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Research Path - Sri Lanka broker equities research biased: Analyst

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sriranga

sriranga
Co-Admin

Feb 24, 2012 (LBO) - Equities research generated from brokers are sales driven and sometimes biased, a new independent research house which is promising more fundamental analysis said.

"There is an absolute absence of independent equities research," Chamikara Gunawardane, director of Investor Eye (Pvt) Ltd, a start up research house, told reporters.
"There is a clear lack of investment research in Sinhala (language)."

Gunawardane said he had been an investment analyst at four Sri Lankan stock brokering firms and has worked at short time at Aegis, an Australia based research firm.

Gunawardane said most brokers wrote research to drive sales and not based on fundamentals.

When the market declined, research also dried up he said.

Brokering firms also faced high staff turnover which also made research erratic, he said.

Investors Eye will provide research in English and Sinhala. Though Sinhala speaking investors are increasing they did not have research back-up. Many large brokerages did not provide research services to small investors, he said.

"Ninety percent of research is currently only in English," Gunawardane said.

"Even if they want to pay and get they cannot buy research (in Sinhala)."

He said the firm will look at macro risks and also talk about downside risks for stocks.

It will provide research on real estate and Treasury bills in addition to stocks. The firm will offer subscription based services as well as individual consultancy.

Gunawardane said based on test marketing conducted by him, he believed that investors were willing to pay for independent research.

Gunawardane said 20 percent of the firm's revenue will go to charitable causes, including foreign scholarships for poor students, funding for elders' homes and spectacles for poor people.
http://lbo.lk/fullstory.php?nid=1709018306

http://sharemarket-srilanka.blogspot.co.uk/

Redbulls

Redbulls
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics

Most of the reasearch reports are mouth piece of manipulators or promotors.

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics

I too think these so called reports are too much in details but lack honesty.. Cuz so many reports have forcasted account figures which sometimes may not be in an achievable cloud..

Ppl should specially look at the IPO reports of these broker.. I've not found an single broker advice not to buy shares from an IPO (to be in safe side they mentioned price targets they target are achievable in a years period) But why one should buy shares from an IPO for a higher price when you can buy those way cheaper?

i.e. I and few others mentioned the PLC IPO wont be a success mainly due to the no. of shares involved in it..
Its simple logic.. To whom do u sell 300+ mil shares with a profit?
And we also added, further the negative atmosphere in CSE (the bad timing of the IPO when market was in a bear phase) is the other factor to consider..
I specifically mentioned u can easily buy shares ard 15.. guess the price its trading now..

Now these things brokers will never provide u.. The motive is simple.. IF we dont buy they dont get profits so their research teams have another goal of attracting some rabbits who just look at the financial picture n buy shares Wink

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics



I recall one broker report valued Brown at Rs 600 when it was trading in the Rs 300s. I need to find this report. Clearly it would serve as proof to this article. Now the share price is in the Rs 150s.

I am not saying Brown is a bad company. It is a establish prestigious one. But coming up with absurd numbers like Rs 600 when it was already trading at high ( at that time) is a bit suspicious don;t you think. Even us retailers can calculate one off gains and look at EPS. Why cannot brokers? They at times use other fancy models to value shares to their whims. But I think for a valuation it is common sense to look at a combination of valuation models and find an average. Or atleast do a EPS/PE based valuation without misguiding public with fancy numbers. If they want to give high estimates they need to show proofs and the rough time it can achieve that price.

Moral :
Retailer be careful. Always learn to do your own calculations ( rough) and compare with broker reports. Do not blindly rely on the, Else you might go blind from blood pressure when shares they recommend start dropping in bear trend.

CSE.SAS

CSE.SAS
Global Moderator

By Duruthu Edirimuni Chandrasekera
Most Sri Lankan retail investors are taken for a ride by the biased research reports put out by companies, which is also a major factor that the stock market is now in the doldrums, according to a top researcher.
"Most stock broking firms put out reports that are biased. These research reports on publicly quoted companies are 'sales-driven' rather than based on fundamentals," Chamikara Gunawardane, launching his company, Investor Eye (Pvt) Ltd said.

He said that his company wants to help investors receive and access investment research in both Sinhala and English languages via post, email and Internet. Mr. Gunawardena said that the company will be the first of its kind where independent investment research of listed companies on the Colombo Stock Exchange along with a pioneering investment rating for investing in Sri Lanka will be made available for th public in both Sinhala and English. He feels that much of the Sri Lankan public has stayed away from Sri Lanka's equity market due to lack of bilingual investment research as well as the absence of independent equity research.

He noted that 'all stock broking firms which put out research' are not independent. "They are not independent in their analysis. This is a major issue - especially in the present market context, where investors don't know the truth," he told the Business Times on the sidelines of the launch.

He added that there's no alternate to stock broker reports and that most stock brokers are too busy to talk to investors (especially small timers). He said that Investor Eye (Pvt) Ltd wants to make all categories of investors more educated and informed before they make an investment decision. Mr. Gunawardane also feels that most investors, particularly the retail investors get their fingers burnt by investing in shares without knowing the specific risks of what they are getting into.

The services available are subscription research, commissioned/fee-based research and investment consulting/investor education. Subscribers will receive a minimum of two corporate research reports a month, global economic and capital market review, local economic and capital market review along with a valuation guide every week, on top of the other periodic research updates.
http://sundaytimes.lk/120226/BusinessTimes/bt20.html

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