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CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000)

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526CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Fri Apr 08, 2016 4:40 pm

EquityChamp


Moderator
Moderator

I think its due to profit taking ahead of weekend. Not only GRAN,BFL but shares like TAFL, ALUF,KAPI which were active these days had a little beating at the end of trading. But the important point is that index didn't drop even at the end infact it was rising continueslt. So hopefully Monday again these share will resume their trend and we will get some more positives from PM's China visit in the week end. Let's see how it goes.

527CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Fri Apr 08, 2016 6:11 pm

chamil1


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Rs 90 will have big selling . As you said need institutional and foreign buyers as well

528CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Fri Apr 08, 2016 7:08 pm

EquityChamp


Moderator
Moderator

Confidence factor is matter the most. It is true that the big shares like JKH and COMB have got some positive sentiment but I feel still the confidence is not there to the right level that is required for a stock market to decide on a direction.

529CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Fri Apr 08, 2016 8:08 pm

EquityChamp


Moderator
Moderator

Just look at below trading statistics for the last two weeks and analyse the pattern. From Rs68 to Rs78 it has come up with increased volumes day by day. Starting from 37k to close to half million. Chances are that this is due to accumulation and today there could be some instances of profit taking. I don't think the person who collects these shares have dumped today for 80 but I am not denying that possibility completely either. But my instincts tell me this share will go towards 90+ in the times ahead.

Trade Date Open (Rs.) High (Rs.) Low (Rs.) Close(Rs.) Trade volume Share Volume "Turnover
(Rs.)"
28/03/2016 71.00 71.00 68.00 68.40 56 37,151 2,551,298
29/03/2016 68.00 68.00 65.90 67.50 132 43,823 2,918,289
30/03/2016 67.50 69.80 67.50 69.30 126 46,487 3,203,157
31/03/2016 69.00 70.00 68.40 68.90 70 52,983 3,650,058
01/04/2016 70.00 71.90 70.00 71.50 91 50,000 3,562,094
04/04/2016 71.80 72.60 71.50 71.90 127 61,351 4,423,330
05/04/2016 72.80 77.50 72.80 77.10 559 495,562 37,669,238
06/04/2016 78.00 79.00 76.30 77.50 305 255,983 19,894,181
07/04/2016 78.00 79.70 77.00 78.80 175 169,188 13,357,553
08/04/2016 79.90 81.70 78.00 78.50 240 258,513 20,589,625

530CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Tue Apr 12, 2016 12:12 pm

EquityChamp


Moderator
Moderator

Compared to other stocks GRAN, TAFL and BFL seems to be sleeping to me. There are still room if you are looking at quality stocks.

531CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Wed Apr 13, 2016 7:46 am

EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator

The last two days trading statistics are as follows. With that 1.6mn shares were traded between the price band of 72-81 in April itself. Close to 50 mn shares owned by major 20 shareholders and others own only 10mn shares.

Trade Date
Open (Rs.)High (Rs.)Low (Rs.)Close(Rs.)Trade volumeShare VolumeTurnover(Rs.)

11/04/2016
79.579.876.878.8188113,0328,846,884.40
12/04/20167980.57980.2205341,60427,274,905.50

I feel this is due to some kind of accumulation by few individuals. need to watch closely whether this accumulation continues for another couple of days may be a week. if another 1-2 million shares traded with in the range of 78-82 then the chances are to confirm a type of consolidation. This will signal a huge jump thereafter may be close to 100/- by end of April. This is definitely worth to study the trading pattern of GRAN after the holiday season from next week onwards. Keep watching.

532CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Wed Apr 13, 2016 7:59 am

chamil1


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

EquityChamp wrote:The last two days trading statistics are as follows. With that 1.6mn shares were traded between the price band of 72-81 in April itself. Close to 50 mn shares owned by major 20 shareholders and others own only 10mn shares.
     

Trade Date
Open (Rs.)High (Rs.)Low (Rs.)Close(Rs.)Trade volumeShare VolumeTurnover(Rs.)

11/04/2016
79.579.876.878.8188113,0328,846,884.40
12/04/20167980.57980.2205341,60427,274,905.50

I feel this is due to some kind of accumulation by few individuals. need to watch closely whether this accumulation continues for another couple of days may be a week. if another 1-2 million shares traded with in the range of 78-82 then the chances are to confirm a type of consolidation. This will signal a huge jump thereafter may be close to 100/- by end of April. This is definitely worth to study the trading pattern of GRAN after the holiday season from next week onwards. Keep watching.

Machang,


I have told for over 2 months that GRAN has one big player exiting. They exited TAFL fully.


Once that selling is over, there can be a jump as you said. 
Till then no jumps.


There is a buyer for the whole quantity of the big player at a slightly lesser price but the big player is not giving expecting to get the maximum.

533CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Wed Apr 13, 2016 8:10 am

EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator

Machang,
What you said could be correct. And I assume EPF is not looking to sell at current price levels too. What I see from the trading statistics is that the share is in a consolidation stages. Once the consolidation is fully established the next move is a jump according to Technical charts. Further the current market context too will add some fuel to it.

534CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Wed Apr 13, 2016 8:35 am

nimantha80


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Name start with J

535CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Wed Apr 13, 2016 11:57 am

chamil1


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

nimantha80 wrote:Name start with J

Yes    Very Happy

536CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Wed Apr 13, 2016 1:10 pm

kassachandimal


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

If gran touches 100, TAFL surely has to test 125 levels

537CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Wed Apr 13, 2016 1:15 pm

chamil1


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

kassachandimal wrote:If gran touches 100, TAFL surely has to test 125 levels

more than that ; Rs 140 levels then

538CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Wed Apr 13, 2016 1:24 pm

nimantha80


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

kassachandimal wrote:If gran touches 100, TAFL surely has to test 125 levels
then BFL will be well above 200.

539CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Wed Apr 13, 2016 1:39 pm

chamil1


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

nimantha80 wrote:
kassachandimal wrote:If gran touches 100, TAFL surely has to test 125 levels
then BFL will be well above 200.
 
easily and much more. But first the Gran quantities should be bought to take it to Rs 100

540CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Wed Apr 13, 2016 1:45 pm

nimantha80


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

chamil1 wrote:
nimantha80 wrote:
kassachandimal wrote:If gran touches 100, TAFL surely has to test 125 levels
then BFL will be well above 200.
 
easily and much more. But first the Gran quantities should be bought to take it to Rs 100
my biggest question is why wasnt it sold when GRAN hit 140 recently

541CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Wed Apr 13, 2016 2:15 pm

chamil1


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

nimantha80 wrote:
chamil1 wrote:
nimantha80 wrote:
kassachandimal wrote:If gran touches 100, TAFL surely has to test 125 levels
then BFL will be well above 200.
 
easily and much more. But first the Gran quantities should be bought to take it to Rs 100
my biggest question is why wasnt it sold when GRAN hit 140 recently

It was ; not 140 but it peaked at Rs 117-120

That was one reason for the continuous downfall

542CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Wed Apr 13, 2016 2:37 pm

charith666lk


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Chamil cn u tell who is the seller?

543CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Wed Apr 13, 2016 2:52 pm

anges


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

good luck ! Gran sound stock

544CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Wed Apr 13, 2016 9:59 pm

EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator

chamil1 wrote:
nimantha80 wrote:Name start with J

Yes    Very Happy

You are referring to Japfa Ltd holding more than 5mn as at 31st December. Is this company a foreign company? Sounds like yes to me. But since 4th Jan to 12th April the foreign holding has reduced by only 0.4mn shares. Then another 4.6mn is awaiting to dispose @ these prices. If so can this investor make profits by selling at this rate.

545CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Wed Apr 13, 2016 10:19 pm

chamil1


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

EquityChamp wrote:
chamil1 wrote:
nimantha80 wrote:Name start with J

Yes    Very Happy

You are referring to Japfa Ltd holding more than 5mn as at 31st December. Is this company a foreign company? Sounds like yes to me. But since 4th Jan to 12th April the foreign holding has reduced by only 0.4mn shares. Then another 4.6mn is awaiting to dispose @ these prices. If so can this investor make profits by selling at this rate.

Selling started before 31st Dec . They had a bit over 6 million GRAN and close to 1M TAFL.

TAFL has been sold fully.

4M or less GRAN remains (Rs 320M or less). No big deal if institutions and funds join. I know offers are given already (though not accepted by seller).

546CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Wed Apr 13, 2016 10:24 pm

EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator

Machang,
You are correct. But they had 400k TAFL as at 31st December 15. You are saying they have sold it completely by now?
This shareholder is a Singaporean base investor and may be having close links with the controlling shareholder. But my issue is why they want to exit now knowing that better times are ahead?

547CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Thu Apr 14, 2016 12:27 am

chamil1


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

EquityChamp wrote:Machang,
You are correct. But they had 400k TAFL as at 31st December 15. You are saying they have sold it completely by now?
This shareholder is a Singaporean base investor and may be having close links with the controlling shareholder. But my issue is why they want to exit now knowing that better times are ahead?


Selling is because they have made some losses in another part of the Region  and nothing to do with the SL mkt.


Their Gran cost is in the early Rs 30s from what i heard. So cashing in a huge quantity at a good gain is not bad.


Hope they don't take a long time to sell the remaining stock...


TAFL - yes sold (and not the recent quantities by the way. It happened atleast 1 month before). 

548CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty What is happening to GRAN????? Wed Apr 27, 2016 8:43 pm

hiransilva23


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

We saw big quantities are trading.nt only gran tafl also.they mach sell orders at the start.bt at the end its at same price.wt z happening???still collecting???experts plz comment ur ideas.thanks.

549CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Wed Apr 27, 2016 9:04 pm

karuna


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

hiransilva23 wrote:We saw big quantities are trading.nt only gran tafl also.they mach sell orders at the start.bt at the end its at same price.wt z happening???still collecting???experts plz comment ur ideas.thanks.
Freak finance report last year eps 15+ trading 80 hiks at least gran had keep 110 level coz if its such a profit making company.  Just In case if they announced  down eps compare with last quarter it will be dark more than night . 
But I think gran can pass 85 . Please understand I am not talking about day trading people

550CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Wed Apr 27, 2016 9:13 pm

Shammi Dharshana

Shammi Dharshana
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Mr karuna what happen hexp tomorrow?

551CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Wed Apr 27, 2016 9:37 pm

karuna


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Shammi Dharshana wrote:Mr karuna what happen hexp tomorrow?
I m not doing day trading otherwise I had to sell 43/45/50/55 for what my target is very long so brother if you like to sell it with good profit I am not worry coz its not relevant to me. 
My target 100  with in two months sometime I will wrong but  its possible from my analysis

552CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Wed Apr 27, 2016 9:51 pm

newer1


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

Thnks karuna

553CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Wed Apr 27, 2016 9:53 pm

newer1


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

I bought hexp following u Mr. Karuna and I will also wait till that amount.

554CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Wed Apr 27, 2016 9:56 pm

newer1


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

Mr.karuna I bought aluf as well.what .ay be your target prize.need your opinion.thnks

555CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) - Page 22 Empty Re: CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000) Wed Apr 27, 2016 10:01 pm

hiransilva23


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics

Thanks karuna.I was hope 85 today.wt to do.will c.

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