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What may be the bottom ?

+13
mono
smallville
sanjeewa88
Academic
Market Sucker
Marketinvest
2011_NewComer
wallstreetguy
godswen
JennyFunny
raa
early
Stockmate
17 posters

Go to page : 1, 2  Next

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1bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 7:40 pm

Stockmate


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Very soon the market MAY fall past 6360 . 6360 MAY be more resistant but I am not sure that it MAY not fall below it. If it happens it MAY break 6257 . Then the fall MAY be very steep and stop at 4862. 4521 is also a strong turning point.In the worst situation it may hit 4521. But I believe that the market MAY not fall below 4862.(lets wish so)



Last edited by mark on Thu Aug 04, 2011 8:27 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : edited accordingly)

2bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 7:54 pm

early


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

How do you predict that ASI will come down to 4862?

3bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 8:05 pm

raa


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

*did you mean 5862... otherwise this looks more like the end of the world than a bear market :S

4bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 8:07 pm

JennyFunny


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

what is this based on??

5bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 8:11 pm

JennyFunny


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

what is this based on??

6bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 8:33 pm

Stockmate


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

They are all technical break points. I sensed this fall three months ago and sold out everything (Good and bad). I with 100 % cash in hand now ( 100% unused margin too).
If the fall continue in this rate for 8 weeks 4862 is possible. Whatever happens I am safe.
But the good news is we are getting close to the bottom of the market cycle. When we are sure that the market has hit the bottom we should not jump to buy. We should wait for the consolidation. Unclear signs of bottom consolidation are faintly seen. But we must stay in the safe side.
If all these go wrong the market will hit 4862.

Learn the "Market cycle" before investing in the stock market. To be safe and to get the maximum we should have a Investment cycle that goes with the market cycle. Every individual stock follow the market cycle. So how can we invest forgetting market cycle?. No one is responsible for your losses other then yourself. From the posts here what is clear is 98% of people have no knowledge about market cycle. Before being thorough about the market cycle I also fell in to troubles years ago.

7bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 8:49 pm

Stockmate


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

If you want to learn some thing about market go to there sites.
http://www.financial-spread-betting.com/Stock-market-cycles.html

8bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 8:56 pm

godswen

godswen
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Stockmate wrote: Then the fall will be very steep and stop at 4862. 4521 is also a strong turning point.In the worst situation it may hit 4521. But I believe that the market will not fall below 4862.(lets wish so)

4862? Are you just writing up numbers that pops up in your mind? Rolling Eyes

9bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 9:08 pm

Stockmate


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Godswen
Do not get angry .That is one of the worst bottom levels. The fall may not dip that far. Also we can not stop that if it happens. We can not change the market. We can only respond to it wisely of foolishly. If you failed to see the market correction early can not be helped

If this turns out to be a crash we can not predict where it will stop.In such a situation market will end up at the levels of first quarter of 2009. ( Study the recent crash in Bangladesh.)
Bangladesh market lost 660 points ( 9.25 %) in just one hour. As a result the trading suffered a loss of about 6.7 percent



Last edited by Stockmate on Mon Jul 25, 2011 9:30 pm; edited 1 time in total

10bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 9:25 pm

wallstreetguy


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

You made things more scarier. Hahaha. Numbers cant be a nightmare.

11bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 9:36 pm

Stockmate


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

If I told that the market would fall below 6400 levels during the time the market was above 7800 levels you all would not believe. But I believed and acted in due manner and that's why I am a happy man today. Today my problem is figuring out the best entry point.

People expect only great news. I did not have great news since the they joined this forum. That is why I do not publish any posts here regularly.

12bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 9:45 pm

2011_NewComer

2011_NewComer
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Stockmate wrote:If you want to learn some thing about market go to there sites.
http://www.financial-spread-betting.com/Stock-market-cycles.html

Thanks for that link Smile

13bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 9:50 pm

Marketinvest

Marketinvest
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Its might come down to 6300

14bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 10:17 pm

Market Sucker

Market Sucker
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

dnt worry guys,there will be no sellers to push down index too much down,bet you Wink

15bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 10:20 pm

Market Sucker

Market Sucker
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Stockmate wrote:If I told that the market would fall below 6400 levels during the time the market was above 7800 levels you all would not believe. But I believed and acted in due manner and that's why I am a happy man today. Today my problem is figuring out the best entry point.

People expect only great news. I did not have great news since the they joined this forum. That is why I do not publish any posts here regularly.

can you give the link where you told about such a thing Question
im sorry,im new Very Happy

16bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 10:28 pm

Academic


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Stockmate wrote:Very soon the market will fall past 6360 . 6360 will be more resistant but I am not sure that it will not fall below it. If it happens it will break 6257 . Then the fall will be very steep and stop at 4862. 4521 is also a strong turning point.In the worst situation it may hit 4521. But I believe that the market will not fall below 4862.(lets wish so)

Please don't use the word "will" for foretasted figures. This is a kind of market manipulations.

17bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 10:33 pm

sanjeewa88

sanjeewa88
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

I think you calculated this figures by what we have rather than what we will have.

I'm also following statistics. But stat can't do all in CSE. Trend and cyclical factors are only two thing which we can predict.

If SEC or CSE takes a strategic drift you will change your figures definitely.

18bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 10:40 pm

godswen

godswen
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Stockmate wrote:Godswen
Do not get angry .That is one of the worst bottom levels. The fall may not dip that far. Also we can not stop that if it happens. We can not change the market. We can only respond to it wisely of foolishly. If you failed to see the market correction early can not be helped

If this turns out to be a crash we can not predict where it will stop.In such a situation market will end up at the levels of first quarter of 2009. ( Study the recent crash in Bangladesh.)
Bangladesh market lost 660 points ( 9.25 %) in just one hour. As a result the trading suffered a loss of about 6.7 percent


Dude! Hell no, I'm not angry! I just asked for a better explanation? You may be right but 4862 seems to be rather inappropriate in reality? Well let's see! Smile

19bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 10:51 pm

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics

Stockmate wrote:If I told that the market would fall below 6400 levels during the time the market was above 7800 levels you all would not believe. But I believed and acted in due manner and that's why I am a happy man today. Today my problem is figuring out the best entry point.

People expect only great news. I did not have great news since the they joined this forum. That is why I do not publish any posts here regularly.

Dude why didnt u come to this forum early.. we'd have not bleed like this if you said these know? we needed you more than ever now..

Gosh.. lets cut the crap.. Market may bleed to 6000 even under prevailing conditions since we dont see any inter-vision from the regulators to stop the idiotic menace they've introduced..
But anything below 5000 is out of the question..

Well I gotta go fly a kite cuz I heard enuf BS now Wink

20bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:14 pm

mono

mono
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

meh! hard to tell what the bottom is.

21bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Mon Jul 25, 2011 11:15 pm

RichDad

RichDad
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Stockmate wrote:If you want to learn some thing about market go to there sites.
http://www.financial-spread-betting.com/Stock-market-cycles.html

Thanks stockmate, that's a good article. + Rep

22bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Tue Jul 26, 2011 5:49 am

Stockmate


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

I am sorry for the use of "Will". Replace it with "May" or "likely". Nothing mentioned are definite to happen. They are only possibilities we may experience. Market may renounce any time. Whenever it re-bounce see whether it takes a quick u-turn. Quick U-turns will be only dead cat bounces. There should be a distribution phase at the bottom at least for a week before a true renounce,.

23bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Tue Jul 26, 2011 5:59 am

sanjaya351


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

.... for vall of a sudden if it moves ..up by 200 points a day ...?
withing 2-3 days ...we will be back to 7000 ...u never know....when the run will starts ... it will hit sky ..this tyime it will pass 8000 ....hv you alll notice ..forigners are coming to CSE back ....

....kandak naggoth pallamak thiyanawa ...

24bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Tue Jul 26, 2011 7:27 pm

Stockmate


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Too early to say so. But if the SEC can make a change

25bottom - What may be the bottom ? Empty Re: What may be the bottom ? Wed Nov 16, 2011 6:05 am

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics

Just to recap.. Stockmate's prediction of falling came tru.. But I highly doung below 5000 levels..
As most of the techies say there was a H&S pattern, head was a bit distorted but looking at the market behaviour we have to admit its correct..

Now where are we heading? May be 5800-5900 region.. Watch out as it can bounce bak to 6400s if so..
But I'm not sure whether it can hold on, probably it may fall again but u have a small window of oppertunity to escape with least losses if this goes up right?

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