CEYLON GRAIN ELEVATORS PLC (GRAN.N0000)

bandara 123 wrote:GRAN has been valued between Rs150- Rs200 levels by Asha in FY 2011.

The current poultry run has similar situation like in Year 2011 or can be rated as more powerful than in year 2011.

Visit for the report - http://www.ashaphillip.net/reports/Grain%20Elevators%20Ceylon%20PLC.pdf

This is FYI Only.

its depend on this quarter result. if this quarter result is good then we can see this in November December

we will see.

This can fall to 57.50 on tomorrow due to force selling

kassachandi wrote:This can fall to 57.50 on tomorrow due to force selling

onawata wada greedy wela pasuthwenna epa.

one stage I bought SIRA 3.4. I sold it 3.6. at that time i thought  if its fall to 3.2 - 3.3 level then i can buy. but it didnt happen.

after two weeks SIRA price 5

at that time holding quantity is 1 millions Shares. to much greedy is not good sign

Its not the greediness Mr stockback. As I said market went down yesterday.im saying the bitter truth that you cannot swallow.today market will further go down with most of the credit clearance coming on today.first look the market today

When you are a seasoned investor you should not care about the mkt index behaviour. what we should care about the individual stock that we hold or going to buy is a fair price to us or is it value to the price we are going to pay for it.

In a stock mkt no body can purchase the lowest point or no body can sell at the highest point.

Look at individual stocks rather than mkt movement. CTC Rs10down means ASI down. DIAL 0.10 cents down means mkt down. NEST Rs5.0 down mean mkt down. JKH/SLT CARS down means mkt down.

But that doesn't mean all other shares should come down in a bull phase pf a mkt. We should identified the mkt first before doing anything.

The same person in a different thread has said that AAIC is going to Rs25 from monday onwards.

That is the issue here. we cann't apply all the principles to all the stocks. AAIC is completely different from GRAN.

We have to look stocks individualy to become a successful investor.

Thank you for the information. I think this is the time to follow this stock very closely.
 
We are seeing some sort of strong outlook in it now. It is good time to do more home work on it.

By the end of this year we will know its further strength. Those who are in in the industry and those who can do better research will have better idea about companies that they follow.

It had one of the strongest breaks out from around Rs.40 to Rs.50 with huge volume. It broke out due to better than expected quarterly results and due to strong outlook.

Then it jumped to around Rs.59 with huge volume.

Earnings estimation for one year on the basis of latest results = 2.80x 4= 11.20(we should study and estimate EPS whether there is more upside potential). Its share prices should adjust according to their earnings and according to the stages of bull market.

Watch out for following barriers

Rs.80
Rs.90
Rs.100
to become more bullish.

CIC has already passed Rs.100 from Rs.50 in this bull market. Gran also should pass it in this bull market. We will wait and see.

In short, GRAN is one of the bullish stocks available in the market now. It has a bullish trend and it is one of the undervalued stocks in the market as well. After sometimes its personality has changed now. In addition, I forget when we pick stocks we should pay attention to type of management that the company has. It has very strong local and foreign combined management board as well.  This is another ideal non cyclical stock  to keep for the  remaining  stages of current bull market. Finally there will be great demand for animal feed due to poultry consumption growth in Asia.

kassachandi wrote:Its not the greediness Mr stockback. As I said market went down yesterday.im saying the bitter truth that you cannot swallow.today market will further go down with most of the credit clearance coming on today.first look the market today

please tell me which one is bitter truth now.

we cannot predict 100%. that is the bitter truth

Don't expect history to repeat all the time. hat is the credit clearing you are talking about. Just talk to brokers and see they don't offere credit at all. Its not like 5 - 6 years back where you can purchase Rs1.0mn worth of shares if you have Rs100,000/ with you.

Now it is totally different. It is very very low credit out their in the mkt. That's why CSE is very strong these days and it is in a bull phase.

Don't miss this golden opportunity.

bandara what is ur target price of GRAN if reports are good ?

what is the target ??/

http://forum.srilankaequity.com/t7937-gran-touch-175-tommorrow

This is in 2011.

VALUEPICK wrote:Thank you for the information. I think this is the time to follow this stock very closely.
 
We are seeing some sort of strong outlook in it now. It is good time to do more home work on it.

By the end of this year we will know its further strength. Those who are in in the industry and those who can do better research will have better idea about companies that they follow.

It had one of the strongest breaks out from around Rs.40 to Rs.50 with huge volume. It broke out due to better than expected quarterly results and due to strong outlook.

Then it jumped to around Rs.59 with huge volume.

Earnings estimation for one year on the basis of latest results = 2.80x 4= 11.20(we should study and estimate EPS whether there is more upside potential). Its share prices should adjust according to their earnings and according to the stages of bull market.

Watch out for following barriers

Rs.80
Rs.90
Rs.100
to become more bullish.

CIC has already passed Rs.100 from Rs.50 in this bull market. Gran also should pass it in this bull market. We will wait and see.

In short, GRAN is one of the bullish stocks available in the market now. It has a bullish trend and it is one of the undervalued stocks in the market as well. After sometimes its personality has changed now. In addition, I forget when we pick stocks we should pay attention to type of management that the company has. It has very strong local and foreign combined management board as well.  This is another ideal non cyclical stock  to keep for the  remaining  stages of current bull market. Finally there will be great demand for animal feed due to poultry consumption growth in Asia.

CIC Now almost 106 .... in current market situation.
Today share volume is 280,541 ...


So this stock suddenly moved 50 to 106 .. Experts pls advice  ???

Kiruba8 wrote:

VALUEPICK wrote:Thank you for the information. I think this is the time to follow this stock very closely.
 
We are seeing some sort of strong outlook in it now. It is good time to do more home work on it.

By the end of this year we will know its further strength. Those who are in in the industry and those who can do better research will have better idea about companies that they follow.

It had one of the strongest breaks out from around Rs.40 to Rs.50 with huge volume. It broke out due to better than expected quarterly results and due to strong outlook.

Then it jumped to around Rs.59 with huge volume.

Earnings estimation for one year on the basis of latest results = 2.80x 4= 11.20(we should study and estimate EPS whether there is more upside potential). Its share prices should adjust according to their earnings and according to the stages of bull market.

Watch out for following barriers

Rs.80
Rs.90
Rs.100
to become more bullish.

CIC has already passed Rs.100 from Rs.50 in this bull market. Gran also should pass it in this bull market. We will wait and see.

In short, GRAN is one of the bullish stocks available in the market now. It has a bullish trend and it is one of the undervalued stocks in the market as well. After sometimes its personality has changed now. In addition, I forget when we pick stocks we should pay attention to type of management that the company has. It has very strong local and foreign combined management board as well.  This is another ideal non cyclical stock  to keep for the  remaining  stages of current bull market. Finally there will be great demand for animal feed due to poultry consumption growth in Asia.

CIC Now almost 106 .... in current market situation.
Today share volume is 280,541 ...


So this stock suddenly moved 50 to 106 .. Experts pls advice  ???

now it's too late to get in to the bus . because started from 48.50 as I remember.

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When compare with 2011 performance GRAN still at rock bottom price levels.

*Mind u PARQ came to Rs65 levels from Rs10 levels.

*ALUF came to Rs55 levels from Rs15 levels.

If you take history of many shares most of them were traded around Rs10 levels. Performances have taken those companies to present trading price llevels of Rs100 - Rs200 etc.

Due to very well known facts we estimate that the current poultry run has more strenghts than 2010 - 2011 period.

Then it is up to u to decide the value of GRAN,TAFL and BFL during the current poultry run.

WE had construction sector run, we had alluminium run, We had copper run, We had crude oil run ( LIOC went to Rs60 levels from Rs18 levels) we had natural rubber price down run (REXP from Rs20 levels to Rs160 levels)etc.

When it comes to poultry run we have to face to the reallity. If poultry companies managed to report good profits that means this is just the begining of the run..

We have to wait and see.

2011 run was with heavily manipulated run paralleled with BFL which was promoted by "Marketwatch" who was one of the top 20 shareholders of BFL. Top of the Sri lankan market makers joined latter in the run of GRAN.  Finally innocent small investors was trapped during distribution phase. Main concern was, LGL also trapped into the manipulation and they bought GRAN for high price. So, highly observe the entry and exit points. Don't trade the shares. Buy then hold the valued shares. You will be mostly benefited by investment rather than trading.

Gran going to steady around 65.

GRAN will pass 66 today in the evening session.

mr valuepick what will be the target for GRAN before the release of reports

kassachandi wrote:mr valuepick what will be the target for GRAN before the release of reports

bull is over, who bought it at current price will be LK buffalo

No dear see the price @end of trading tommorow

kassachandi wrote:No dear see the price @end of trading tommorow

where is the end of this stock. some buyers got gran in the morning at high price. but started to come down

kassachandi wrote:mr valuepick what will be the target for GRAN before the release of reports

As I said before, in bull market current prices are not that important for me. Gran is having uptrend due to its positive outlook. We have to analyse more than one quarter earnings to get better decisions. It has more legs.

VALUEPICK wrote:

kassachandi wrote:mr valuepick what will be the target for GRAN before the release of reports

As I said before, in bull market current prices are not that important for me. Gran is having uptrend due to its positive outlook. We have to analyse more than one quarter earnings to get better decisions. It has more legs.

where it will stop end of week

VALUEPICK wrote:

kassachandi wrote:mr valuepick what will be the target for GRAN before the release of reports

As I said before, in bull market current prices are not that important for me. Gran is having uptrend due to its positive outlook. We have to analyse more than one quarter earnings to get better decisions. It has more legs.

GRAN has broken out it's earlier 52 weeks high today!
Good Day! Good Trade!!
(BFL & TAFL also touched their 52 weeks High today!)

nis2010 wrote:

kassachandi wrote:mr valuepick what will be the target for GRAN before the release of reports

bull is over, who bought it at current price will be LK buffalo

A -  a value

Bull Trend
3A up and 1A down

Bear Trend
3A down and 1A up


I am not worry about 1A down next two three days. GRAN and TAFL are in Up- trend now.
we will see it

This will touch 70 very soon. Then will break 75 barrier after the reports released


Grain Elevators could grow revenue by 10.4 pct: SC Securities

[size=16]July 29, 2015 (LBO) – Ceylon Grain Elevators PLC (GRAN.N), Sri Lanka’s largest operator in the poultry industry, could grow revenue by 10.4 percent and net profit by 12.2 percent annually in the next four years, according to a research report by SC Securities.
This would give the share a 12-month price target of 70 rupees. The company was trading at 65 rupees, up 4.5 percent, on Wednesday.
According to SC Securities, rising consumer demand due to revised public sector salaries and higher per capita income should drive the top line. The surge in tourist arrivals may also contribute to stronger consumer demand for its products.
“We expect the price ceiling imposed on a Kg of chicken to be lifted in the forth coming period, with this the large scale broiler farms would ramp up the production triggering more demand for feed and DOC,” they said.
Ceylon Grain Elevators and its subsidiaries manufacture feeds under the Prima and Farmer’s Choice brands. They operate poultry breeder farms and engage in processing, packaging and retailing of poultry and other meat products.
One of its subsidiaries is Three Acre Farms PLC (TAFL.N).
Among the downside factors, the stockbroking firm noted that a depreciation of the rupee increases costs as more than 50 percent of raw materials are imported.
The re-banning of food maize importation could also drive maize prices up, while outbreaks of disease could affect its stock of day old chicks.
SC Securities currently has a ‘buy’ recommendation for the stock.[/size]

stockback wrote:

nis2010 wrote:

kassachandi wrote:mr valuepick what will be the target for GRAN before the release of reports

bull is over, who bought it at current price will be LK buffalo

A -  a value

Bull Trend
3A up and 1A down

Bear Trend
3A down and 1A up


I am not worry about 1A down next two three days. GRAN and TAFL are in Up- trend now.
we will see it

investors are selling their GRAN before price going down further. i think if the price go down then good to enter / what do you think ???

Its already recovering

kassachandi wrote:Its already recovering

someone is trying to push down GRAn by selling 1 share at low rate when the share price going up. 

From rock bottom point GRAN has started to to move up. Being high demanding share in four-five years back, certain management issues coupled with high cost of production slowed down its progress.

Latest reports reveal that business strategies had been revised with a view to meet market competition by improving new methods. If management efforts are successful they will step into better market position by year 2017 mesmerizing the past.