Oil prices:
Global Oil prices now finding a support. It was at 106.20 at June this year. Today it's 75.5. $ 30 drop apx. 30% drop.
That's in global level.
So, in local level: GDP growth more than 7%. Inflation moving down. So what we expect...
More productions, more constructions, more investments more consumption etc. So the underlined factor the energy. More energy consumption means more demand !
So, global supply is now over boarded. Local demand is increasing yearly. 5.2% energy consumption rise per annum here SL.
According to Govt. policy small vehicles promoting for govt servants, tax reduction for logistics and public transport vehicles, more buses importing, more highways...>>
Technically, its running its 5th leg. (can be end if prices pulls down) so can be expect a correction. and'll start a new cycle ...
Conclusion:- Over supply in global level, prices drops by 30% in last 3 months.
- Local. macro economical conditions supports more demand for energy consumption with the high GDP growth. Hence, local demand is rising year by year.
- Govt. policy in favoring more crude oil consumption.
- Fundamentals nothing serious wrong.
- Technically ok. (strong bullish trend)
So every factor is matching respectively each. And showing a one direction in long term. This is my view on LIOC.
"ලෝකය තෙල් වලින් දුවද්දී අපි සුළං වලින් දුවමුද ?"