Maharaja's Advice

do you honestly beleive that people invest in shares on CSE looking at Maharaja comments???? His JKH prediction is wrong from my point of view.
I cant see that happening cause JKH fundamentally sound stock growing through some hard times these days.

His prediction on ASI movement was right but i believe his JKH prediction is wrong. That's all i'm saying. Please go through what i have mentioned earlier.

Please let me intervene at this point for a clarification on JKH

Maharaja did not say JKH will come down to 60/-.

I asked him 2 questions

1. If I am (me) to buy JKH what is the price level he thinks is a good investment for 5-6 year period?
He replied saying in his opinion JKH is now a risky investment and does not recommend to buy in the next 1 1/2 years. He said to consider buying JKH only after another 1 1/2 years. 

2. If he (Maharaja) is to buy JKH what is the price he would Buy?
He replied saying, to him JKH is worth only 60/-.  He also said that he is not saying that JKH will come down to 60/- BUT his BID price for JKH would be 60/-

This is just to clarify, with regard to his remarks on JKH

The stock market is filled with individuals who know the price of everything, but the value of nothing." - Phillip Fisher

On 17th May 2017 Mark Levin predicted a miserable future for John Keels till 2020 in this forum. I am copying and pasting below his post.



A recent Analysis of John Keells done by an International Fund Management Company. Some say Khazanah Nasional Berhad Fund of Malaysia will start shedding the shares.

Sri Lanka's John Keells at a Decisive Moment and at a Miserable Future until 2020


In order to fund the Watefront Project (Cinnamon Life) JKH raised Rs.23.1 billion (approx US$ 178mn) in FY 2013/14 by way of a rights issue attached with two types of warrants. Subsequently by excising the warrants Rs.8 billion was raised in 2015 but however the 2016 warrant was heavily undersubscribed. Only Rs.3.2 billion was raised from it though it was supposed to raise Rs.8.6 billion. This was because investors were doubtful about the success of this project and how wisely JKH has used the cash from the rights issue.

Extraordinary gains and interest income from the recent rights issue have buoyed earnings during the last several years. In 2016, interest income of Rs.8,011mn amounted to the 42% of PBT and far exceeded the best performing leisure sector which posted pre-tax profit of only Rs2,311mn. Going forward, such large amounts of interest income may not recur as rights issue proceeds will get utilized in the Water Front Project in the next two years.  

"Waterfront Project” is now behind schedule and there has been a cost overrun in the piling stage of the project due to unanticipated barriers. Officially there has been an acceptance of an 18 month delay by Hyndai, Keangnam, & Nawaloka (HKN-Joint Venture) that would result in reduction in profitability of the project. 

During FY 2015/16 ROCE of all sectors of JKH have improved. However excluding the Food & Retail, Financial Services, and Transportation Sectors all other major sectors’ ROCE is below the 12 month Treasury Bill yield, with some sectors operating at less than half the TB rate.

JKH management sold down their stakes in Union Assurance, Access Engineering and Expo Lanka Holdings and recognized capital gains of Rs2.2 billion in 2014/15. Reasons for this move have not been satisfactorily explained. As JKH has sufficient cash, perhaps these sales demonstrate a pre-occupation with short-term earnings rather than a long-term strategic focus. However investments in hotels which JKH management are eyeing to dispose are rather difficult to be sold immediately.  Hence there won’t be any capital gains realized through sale of investments in the near future.   

Waterfront Project is the largest private sector investment to date in Sri Lanka with an estimated cost of approximately USD 800 Million. The company has entered in to USD 395 Million syndicated loan facility with Standard Charted Bank being the required debt financing for this project. The massive interest cost of this syndicated loan will be capitalized in to fixed assets under the accruals basis of accounting. However after completing the project the interest cost will get charged to the income statement as an expense which will significantly reduce profitability. The income generated from various buildings of the project will take many years to exceed the interest charge.

DS Wijesinghe wrote:On 17th May 2017 Mark Levin predicted a miserable future for John Keels till 2020 in this forum. I am copying and pasting below his post.



A recent Analysis of John Keells done by an International Fund Management Company. Some say Khazanah Nasional Berhad Fund of Malaysia will start shedding the shares.

Sri Lanka's John Keells at a Decisive Moment and at a Miserable Future until 2020


In order to fund the Watefront Project (Cinnamon Life) JKH raised Rs.23.1 billion (approx US$ 178mn) in FY 2013/14 by way of a rights issue attached with two types of warrants. Subsequently by excising the warrants Rs.8 billion was raised in 2015 but however the 2016 warrant was heavily undersubscribed. Only Rs.3.2 billion was raised from it though it was supposed to raise Rs.8.6 billion. This was because investors were doubtful about the success of this project and how wisely JKH has used the cash from the rights issue.

Extraordinary gains and interest income from the recent rights issue have buoyed earnings during the last several years. In 2016, interest income of Rs.8,011mn amounted to the 42% of PBT and far exceeded the best performing leisure sector which posted pre-tax profit of only Rs2,311mn. Going forward, such large amounts of interest income may not recur as rights issue proceeds will get utilized in the Water Front Project in the next two years.  

"Waterfront Project” is now behind schedule and there has been a cost overrun in the piling stage of the project due to unanticipated barriers. Officially there has been an acceptance of an 18 month delay by Hyndai, Keangnam, & Nawaloka (HKN-Joint Venture) that would result in reduction in profitability of the project. 

During FY 2015/16 ROCE of all sectors of JKH have improved. However excluding the Food & Retail, Financial Services, and Transportation Sectors all other major sectors’ ROCE is below the 12 month Treasury Bill yield, with some sectors operating at less than half the TB rate.

JKH management sold down their stakes in Union Assurance, Access Engineering and Expo Lanka Holdings and recognized capital gains of Rs2.2 billion in 2014/15. Reasons for this move have not been satisfactorily explained. As JKH has sufficient cash, perhaps these sales demonstrate a pre-occupation with short-term earnings rather than a long-term strategic focus. However investments in hotels which JKH management are eyeing to dispose are rather difficult to be sold immediately.  Hence there won’t be any capital gains realized through sale of investments in the near future.   

Waterfront Project is the largest private sector investment to date in Sri Lanka with an estimated cost of approximately USD 800 Million. The company has entered in to USD 395 Million syndicated loan facility with Standard Charted Bank being the required debt financing for this project. The massive interest cost of this syndicated loan will be capitalized in to fixed assets under the accruals basis of accounting. However after completing the project the interest cost will get charged to the income statement as an expense which will significantly reduce profitability. The income generated from various buildings of the project will take many years to exceed the interest charge.

There was a time JKH trading directly influence CSE. But recently with out JKH trading CSE can survive
If we can focus and pick valuable counters we don't have to worry about JKH trading at all. Many blue chips lining up too 

Dear members,

Pls note the next support level 

ASI - 5800-5810 area

This support will be tested. 


Maharaja.

The members who blame me and recommend others to buy shares - Pls recommend dividend paying shares because capital gains are hard/too risky in this Bear market. 
The Bear market will continue whether we like or not. So keep money in dividend paying shares only.
So even if share falls you will have dividend return. 


Maharaja

So is it that the market will move down from here or reach 6200 as you said previously.

So whats next after 5800. Further down or we can expect a recovery from there. Thanks

Market will trade sideways and come down. 5800 will not reach tomorrow. It will happen with ASI traveling sideways. Prev. I told was market will trade between 6020---6200 which is what we saw last weeks. 5800 is strong support. I expect bounce from there. 15% return opportunity will be available - short term during bounce. 

Maharaja

Maharaja wrote:Market will trade sideways and come down. 5800 will not reach tomorrow. It will happen with ASI traveling sideways. Prev. I told was market will trade between 6020---6200 which is what we saw last weeks. 5800 is strong support. I expect bounce from there. 15% return opportunity will be available - short term during bounce. 

Maharaja

These days CSE investors

Thanks, lets see how accurate you are. Anyway its good to be prepared for any eventuality

await the quarter results. till august end the market will be above 6000

Avon wrote:Thanks, lets see how accurate you are. Anyway its good to be prepared for any eventuality

Maharaja is always accurate. Now almost 6200 level. So this is the sideway movement I told. ASI will turn back to 6000 side about next week. 

As I told ASI will test 5800. 


Maharaja

Maharaja wrote:

Avon wrote:Thanks, lets see how accurate you are. Anyway its good to be prepared for any eventuality

Maharaja is always accurate. Now almost 6200 level. So this is the sideway movement I told. ASI will turn back to 6000 side about next week. 

As I told ASI will test 5800. 


Maharaja

Maharaja, my friend can you came back to this forum after 2020?????
people come here to do invest and trading only.

Till then start reading horoscope and fortune telling or invest in Negambo fish market.

No one gives a horse shit for your predictions my friend

Most of the people here in this forum know what is your hidden agenda  

Every time market green you bring your horse shit and try to scare some inexperience retailers to do panic selling.

Then your criminal friends who invest in CSE can buy them cheap.

This forum is not a place for fools and mental sick people, if you are saying some thing bring proof- technical analysis /charts/resources and etc

I bet you don't even have a brain to do these kind of analysis, you only act like a parrot"market is crashing....market is crashing..... market is crashing......Bla... bla.. bla

I would like to inform all the moderate and admin to kindly look in to these kind of posts made by jokers and mental sick people and do the necessary to save investors.


If you have a technical or fundamental or any other facts it is time to bring it my friend maharaja or we have to call you some other raja.

ruwan326 wrote:Most of the people here in this forum know what is your hidden agenda  

Every time market green you bring your horse shit and try to scare some inexperience retailers to do panic selling.

Then your criminal friends who invest in CSE can buy them cheap.

This forum is not a place for fools and mental sick people, if you are saying some thing bring proof- technical analysis /charts/resources and etc

I bet you don't even have a brain to do these kind of analysis, you only act like a parrot"market is crashing....market is crashing..... market is crashing......Bla... bla.. bla

I would like to inform all the moderate and admin to kindly look in to these kind of posts made by jokers and mental sick people and do the necessary to save investors.


If you have a technical or fundamental or any other facts it is time to bring it my friend maharaja or we have to call you some other raja.

Finally rich will get richer and poor gets poorer due to panic selling, In my opinion this is the best time for new investors

There was a former president who took astrologist(Sumanadasa) advice and lost his presidency was called maharaja  

Now we have another maharaja here in this forum and if investors like to take his advice(Sumanadasa junior) just remember what happened to president maharaja  

If you check ASI in the year 2010 and now you will not find much of a DIFFERENCE and there is no such thing called market crash


Well maharaja watch and learn
https://youtu.be/u_YD2vfBefo

Plzzzzzzzzzzz stop this

Economic & Political stability is vital for stock market to have a sustainable growth. Do we have Economic & Political stability in Sri Lanka as at now? 

In my opinion there is looming political uncertainty coupled with an ailing economy. Where will this lead to?

Maharaja wrote:

Avon wrote:Thanks, lets see how accurate you are. Anyway its good to be prepared for any eventuality

Maharaja is always accurate. Now almost 6200 level. So this is the sideway movement I told. ASI will turn back to 6000 side about next week. 

As I told ASI will test 5800. 


Maharaja

''ASI will turn back to 6000 side about next week. ''


Everybody can see ASI direction today.

Truth will always win.


Maharaja.

Maharaja wrote:

Maharaja wrote:

Avon wrote:Thanks, lets see how accurate you are. Anyway its good to be prepared for any eventuality

Maharaja is always accurate. Now almost 6200 level. So this is the sideway movement I told. ASI will turn back to 6000 side about next week. 

As I told ASI will test 5800. 


Maharaja

''ASI will turn back to 6000 side about next week. ''


Everybody can see ASI direction today.

Truth will always win.


Maharaja.

You predict something out of your mind and influences you had .... And says that is the Truth.......... Are U Human or God???

Guys enough is enough 

Lats report to admin and moderate to banned these two mentally sick people

NPL (Non Performing Loans) in the finance sector & NPG (Non Performing Government) in the political sector are of concern to CSE which is looking for directions.

ruwan326 wrote:Guys enough is enough 

Lats report to admin and moderate to banned these two mentally sick people

No need to ban Maharaja,still his prediction is correct.we have to face the truth.

ruwan326 wrote:Guys enough is enough 

Lats report to admin and moderate to banned these two mentally sick people

In my opinion whether we like or not 2 of Maharaja's predictions have come true so far

1. Orient Finance moving up from Rs. 10 level to Rs. 18/-. How it was done  is irrelevant and the reality is,  his prediction  materialised. (Now the share is back to Rs. 12/-)

2. ASI coming down to 6,077. It happened and it even went down below that point. 

His latest prediction is that market will come down to 5,800 level. We have to wait and see whether that will happen before 31st December 2018

Finally whether it is Bull or Bear Market, if you carry out sound 7-8 year analysis of a company's performance, you can identify the strong solid stocks that will give you satisfactory profits over a period of 5-6 years. I'm talking about long term investing

If the market comes down to the level predicted by Maharaja, don't wait till 2020 to pick up the fundamentally sound stocks which have made shareholders/investors richer in the past. If you've got cash, invest part of that money as a long term investment in those companies to make you richer in 5-6 years

maharaja,
මේ සතියේ කියන්නේ නැද්ද market crash වෙනවා කියල ??????

investing in the market is not like playing in casino.........
prediction might work on casinos and horoscope readings & fortunetelling but not in share market  

In spite of imminent market crash as they predict, recommended to buy, 

1. CARS - fitch affirmed stable for lion brewery

2. TKYO - self sustained cement manufacturer

3. All Insurance companies

4. All green energy and hydro companies - rain is continuing

End of the month sale is happening thanks to margin traders

So lets wait and see what is line up for August

Most of the quarter reports due

Just hold on and and hang in there