billion had been posted following the divesting of the loss making companies.

"The proceeds of the private sell down were required for the restructuring. The company has since been restructured and has independent directors and some large institutional shareholders who have raised its profile," an analyst said.

He said that the IPO pricing (of Rs.14) is based on market multiples, historic performance and forecasts.

"For the IPO pricing, the company had the benefit of the actual nine months performance to December 31, 2010 which is significantly better than what was achieved for the full year to March 31, 2010," he said.

Analysts also made the point that Expolanka, with a portfolio of 46 companies within the group is doing business in a number of countries in the region including Sri Lanka, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Indonesia, Dubai (UAE), Kenya, Mauritius, Madagascar and South Africa.

"This would mean that any investor in Expolanka will have exposure to the economies of several countries other than Sri Lanka," the analyst said.

Most of those present at last week’s meeting when the company showcased itself were confident that the issue would be over-subscribed and would close on the opening day.

The group’s biggest business is transportation including air freight, sea freight, combined sea and air, freight consolidation etc. It is also into a variety of other businesses including tea, transportation, waste paper, bio extracts, IT, BPO and a host of others.

The Expolanka board has three Independent Directors outside the Kassim family – Dr. S. Selliah, Harsha Amarasekera and Sanjay Kulatunga.

http://www.island.lk/index.php?page_cat=article-details&page=article-details&code_title=24285

213EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Sun May 01, 2011 12:54 pm

FKhamissa


Stock Trader

smallville wrote:Now only they've shed some light on it.. but they say the intrinsic value at that time was Rs.6/- but how come it got more than double in quite a small time frame?
Anyways, still the argument prevails.. We still cannot say whether the cars group would not go for a capital gain without wait Wink


How a company would usually value their shares is they would look at their one year forward earnings, decide on a multiple based on the market or industry average an fixed their share price accordingly.

Assuming Expo has based their value on forward earnings 2012 it is only common sense that the share value be higher on their IPO. this is simply due to the funds of the IPO flowing back into the company as mentioned in their prospectus for debt retirement (saving in finance cost) new project and additional working capital. this will boost the companies performance for the year 2012. If like you mention the private placement was a sell down of shares the proceedings would have not come into the company and there fore the boost the company would get during the IPO must have not been there.

to add to the disparity

Also generally there is a percentage discount between a usual private placement price and IPO price as private companies are not governed by the corporate governance regulations as public companies. due to this investors associate a discount on private placement price due to the additional risk.

Price change is justifiable..

Specially looking at todays Island article

"However, Mr. Krishan Balendra, President of John Keells Capital, lead managers and financial advisors to the issue said that it was likely that the John Keells group would participate in the IPO.



Mr. Ashok Pathirage, Chairman of Softlogic Holdings, said that his group was bullish about Sri Lanka and about Expolanka and said that they too would participate in the IPO.



Analysts said that it was likely that some other big names like Carsons would also be participating in the issu
e.


It seems unlikely that the big investors will dump on opening day..

214EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Sun May 01, 2011 12:58 pm

MHS


Stock Trader

Khamissa i agree..

GUYS, THIS COMPANY IS GOING TO BE A COMPANY WITH REAL GROWTH VALUE.A LOT OF NEGATIVE PUBLICITY IS BEING CREATED TO FOOL SMALL INVESTORS AS IT WILL GIVE AN OPPORTUNITY TO HIGH END INVESTORS TO FURTHER GET LARGER ALLOCATIONS. RETAIL INVESTOR LIKE US SHOULD NOT MISS OUT>

215EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Sun May 01, 2011 1:29 pm

cse.alpha


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Meta Trader wrote:

He said that Expolanka restructured its operations prior to the forthcoming IPO to enhance shareholder value by divesting some loss making businesses within the group.

These loss-makers were purchased by members of the Kassim family which controls Expolanka Holdings and they used the proceeds of the sell down of their Expolanka shares to purchase the loss making companies from the parent. Thus much of the sales proceeds of their Expolanka shares went back to Expolanka and help restructure its balance sheet.

http://www.island.lk/index.php?page_cat=article-details&page=article-details&code_title=24285

Was this related party purchase disclosed in Prospectus? Expo Aviation and Denshun were sold, with Expo booking a profit. But buyers seem to be related.

216EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Sun May 01, 2011 1:29 pm

wis


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

I used to apply for all the IPOs in the past. But this time I'm going to skip it because the unethical and shady dealings of the expolanka owners.

217EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Sun May 01, 2011 1:42 pm

StocksWatch


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

MHS wrote:Khamissa i agree..

GUYS, THIS COMPANY IS GOING TO BE A COMPANY WITH REAL GROWTH VALUE.A LOT OF NEGATIVE PUBLICITY IS BEING CREATED TO FOOL SMALL INVESTORS AS IT WILL GIVE AN OPPORTUNITY TO HIGH END INVESTORS TO FURTHER GET LARGER ALLOCATIONS. RETAIL INVESTOR LIKE US SHOULD NOT MISS OUT>

It would be beneficial for everybody interested, if you can ellaborate your point here with some facts.

218EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Sun May 01, 2011 1:59 pm

taniya1111


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Plz dont buy expo lanka shares at Rs14 at the ipo....but it is a good share....so if you want to see it in your portfolio wait until end of june or august....you will be able to buy Expo aroun Rs10

219EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Sun May 01, 2011 2:23 pm

nalakaum


Stock Trader

million wrote:Does any one know what there main business is and are could it give 100% return ????

Heard this:

- Part of the total shares sold to employees of ExpoLanka @ Rs. 4.00
- Part of the total shares sold to Private parties @ Rs. 6.00
- The rest is available for others through IPO @ Rs. 14.00 Shocked Shocked

So, some say that it's "over priced" Crying or Very sad

Could someone confirm this?

220EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Sun May 01, 2011 10:17 pm

MHS


Stock Trader

StocksWatch wrote:
MHS wrote:Khamissa i agree..

GUYS, THIS COMPANY IS GOING TO BE A COMPANY WITH REAL GROWTH VALUE.A LOT OF NEGATIVE PUBLICITY IS BEING CREATED TO FOOL SMALL INVESTORS AS IT WILL GIVE AN OPPORTUNITY TO HIGH END INVESTORS TO FURTHER GET LARGER ALLOCATIONS. RETAIL INVESTOR LIKE US SHOULD NOT MISS OUT>

It would be beneficial for everybody interested, if you can ellaborate your point here with some facts.

Its quite simple.. first its apparent all stock brokers except for Capital Trust are promoting this issue..

40% of the allocation is going to retail investors. 10% to unit trust and 15% to employees and the balance 35% to the rest and big players.

what ever is not subscribed by the retail category will spill over to the Other category giving more allocation to the Big guys.

According to all stock broker reports the issue is fairly valued.

The only problem with this IPO is the question of the Private placement investors dumping the share. According to the Island today JKH CARSONS and SOFTLOGIC all who are the major investors in the Private placement will be investing further in the IPO.



221EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Sun May 01, 2011 11:50 pm

Mr. Frodo

Mr. Frodo
Stock Analytic
Stock Analytic

Hey guys i v been following this site for some time and i have actually learn t a lot from it. And especially Regarding this Expo lanka IPO*. I still have the following issues with this IPO.

Firstly Is there any guarantee that these so called Major players wont dump there shares. What if they change there mind... JKH stock brokers can afford to recommend this share as there group would clearly benefit with such a huge captial gain. (more than 100 percent is quite possible) Also apart from them Other shareholders* own 130.5 million shares. thats almost 75 percent of these IPO shares what would happen if they Dump*. Isnt there a lot of high uncertainty and risk.

Also.. Why Would i want to Invest in a company with Such double standards. They issue share s privately at 6 rupees about 6 months ago.. and give it to the public at 14... what exactly has happened for the price to increase by more than 100 percent. I really dont care if the share is fairly valued at 14.. the fact is some of there elite friends got the same share at 6 a couple of months back. Do they take the public as fools to purchase these very shares at 14 a couple of months later.

This is my opinion if i m wrong please do correct me.
Very Happy

222EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon May 02, 2011 3:13 am

econ

econ
Global Moderator

This is an ethical issue.. double standards towards retailers and institutions.
It is good at least Capitaltrust has guts to openly critisize this unethical things done by companies.

223EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon May 02, 2011 9:40 am

Light of Hope


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

I am not interested in this IPo, I feel it's unfair and they need to be taught a lesson for been unfair

224EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon May 02, 2011 9:51 am

StocksWatch


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

I do not invest in companies that are unethical. Discrimination at its best!

225EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon May 02, 2011 1:40 pm

Quibit


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Authorities should address these issues prior to a public share issue and safeguard the investors against such tactics by corporates to attract investors. It is CSE and SEC responsibility to safeguard the investors the same manner Central Bank does for the depositors.

Independent directors should be more than just a title. Each independent director acts irresponsibly should be restrained from holding such esteemed positions in the future.

226EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon May 02, 2011 1:57 pm

MHS


Stock Trader

Personnelly i feel investors in this forum should think about the issues in this forum logically than get carried away with what every one is saying..

Okay let me explain it to you guys like this.. we first have to decide whether the share is in fact worth 14 rupees.. looking at the multiples it is valued at 14 times forward earnings.. with the industry currently trading above 18 times we can safely assume that it is below current market levels and fairly valued for an IPO.. hence the buy recommendations from all the stock brokers..

That brings us to the question if the 14 rupees is fairly valued then what is 6 rupees.. logic dictates that it is undervalued..

now coming to the unethicality of original shareholders.... they have sold 300 million shares worth 14 rupees for 6 rupees from which they lost 2.4 BILLION rupees and please note that the shareholders lost 2.4 BILLION from their own pocket and not company funds as it was a sell done. If it was company funds being lost then yes its unethical but this is a sell down..

I am sure no one will willingly miss out on 2.4 billion unless they have a solid reason to..

227EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon May 02, 2011 5:42 pm

2011_NewComer

2011_NewComer
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

There were many discussions on this.
Do a search on 'expo' and you'll get all

here are few
http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t3116-expolanka-pre-ipo-sell-down-creates-controversy
http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t2882p80-expolanka-facts-from-prospectus-valuation
http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t2961-expo-lanka-interview-with-ceo
http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t3170-expolanka-ipo

228EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon May 02, 2011 7:46 pm

rizjiji


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

Its the 5th largest freight forwarder in India... less than 14Rs. r u kidding me... if u r not interested.. then too bad, u r losing out on an awsum oppurtunity. Its profits went up by more than 150% after that 6 Rs transfer while the IPO price only increased by 133%. Some of those investors might sell there shares but most of them r long term investors & there will be many other long-term investors participating in this IPO. U'll C

229EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) - Page 9 Empty Re: EXPOLANKA HOLDINGS PLC (EXPO.N0000) Mon May 02, 2011 8:06 pm

milanka

milanka
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

2011_NewComer wrote:There were many discussions on this.
Do a search on 'expo' and you'll get all


I could see a much improved '2011_NewComer' here .. Great improvement.

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/u188

cse.alpha


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Did Expolanka Holdings sell Expo Aviation to a related party?

A lot has been said of the discrimination coming from the Rs6/- private deal of Expo in December 2010 and the Rs14/- public IPO just five months later. Were the promoter-Directors misled by advisors John Keells on the Rs6/- deal (where Keells was one of biggest investors), or are investors being taken advantage of at Rs14/?

Much less has been said of the sale of two Expo group companies just before the IPO, Expo Aviation and Denshun.

Little has been said on this sale in the Expo IPO Prospectus, except for capital gains of Rs.313 m, but extracts from press articles below hint that Expo Aviation and Denshun have been sold to related parties.

No detailed disclosure seems to have been made in Prospectus on this alleged related party sale.

What assurance do investors have that these alleged related party sales were done on an arms-length basis on commercial terms, and that minority shareholders of Expo have not been disadvantaged? Shouldn't the SEC and CSE look into this lack of disclosure?


http://www.island.lk/index.php?page_cat=article-details&page=article-details&code_title=24285

He said that Expolanka restructured its operations prior to the forthcoming IPO to enhance shareholder value by divesting some loss making businesses within the group.

These loss-makers were purchased by members of the Kassim family which controls Expolanka Holdings and they used the proceeds of the sell down of their Expolanka shares to purchase the loss making companies from the parent.


http://print.dailymirror.lk/business/127-local/42033-expolanka-divests-two-subsidiaries.html

The two companies of the group disposed completely were Expolanka Aviation and Denshun Industries. The subsidiary sale has earned a capital gain amounting to Rs.313 million.

http://www.lbo.lk/fullstory.php?nid=688640706

Expo Aviation was previously part of the Expolanka group.

The aviation business has been spun off from the parent company, Expolanka Holdings, which is to raise 2.4 billion rupees by issuing 172 million ordinary voting shares at 14 rupees each in an initial public offer on May 12.

"The reason we divested Expo Aviation from Expolanka Holdings is that it's a high-risk profile company and we did not want to expose Expolanka Holdings shareholders to the potential high-risk environment of aviation," a group spokesman said.

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