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Forecasting the Market

4 posters

Go down  Message [Page 1 of 1]

1Forecasting the Market Empty Forecasting the Market Sun Jun 17, 2012 11:40 am

sriranga

sriranga
Co-Admin

Amateurs attempt to make a forecast while professionals manage information to make decisions based on probabilities. Dr. Alexander Elder compares this to a Doctor that received a patient with a knife stabbed in his chest. The family will ask, "will he survive?" and "when can he go home?" But the Doctor is not forecasting, he must prevent the patient from dying, remove the knife, saturate the organs and carefully watch for an infection. He monitors the health trend of the patient and takes measures to prevent any complications. He is managing, not forecasting. To profit in trading you do not need to forecast the future, you need to derive from the market whether the bulls or bears are in control. You need to practice money management techniques for long term survival.

You trade against the sharpest mind in the ocean-like markets. Mental discipline is an undivided part of trading. Please remember the following points:

Understand you are in the market for the long term, that you want to be a trader in even 20 years from now.

Develop your trading strategy, either technical or fundamental analysis. If "x" happens then "y "is therefore likely to take place. You may need different tools for trading a bull or a bear market.

Develop a money management plan, with the first goal being long term survival. Secondary goal is steady money growth and third goal would be high profits. Successful traders do not concentrate on the profit itself but maintaining successful trades regardless of the earned amount.

Winners feel, think and act different than losers. Look inside yourself, eliminate the illusions and change the way you have been thinking and acting. Changing is hard but could pave the way to becoming a successful trader.
Source: http://www.tradingquarter.com

http://sharemarket-srilanka.blogspot.co.uk/

2Forecasting the Market Empty Re: Forecasting the Market Sun Jun 17, 2012 1:19 pm

UKboy

UKboy
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

first goal being long term survival
100% agree
That's for article Sriranga.

3Forecasting the Market Empty Re: Forecasting the Market Sun Jun 17, 2012 5:39 pm

Dileepa


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

sriranga wrote:Amateurs attempt to make a forecast while professionals manage information to make decisions based on probabilities. Dr. Alexander Elder compares this to a Doctor that received a patient with a knife stabbed in his chest. The family will ask, "will he survive?" and "when can he go home?" But the Doctor is not forecasting, he must prevent the patient from dying, remove the knife, saturate the organs and carefully watch for an infection. He monitors the health trend of the patient and takes measures to prevent any complications. He is managing, not forecasting. To profit in trading you do not need to forecast the future, you need to derive from the market whether the bulls or bears are in control. You need to practice money management techniques for long term survival.

You trade against the sharpest mind in the ocean-like markets. Mental discipline is an undivided part of trading. Please remember the following points:

Understand you are in the market for the long term, that you want to be a trader in even 20 years from now.

Develop your trading strategy, either technical or fundamental analysis. If "x" happens then "y "is therefore likely to take place. You may need different tools for trading a bull or a bear market.

Develop a money management plan, with the first goal being long term survival. Secondary goal is steady money growth and third goal would be high profits. Successful traders do not concentrate on the profit itself but maintaining successful trades regardless of the earned amount.

Winners feel, think and act different than losers. Look inside yourself, eliminate the illusions and change the way you have been thinking and acting. Changing is hard but could pave the way to becoming a successful trader.
Source: http://www.tradingquarter.com
Thanks sriranga.
I've been working very hard to predict the price movements for a long time.
Tried many techniques and learned a lot also. But your post shed the light about some other things also.



Last edited by Dileepa on Sun Jun 17, 2012 5:40 pm; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : grammer)

4Forecasting the Market Empty Re: Forecasting the Market Mon Jun 18, 2012 3:33 am

CSE.SAS

CSE.SAS
Global Moderator

Develop a money management plan, with the first goal being long term survival. Secondary goal is steady money growth and third goal would be high profits. Successful traders do not concentrate on the profit itself but maintaining successful trades regardless of the earned amount.

Thanks for sharing a good one as usual.

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