VALLIBEL POWER ERATHNA PLC (VPEL.N0000)

GroundedKestrel wrote:Well done TuskerLK! Right on the money.

Any thoughts from how it will go from here?

Don't expect a similar performance on the Q4.

Q4 will generally a dry season, thus the bottom line is also low. my workings indicates a group Q4 PAT for nearly 30mn. therefore we can safely assume that the EPS for the current year will be less than 1.25. thereby VPEL is trading at a PE of 6.5 times.

Going forward the tariff may come down owing to the low international crude oil prices, which is one important parameter in computing the avoided cost tariff, which is paid to all three power plants owned by VPEL. however the impact is not directly proportional to the crude oil price drop in the recent past, due to the fact that the actual avoided cost tariff paid is the average of last couple of years's computed tariffs.

Given that in mind i'm expecting a maximum of 10% reduction in the tariff,however the reduction of finance cost due to the repayment of facilities obtained from its last two projects would reduce the impact. Overall I expect a EPS of 1.03 for FY 2015/16 which would give a forward PE of 8 times. I'm still positive about the earning potential.

Although VPEL is quite a dividend paying company, they seems to have no plans to invest in any further projects, which limits the long term growth of the company.

My guess is Dr.T is in action from VLL disposal proceeds.

TuskerLK wrote:My guess is Dr.T is in action from VLL disposal proceeds.

It has moved very quickly after a period of stagnation. Wonder if the current buyer, whoever he is, stops buying whether the current price be sustained

EquityChamp wrote:It has moved very quickly after a period of stagnation. Wonder if the current buyer, whoever he is, stops buying whether the current price be sustained

VPEL is fundamentally strong & good dividend paying company is the market.

Remember Dividend Plus Capital Gain

SHARK aka TAH wrote:As same as my previous thread... i am opening a special thread for all VPEL

Who is with me for an epic journey with VPEL towards Double Digits

This one with full of surprises.

I am in

Big thanks 4 shark

playsmart wrote:Remember Dividend Plus Capital Gain

there is a possibility of the share falling to 7.00 after XD so by waiting to collect Dividend you might lose your capital gain too.

[quote="Daniel260476"]

playsmart wrote:Remember Dividend Plus Capital Gain

there is a possibility of the share falling to 7.00 after XD so by waiting to collect Dividend you might lose your capital gain too. [/quote\\


No one is that fool to sell at 7.00. If so I buy couple of Million shares

Vptilak wrote:

Daniel260476 wrote:

playsmart wrote:Remember Dividend Plus Capital Gain

there is a possibility of the share falling to 7.00 after XD so by waiting to collect Dividend you might lose your capital gain too. [/quote\\


No one is that fool to sell at 7.00. If so I buy couple of Million shares

I don,t think it falls to 7,But these prices are better to sell,.....

those who couldnt get in, saying bla bla stories.. dnt care this will hit 10+ , & settled around 9 after dividend.

:DDividend + capital Gain

Still remained at 9 & 9.10 y?

Dhehan wrote:Still remained at 9 & 9.10   y?

like i said it is going down, tommorow 8.70, monday 8.50 and XD game over.

Daniel260476 wrote:

Dhehan wrote:Still remained at 9 & 9.10   y?

like i said it is going down, tommorow 8.70, monday 8.50 and XD game over.

don't put panic post like this

slmarket2 wrote:

Daniel260476 wrote:

Dhehan wrote:Still remained at 9 & 9.10   y?

like i said it is going down, tommorow 8.70, monday 8.50 and XD game over.

don't put panic post like this

why do you think it is a panic post it is the truth..if you have a better explanation for a better outcome of this stock why don't you post your theory.

Daniel260476 wrote:

slmarket2 wrote:

Daniel260476 wrote:

Dhehan wrote:Still remained at 9 & 9.10   y?

like i said it is going down, tommorow 8.70, monday 8.50 and XD game over.

don't put panic post like this

why do you think it is a panic post it is the truth..if you have a better explanation for a better outcome of this stock why don't you post your theory.  

unless and otherwise you're a 100% trader who runs on credit, there is nothing to worry about these fluctuations. In fact VPEL is one of the best stock in the CSE in terms of Dividend payout as well as the fundamentals. it's a good medium term stock.

TuskerLK wrote:

Daniel260476 wrote:

slmarket2 wrote:

Daniel260476 wrote:

Dhehan wrote:Still remained at 9 & 9.10   y?

like i said it is going down, tommorow 8.70, monday 8.50 and XD game over.

don't put panic post like this

why do you think it is a panic post it is the truth..if you have a better explanation for a better outcome of this stock why don't you post your theory.  

unless and otherwise you're a 100% trader who runs on credit, there is nothing to worry about these fluctuations. In fact VPEL is one of the best stock in the CSE in terms of Dividend payout as well as the fundamentals. it's a good medium term stock.

TuskerLK i am not talking about the reputation of the stock what i am saying the fall in the price after xd there are guy who want to collect dividend and capital gain so just informing about the price drop. if it should fall below 8.40, what i am saying is they should sell at the present price level and re enter after XD. cprrect me if i am not right

Daniel260476 wrote:

TuskerLK wrote:

unless and otherwise you're a 100% trader who runs on credit, there is nothing to worry about these fluctuations. In fact VPEL is one of the best stock in the CSE in terms of Dividend payout as well as the fundamentals. it's a good medium term stock.

TuskerLK i am not talking about the reputation of the stock what i am saying the fall in the price after xd there are guy who want to collect dividend and capital gain so just informing about the price drop. if it should fall below 8.40, what i am saying is they should sell at the present price level and re enter after XD. cprrect me if i am not right

I don't think so, the share price will drop by 50 cents soon after XD, but by then you'll be entitle for the dividend of 50 cents, if you sell now and re enter after the price drop, your ultimate position will be the same, because you'll not be entitle for the dividend. isn't it.

those who are better off will be the one who managed to sell at 9.10 and re enter at least by 8.40 or below.

TuskerLK wrote:

Daniel260476 wrote:

TuskerLK wrote:

unless and otherwise you're a 100% trader who runs on credit, there is nothing to worry about these fluctuations. In fact VPEL is one of the best stock in the CSE in terms of Dividend payout as well as the fundamentals. it's a good medium term stock.

TuskerLK i am not talking about the reputation of the stock what i am saying the fall in the price after xd there are guy who want to collect dividend and capital gain so just informing about the price drop. if it should fall below 8.40, what i am saying is they should sell at the present price level and re enter after XD. cprrect me if i am not right

I don't think so, the share price will drop by 50 cents soon after XD, but by then you'll be entitle for the dividend of 50 cents, if you sell now and re enter after the price drop, your ultimate position will be the same, because you'll not be entitle for the dividend. isn't it.

those who are better off will be the one who managed to sell at 9.10 and re enter at least by 8.40 or below.

don't you think the price will drop further tomorrow..who know what the asi will be tomorrow

Daniel260476 wrote:

TuskerLK wrote:

Daniel260476 wrote:

TuskerLK wrote:

unless and otherwise you're a 100% trader who runs on credit, there is nothing to worry about these fluctuations. In fact VPEL is one of the best stock in the CSE in terms of Dividend payout as well as the fundamentals. it's a good medium term stock.

TuskerLK i am not talking about the reputation of the stock what i am saying the fall in the price after xd there are guy who want to collect dividend and capital gain so just informing about the price drop. if it should fall below 8.40, what i am saying is they should sell at the present price level and re enter after XD. cprrect me if i am not right

I don't think so, the share price will drop by 50 cents soon after XD, but by then you'll be entitle for the dividend of 50 cents, if you sell now and re enter after the price drop, your ultimate position will be the same, because you'll not be entitle for the dividend. isn't it.

those who are better off will be the one who managed to sell at 9.10 and re enter at least by 8.40 or below.

don't you think the price will drop further tomorrow..who know what the asi will be tomorrow

Market runs with an uncertainty, who expected the price to go up to 9.10 yesterday and who knows it may touch 10.00 tomorrow.

TuskerLK wrote:

Daniel260476 wrote:

TuskerLK wrote:

Daniel260476 wrote:

TuskerLK wrote:

unless and otherwise you're a 100% trader who runs on credit, there is nothing to worry about these fluctuations. In fact VPEL is one of the best stock in the CSE in terms of Dividend payout as well as the fundamentals. it's a good medium term stock.

TuskerLK i am not talking about the reputation of the stock what i am saying the fall in the price after xd there are guy who want to collect dividend and capital gain so just informing about the price drop. if it should fall below 8.40, what i am saying is they should sell at the present price level and re enter after XD. cprrect me if i am not right

I don't think so, the share price will drop by 50 cents soon after XD, but by then you'll be entitle for the dividend of 50 cents, if you sell now and re enter after the price drop, your ultimate position will be the same, because you'll not be entitle for the dividend. isn't it.

those who are better off will be the one who managed to sell at 9.10 and re enter at least by 8.40 or below.

don't you think the price will drop further tomorrow..who know what the asi will be tomorrow

Market runs with an uncertainty, who expected the price to go up to 9.10 yesterday and who knows it may touch 10.00 tomorrow.

yes possible low volume traded today comparing to the other days i even saw a 2 million buy order get filled within seconds @ Rs 9.00 yesterday.

Yes TLK,
correct hope
1>this is drop and settle around 8.2-8.4 after XD.
If u Sell now @ 9.0 -8.9 U dont get Divdnt
u can re enter @ 8.2-8.4
but u have to pay 1% when u r selling or buying
so if u r selling now and then buying u have to pay 2%

so no point of selling and re enter with this counter.

Get the dividend and then u have money. if u wish to sell later or not.

TuskerLK wrote:

Daniel260476 wrote:

TuskerLK wrote:

unless and otherwise you're a 100% trader who runs on credit, there is nothing to worry about these fluctuations. In fact VPEL is one of the best stock in the CSE in terms of Dividend payout as well as the fundamentals. it's a good medium term stock.

TuskerLK i am not talking about the reputation of the stock what i am saying the fall in the price after xd there are guy who want to collect dividend and capital gain so just informing about the price drop. if it should fall below 8.40, what i am saying is they should sell at the present price level and re enter after XD. cprrect me if i am not right

I don't think so, the share price will drop by 50 cents soon after XD, but by then you'll be entitle for the dividend of 50 cents, if you sell now and re enter after the price drop, your ultimate position will be the same, because you'll not be entitle for the dividend. isn't it.

those who are better off will be the one who managed to sell at 9.10 and re enter at least by 8.40 or below.

this is rubbish. mehema baluwoth dividend nodena shares ganna wenne.

anyway it won't fall much. even if so it will go up soon

Correct

slmarket2 wrote:this is rubbish. mehema baluwoth dividend nodena shares ganna wenne.

anyway it won't fall much. even if so it will go up soon

Daniel260476 wrote:

TuskerLK wrote:

Daniel260476 wrote:

TuskerLK wrote:

Daniel260476 wrote:

TuskerLK wrote:

unless and otherwise you're a 100% trader who runs on credit, there is nothing to worry about these fluctuations. In fact VPEL is one of the best stock in the CSE in terms of Dividend payout as well as the fundamentals. it's a good medium term stock.

TuskerLK i am not talking about the reputation of the stock what i am saying the fall in the price after xd there are guy who want to collect dividend and capital gain so just informing about the price drop. if it should fall below 8.40, what i am saying is they should sell at the present price level and re enter after XD. cprrect me if i am not right

I don't think so, the share price will drop by 50 cents soon after XD, but by then you'll be entitle for the dividend of 50 cents, if you sell now and re enter after the price drop, your ultimate position will be the same, because you'll not be entitle for the dividend. isn't it.

those who are better off will be the one who managed to sell at 9.10 and re enter at least by 8.40 or below.

don't you think the price will drop further tomorrow..who know what the asi will be tomorrow

Market runs with an uncertainty, who expected the price to go up to 9.10 yesterday and who knows it may touch 10.00 tomorrow.

yes possible low volume traded today comparing to the other days i even saw a 2 million buy order get filled within seconds @ Rs 9.00 yesterday.  

it was Dr.TS who bought those shares, he might become active again as he ha quite a large amount of money from VLL disposal

TuskerLK wrote:

Daniel260476 wrote:

TuskerLK wrote:

Daniel260476 wrote:

TuskerLK wrote:

Daniel260476 wrote:

TuskerLK wrote:

unless and otherwise you're a 100% trader who runs on credit, there is nothing to worry about these fluctuations. In fact VPEL is one of the best stock in the CSE in terms of Dividend payout as well as the fundamentals. it's a good medium term stock.

TuskerLK i am not talking about the reputation of the stock what i am saying the fall in the price after xd there are guy who want to collect dividend and capital gain so just informing about the price drop. if it should fall below 8.40, what i am saying is they should sell at the present price level and re enter after XD. cprrect me if i am not right

I don't think so, the share price will drop by 50 cents soon after XD, but by then you'll be entitle for the dividend of 50 cents, if you sell now and re enter after the price drop, your ultimate position will be the same, because you'll not be entitle for the dividend. isn't it.

those who are better off will be the one who managed to sell at 9.10 and re enter at least by 8.40 or below.

don't you think the price will drop further tomorrow..who know what the asi will be tomorrow

Market runs with an uncertainty, who expected the price to go up to 9.10 yesterday and who knows it may touch 10.00 tomorrow.

yes possible low volume traded today comparing to the other days i even saw a 2 million buy order get filled within seconds @ Rs 9.00 yesterday.  

it was Dr.TS who bought those shares, he might become active again as he ha quite a large amount of money from VLL disposal

that good, there is a good chance the share price might go further up even after XD..my stupid broker said to sell when it was 8.30. i guess he was misleading me.

good days ahead for VPEL holders

Daniel260476 wrote:

TuskerLK wrote:

Daniel260476 wrote:

TuskerLK wrote:

Daniel260476 wrote:

TuskerLK wrote:

Daniel260476 wrote:

TuskerLK wrote:

unless and otherwise you're a 100% trader who runs on credit, there is nothing to worry about these fluctuations. In fact VPEL is one of the best stock in the CSE in terms of Dividend payout as well as the fundamentals. it's a good medium term stock.

TuskerLK i am not talking about the reputation of the stock what i am saying the fall in the price after xd there are guy who want to collect dividend and capital gain so just informing about the price drop. if it should fall below 8.40, what i am saying is they should sell at the present price level and re enter after XD. cprrect me if i am not right

I don't think so, the share price will drop by 50 cents soon after XD, but by then you'll be entitle for the dividend of 50 cents, if you sell now and re enter after the price drop, your ultimate position will be the same, because you'll not be entitle for the dividend. isn't it.

those who are better off will be the one who managed to sell at 9.10 and re enter at least by 8.40 or below.

don't you think the price will drop further tomorrow..who know what the asi will be tomorrow

Market runs with an uncertainty, who expected the price to go up to 9.10 yesterday and who knows it may touch 10.00 tomorrow.

yes possible low volume traded today comparing to the other days i even saw a 2 million buy order get filled within seconds @ Rs 9.00 yesterday.  

it was Dr.TS who bought those shares, he might become active again as he ha quite a large amount of money from VLL disposal

that good, there is a good chance the share price might go further up even after XD..my stupid broker said to sell when it was 8.30. i guess  he was misleading me.

good days ahead for VPEL holders

Everybody make mistakes in reading the market bro, I also did the dumb thing by selling half of my holding at 8.30 and next day tried to re enter at 8.40 when the share was trading at 8.50. by evening it shot up. but I can't blame anyone as I was acting on my own.

By the way, anybody watching HPWR?? I have a strong feeling that they might give away a hefty dividend.

VPEL catch 10/- before 17th.