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Confifi Hotel Holdings (PALM) - Technical Analysis

5 posters

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vitz


Stock Trader

There is a resistance level at 315 and this has broken with good volumes indicating further upward movement for PALM. Please see Graph below.

Confifi Hotel Holdings (PALM) - Technical Analysis Resist12

Candle Stick
If you analyze last three days trading with candlestick it has formed three big white candles. This is very similar to three whit soldiers pattern. This is generally considered bullish, as prices closed significantly higher than they opened. If the candle appears when prices are "low," it may be the first sign of a bottom. If it occurs when prices are rebounding off of a support area (e.g., a moving average, trendline, or retracement level), the long white candle adds credibility to the support. Similarly, if the candle appears during a breakout above a resistance area, the long white candle adds credibility to the breakout.

Fibonacci
As you can see in the chart PALM has rebounded off of 61.8% retracement level with a white candle stick and it has broken all retracement levels with a big white candle on 02/06/2011. It has then broken the resistance level at 315 with another big candle. This is clear evidence that there can be an upward movement on Monday.
In addition to price chart it was noticed that PALM has been accumulated by investors during last few days and money flow into the share is upward and positive.
Please see graph below

Confifi Hotel Holdings (PALM) - Technical Analysis Cnadle10

Bollinger Bands
Bollinger bands suggest that volatility can be increased in the near future as both upper band and lower band started to open up. PALM was in a trading range before 27/5 and it is now slowly entering into a trending range as Bollinger band suggests in the graph. PALM will move in the direction of the upper band in the near future.
Please see graph below

Confifi Hotel Holdings (PALM) - Technical Analysis Bollin10

DK


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Hmm interesting, but PALM wouldn't be making any money for the next 18 months. Wonder if that should/would have any impact on the price.

mark

mark
Expert
Expert

lets see the impact on monday. Very Happy

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics

These three white candles fear me as those lowest levels have been more than the highest high the earlier day.. Furthermore stachastics show this is over bought ;(

5Confifi Hotel Holdings (PALM) - Technical Analysis Empty PALM-Technical Ananlysis Sun Jun 05, 2011 4:47 pm

mahasen007


Stock Trader

smallville wrote:These three white candles fear me as those lowest levels have been more than the highest high the earlier day.. Furthermore stachastics show this is over bought ;(

In a trading pattern yes, you are correct. But Palm is in a trending pattern. Generally in a trending pattern overbought can go even over 90 levels. So I feel it should move up further. You can see this by movements of CFIN, CLND recently.
Anyway lets see next week.

http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:technical_indicators:stochastic_oscillato
Before looking at some chart examples, it is important to note that overbought readings are not necessarily bearish. Securities can become overbought and remain overbought during a strong uptrend. Closing levels that are consistently near the top of the range indicate sustained buying pressure. In a similar vein, oversold readings are not necessarily bullish. Securities can also become oversold and remain oversold during a strong downtrend. Closing levels consistently near the bottom of the range indicate sustained selling pressure. It is, therefore, important to identify the bigger trend and trade in the direction of this trend. Look for occasional oversold readings in an uptrend and ignore frequent overbought readings. Similarly, look for occasional overbought readings in a strong downtrend and ignore frequent oversold readings.

While momentum oscillators are best suited for trading ranges, they can also be used with securities that trend, provided the trend takes on a zigzag format. Pullbacks are part of uptrends that zigzag higher. Bounces are part of downtrends that zigzag lower. In this regard, the Stochastic Oscillator can be used to identify opportunities in harmony with the bigger trend.


http://www.trade10.com/Trending_Markets.html
The stchastic Oscillator tracks the momentum of price and when plotted against a stock or index in a strong trending environment is of little use in determining when price may be oversold or overtbught. Other methods of analyzing momentum indicators like looking for divergences to give bias for potential reversal signals of price trend may not work as well when a stock or index is in a strong price trend that has been in place for some time. Divergences between technical indicators and price plot have been known to extend over several years at times and so may not be a reliable signal to indicate the timeliness of a price trend reversal.

Cheers

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