2. Does the company have too much debt? The main point of an IPO is to raise enough capital to clean up the balance sheet and grow the business. But some deals are done simply because the company's investors have sucked all the money out of the business and loaded it up with debt in the hopes of flipping it to new investors.
3. Is this a "me-too" deal? In the IPO market, success begets success. If a leading player in an industry pulls off a popular IPO, all of its rivals will sit up and take note. So when the bankers come calling with an offer to put together an IPO, it seems like the right move.
The trouble is, once a bunch of companies in the same industry all raise a lot of money, they start spending heavily on new products, advertising, acquisitions and anything else that will give them a return on their IPO proceeds. Before you know it, the whole industry is distorted as spending rises too high and profits start to slump. Any time you see a host of companies going public at the same time, you should probably think about cashing out.
4. Has the IPO been delayed several times? Ask your broker about the history of the IPO. Sometimes you'll discover that this is a company's second or third attempt at going public. And that's trouble. Repeated attempts to go public means that investors had little interest the first or second time around. If those previous investors looked at a possible deal and took a pass, that's a likely sign that the company has some unappealing aspects.
5. Does management have a good track record? When I look at IPOs, I like to trace the history of management. Do they have a good track record with previous companies? More specifically, have they made money for investors in the past? Quality companies will seek to hire savvy, experienced managers a year or two before a company comes public.
Conversely, if management does not have much of a track record besides starting that business, they may be in over their heads. There are a ton of examples of people who are outstanding entrepreneurs, but not very good business managers; running a public company takes a completely different set of skills than starting up a company.
IPOs can make you plenty of money -- if you find the right deal. I actually prefer to wait these deals out with the hope that I'll find some gems after the (almost) inevitable post-IPO price slump. Regardless, it's hard to ignore the IPO market now that it's gearing up for a banner year. With the proper research, a well-timed investment in a solid IPO can make for a very good year, indeed.
sourced from an article by David Sterman
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