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Hot Speculative Shares for next week

+15
KDDND
worthiness
balapas
Redbulls
Bond
sisira.wijeweera
K.Haputantri
Slstock
FAITH777
Jana
bullrun
Gainer
Harry82
stockboy
NZ BOY
19 posters

Go to page : Previous  1, 2

Go down  Message [Page 2 of 2]

26Hot Speculative Shares for next week - Page 2 Empty Re: Hot Speculative Shares for next week Sat May 04, 2013 5:37 pm

Redbulls


Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics

Read rainmakers posts and then read bond's post.
You can find some message no?


slstock wrote:I do not understand you logic behind placing values of SAMP,HNB,COMN,SEYB,NTB based on market cap.

I would treat them on merit of their growth and assets potential. Some times faster growth can attract investor attention though present fundamentals are not great. Ex : LION, CARG.



COMB, is overvalued at Rs 116? Cant agree. But corrections can happen if market drops.




Bond wrote:
slstock wrote:HAPU,

Though foreigner are buying JKH still even in a bull run it would take considerable time for it to double. Even now it is bought on expectation and liquidity.

But comparatively, some mid-range fundamentally sound stock are trading at fraction of their peak prices from past. Even companies like CIC which does nto ahve good eps can bounce back strong in the future.




K.Haputantri wrote:?slstock, do you sense a bull-run for fundamentally strong counters.

Good observation amidst talk on policy rate cuts. If policy rates come down, yes, almost all the counters would do better. I too have to agree, because foreigners were buying in green though prices of those shares are little out of reach for many local retailers (they favour low priced stocks) for the very good reason that those shares are still under-priced.

Some banking counters need to correct. NDB @171 is risky. The 61 trades will regret what they did!!

JKH is not worth 250.... o.w. why would Ajith G sell at 190 levels? Razz

COMB also needs to correct... @116 it's too risky. SAMP market cap is 36B whilst COMB is 92B --> in that gap (92-36) you can fit HNB Razz Razz Razz Razz Razz

That gap can include (NTB + SEYB) * 4 ........ that is only the gap!



27Hot Speculative Shares for next week - Page 2 Empty Re: Hot Speculative Shares for next week Sat May 04, 2013 5:42 pm

Bond


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

The market cap gives you a "feel". When you buy a stock you are buying a slice of the market cap. What I pointed out is the relative difference between COMB and others. The other SAMP, HNB are not that far away from COMB

What you should look at is the present value of future profits on the current loan book.

Then add the value of new loans

Then add franchise value

As the loan book matures the future value of the loan book drops. Hence expired loans have to be replaced by new loans. Note who is not doing this and who is.

Some are improving Tier II capital ratios by buying bonds instead of issuing loans.
Some are improving Tier II capital ratios by offering debentures. You can figure out who Wink

28Hot Speculative Shares for next week - Page 2 Empty Re: Hot Speculative Shares for next week Sat May 04, 2013 6:08 pm

balapas


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

I see that Rainmaker is back under a different name Laughing

29Hot Speculative Shares for next week - Page 2 Empty Re: Hot Speculative Shares for next week Sat May 04, 2013 6:43 pm

Redbulls


Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics

balapas wrote:I see that Rainmaker is back under a different name Laughing

Yap, refer my comment
http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t27903-hot-speculative-shares-for-next-week#163060

30Hot Speculative Shares for next week - Page 2 Empty Re: Hot Speculative Shares for next week Sat May 04, 2013 7:03 pm

balapas


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Redbulls wrote:
balapas wrote:I see that Rainmaker is back under a different name Laughing

Yap, refer my comment
http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t27903-hot-speculative-shares-for-next-week#163060

I just noticed the flurry of comments by the new ID. I guess Bond should know by now the forum rules pretty well like his comprehension of many things Wink

31Hot Speculative Shares for next week - Page 2 Empty Re: Hot Speculative Shares for next week Sat May 04, 2013 7:25 pm

worthiness


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

@Bond

Would you please present your market cap formula in a simple manner so as to understand the others. Thx

32Hot Speculative Shares for next week - Page 2 Empty Re: Hot Speculative Shares for next week Sat May 04, 2013 7:53 pm

KDDND

KDDND
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

slstock! sriranga! I appreciate yours comment n suggestion in this forum, there are very useful for people like us who has little experience on trading! cheers

If possible please publish or provide a link where we can find dates of conversion of all warrant shares. scratch
Thanks
KDDND

33Hot Speculative Shares for next week - Page 2 Empty Re: Hot Speculative Shares for next week Sat May 04, 2013 8:03 pm

sriranga

sriranga
Co-Admin

KDDND wrote:slstock! sriranga! I appreciate yours comment n suggestion in this forum, there are very useful for people like us who has little experience on trading! cheers

If possible please publish or provide a link where we can find dates of conversion of all warrant shares. scratch
Thanks
KDDND

Thanks.
Hot Speculative Shares for next week - Page 2 Warran10
Source: ( Page 4) http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_cse_report_file/daily_report_225_03-05-2013.pdf

http://sharemarket-srilanka.blogspot.co.uk/

34Hot Speculative Shares for next week - Page 2 Empty Re: Hot Speculative Shares for next week Sat May 04, 2013 8:43 pm

seek


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

yes bond is rainmaker,

35Hot Speculative Shares for next week - Page 2 Empty Re: Hot Speculative Shares for next week Sat May 04, 2013 8:53 pm

UAEBOY

UAEBOY
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

JINS
TJL
CLND
ACME
VONE
CIFL
TWOD
CDB
COMD tongue

36Hot Speculative Shares for next week - Page 2 Empty Re: Hot Speculative Shares for next week Sat May 04, 2013 10:08 pm

KDDND

KDDND
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

sriranga wrote:
KDDND wrote:slstock! sriranga! I appreciate yours comment n suggestion in this forum, there are very useful for people like us who has little experience on trading! cheers

If possible please publish or provide a link where we can find dates of conversion of all warrant shares. scratch
Thanks
KDDND

Thanks.
Hot Speculative Shares for next week - Page 2 Warran10
Source: ( Page 4) http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_cse_report_file/daily_report_225_03-05-2013.pdf



Wowwwww! thx a lot Sri! Smile

37Hot Speculative Shares for next week - Page 2 Empty Re: Hot Speculative Shares for next week Sun May 05, 2013 3:39 pm

salt

salt
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

NDB is trading less than 1.4 times of its Book value, whereas COMB is trading above 1.7x of BV.
In Banking stocks @ current prices, Only NDB & HNB NV is cheap

38Hot Speculative Shares for next week - Page 2 Empty Re: Hot Speculative Shares for next week Sun May 05, 2013 3:46 pm

salt

salt
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics

Bank valuation
Bank Name SAM COM COMx HNB HNBx NTB NDB DFCC
NAV 4Q2012 156 63 63 124 124 44 152 101
PBV 1.4 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.0 1.4 1.1 1.4

39Hot Speculative Shares for next week - Page 2 Empty Re: Hot Speculative Shares for next week Sun May 05, 2013 3:51 pm

Slstock

Slstock
Director - Equity Analytics
Director - Equity Analytics


There can be other factors than just present stats people look at. Is there a possibility NDB growth will be very slow this year while COMB can be faster?




salt wrote:NDB is trading less than 1.4 times of its Book value, whereas COMB is trading above 1.7x of BV.
In Banking stocks @ current prices, Only NDB & HNB NV is cheap

40Hot Speculative Shares for next week - Page 2 Empty Re: Hot Speculative Shares for next week Sun May 05, 2013 4:08 pm

Bond


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

@salt / slstock NDB figures would be different after the dividend

Same with CDIC which is still trading at a high price Wink

It's funny how the only country our banks can bully is Bangladesh

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