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Risk Assessment- How do you seasoned investors assess risk?

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ADVENTUS


Moderator
Moderator

Some concerns
-The past few days, the number of active patients has been on the rise.
It has reached mid-end December levels 
-daily testing is inadequate. Requirement is 50k per day.
-Hospitals may start to get to fill up, if active patients increase beyond 9000-10,000? (assuming just 15-20% actually need medical care). is there anyone in the health sector here who can advice us?
-the gov. may be forced to go for a lock down.
-vaccine news seems like a bluff. We may not get a vaccine till the mid-end of this year.
-on top of all this we are inviting foreign tourists from today onwards. 
-the gov. might just give up let the virus spread. 
-credit rating assessments may come out. 
- There is risk of sovereign bond default during the 2nd-3rd qtr. 

How should investors be prepared to deal with the outcomes? 
How will the market react for bad news- say lock down is imposed. 
will the market react negatively again? How bad will it be (knowing that people may need cash)?

RJ1010


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

No more lockdowns... we live with covid for 2021... restrictions will continue to ease.
Example of Dubai... during mid 2020 there were lockdowns when new cases were 500 a day. Lots of people lost jobs as business weakened considerably. Fast forward to 2021... no restrictions except mandatory face mask... daily 3500 new cases... jobs are back... economy springing back into action... vaccines are fast appearing and almost 2mn vaccinations done on a 10mn population. Covid stops nothing now. Life goes on. So I’m thinking same will be applicable for SL. No further panic needed.. life should go on as usual with health preventive measures.

Riz123 and Bakkabwoi like this post

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