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Some Charts worth looking at them. Price Gainers and Price losers/ Direction of All share index.

+11
Jiggysaurus
Meman
stevenapple
VALUEPICK
dudi
epicresearch1
barba
dhanurrox
anges
SHARK aka TAH
FLOWER2
15 posters

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Go down  Message [Page 4 of 4]

Eng Krishantha


Expert
Expert

FLOWER2 wrote:These are the ones to watch in September. As long as they build boxes one top of another /have strong charts stay bullish.

JKH, SAMP, DFCC, NDB, HNB, COMB, SPEN, SEYB, UDPL,CTEA, ELPL,PALM, TSML, TPL, MPRH, BOPL, TAFL, MAL, TYRE, BFL,MASK, DIPD, PARQ, SHL, FLCH, SFIN RCL, DIPD HAPU, PMB, MBSL, PLC GRAN, BALA, LHCL. AEL, PLC, RWSL, STAF, LGL and MADU

Cheers.

Shocked Shocked Shocked

FLOWER2


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

FLOWER2 wrote:I am studying technical side of stocks in the following bubble chart and Direction of All share index. It is very interesting. Last six month has shown some strength. Time to  study technical strength for next six months.

http://Deleted/portal/LKCSE/bubbleChart.html

Price Gainers and Price losers- There are  top gainers and some losers.

https://nz.finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=%5ECSE#symbol=%5ECSE;range=6m

OLOMBO IND ALL SHS (^CSE)-Colombo

Prev Close: 6,178.13
Open: 6,176.46

Day's Range: 6,167.81 - 6,191.96
52wk Range: 5,604.59 - 6,528.11


CSE One year return 25%. What will be the direction of CSE during next eight months? Is it right time to pick consumer staples, health care, hotels, less popular banks, less popular diversify, large, mid and small stocks?

http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=^CSE+Interactive

http://www.investing.com/indices/cse-all-share

Following Nicolas Darvas Criteria List could apply to the CSE from now onwards.

1. Double from 52 week low
2. All time high
3. Infant sector
4. Current earnings growth or expected growth
5. Low capitalization
6. High volume surge
7. Box or range near recent high

During next eight months:

Rapid momentum might appear from stocks like TAFL, SPEN, LGL

Other strong candidates for rapid momentum; MPRH, AHUN, MADU,

Secondary candidates: BFL, GRAN, DIPD, HVA, SHL, RWSL, FLCH, MASK, PABC, MGT, HAYC, BOPL, ACAP, DPL, ELPL, ABAN, RWSL

Slow and steady run: JKH, COMB, HNB, COMB, SAMP, CARS, CFIN, LFIN, SEYB, NTB, SUN, RCL, CERA, TPL, UDPL, BALA, HOPL,AGAL,ARPI,WATA

As long as boxes are building one top of another enjoy the market trend and trend for above stocks. Cheers.

FLOWER2


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

FLOWER2 wrote:Technically there are some supports for stocks listed below. Carefully should watch building their next boxes. Stocks go up from one box to another box.

CFIN, CHOT, BOPL, DFCC, JINS, GRAN, REXP, NDB, WATA, SUN, DOCK, SAMP and TAFL

Hope to update support for few more stocks.


Need to follow their boxes and charts again to get wise decisions.

FLOWER2


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

by FLOWER2 on Sun Apr 27, 2014 4:42 pm

FLOWER2 wrote:Watch for the price of a stock to form a box with a lower bound and an upper bound. When the boxes pile one on top of another the opportunity to buy occurs when the stock penetrates the uppermost part of the topmost box. For example JKH traded for considerable period in a box from Rs.190 to Rs200. When it penetrated the uppermost part that is Rs.200 it had a run. We are seeing this in some stocks now. Now both SAMP and CFIN should have a box from Rs.190 to 200. If they penetrate Rs.200 then look for more activities. Study and try to apply box method to stocks listed above. Those who have other technical ideas also can apply. Look for how boxes formed and going to form boxes for stocks as follows.

Added boxes for some more stocks.

TAFL= Rs. 35 to Rs.40 and Rs.40 to Rs.45
REXP=Rs.50 to Rs.59 and Rs.60 to Rs.65
TPL= Rs. 20 to 25 and Rs.25 to Rs.30
SUN=Rs.25 to Rs.30 and Rs.30 to Rs.35
WATA=Rs.8 to Rs.11 and Rs.11 to Rs.14
BOPL= Rs.8 to Rs.11 and Rs.11 to Rs.14
MPRH=Rs.15 to Rs.20 and Rs.20 to Rs.25
DFCC= Rs.140 to Rs.150 and Rs.150 to Rs.160
SAMP= Rs.180 to Rs.190 and Rs.190 to Rs.200.
CFIN= Rs.180 to Rs.190 and Rs.190 to Rs.200
NDB= Rs.180 to Rs.190 and Rs. 190 to Rs.200
RCL=Rs.80 to 90 and Rs.100 to Rs.110
LWL= Rs.70 to Rs.80
LHCL=RS.40 to Rs.45 and Rs.45 to Rs.50
AHUN=Rs.70 to Rs.80
SPEN=Rs.90 to Rs.100
BFL=Rs.120 to Rs.130 and Rs.130 to Rs.140
GRAN= RS.30 to Rs.35 and Rs.35 to Rs.40

Darvas box method followed a fundamental approach with a technical analysis approach when it came to actually buying the stock. Darvas talked about this idea of selecting only stocks that were in new and growing industries. Successful investors and traders have made use of this box method to trade stocks in a period of less than two years. As long as the boxes pile one on top of another continuously investors or traders will keep their stocks for a long time.

Revisited stocks in the list. From April to September above stocks have gained considerably building new boxes. Time to rotate and narrow down stocks to wining ones.

The biggest gained reported from REXP April to September 2014. BFL still haven’t built strong boxes. Made new boxes & came back to the box trading below Rs.130 again. BOPL just managed to pass one box higher. Others have passed few boxes. What will be the next big winner?

It is wise to watch boxes, charts and coming fundamentals to pick wining stocks in the market. Among above list MPRH, TAFL, SUN looking good.

My stock screener identified the wish list items.

Top industries from next quarter onwards
Stocks average return over 15%
Positive Sales and EPS Surprises
Positive estimated Sales and EPS Growth
Price to Sales Ratio less than or equal to 1
Expanding Margins
Higher ROE
P/E and Peg
Net asset per share
Debt equity ratio

NC


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

FLOWER2 wrote:
FLOWER2 wrote:I am studying technical side of stocks in the following bubble chart and Direction of All share index. It is very interesting. Last six month has shown some strength. Time to  study technical strength for next six months.

http://Deleted/portal/LKCSE/bubbleChart.html

Price Gainers and Price losers- There are  top gainers and some losers.

https://nz.finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=%5ECSE#symbol=%5ECSE;range=6m

OLOMBO IND ALL SHS (^CSE)-Colombo

Prev Close: 6,178.13
Open: 6,176.46

Day's Range: 6,167.81 - 6,191.96
52wk Range: 5,604.59 - 6,528.11


CSE One year return 25%. What will be the direction of CSE during next eight months?  Is it right time to pick consumer staples, health care, hotels, less popular banks, less popular diversify, large, mid and small stocks?  

http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=^CSE+Interactive

http://www.investing.com/indices/cse-all-share

Following Nicolas Darvas Criteria List  could apply to the CSE from now onwards.

1. Double from 52 week low
2. All time high
3. Infant sector
4. Current earnings growth or expected growth
5. Low capitalization
6. High volume surge
7. Box or range near recent high

During next eight months:

Rapid momentum might appear from stocks like TAFL, SPEN, LGL

Other strong candidates for rapid momentum; MPRH, AHUN, MADU,

Secondary candidates: BFL, GRAN, DIPD, HVA, SHL, RWSL, FLCH, MASK, PABC, MGT, HAYC, BOPL, ACAP, DPL, ELPL, ABAN, RWSL

Slow and steady run: JKH, COMB, HNB, COMB, SAMP, CARS, CFIN, LFIN, SEYB, NTB, SUN, RCL, CERA, TPL, UDPL, BALA, HOPL,AGAL,ARPI,WATA

As long as boxes are building one top of another enjoy the market trend and trend for above stocks. Cheers.

I've read about Darvas, but not much. First he was a dancer.Later, he was very successful, in stock trading. He pick stocks which're in accumulation phase. Later it was populated as "Darvas Box".
And also, there's a charting method made by Japanese named "Renko" means bricks. Its also a box charting system. Don't know which system you're talking about...

FLOWER2

FLOWER2
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

You r right. He was a dancer. However he was successful in stocks later.

That system, the Darvas box theory, relies on a very simple technical analysis idea.

When the stock breaks out above the top of the box, it created a buying opportunity.

In a bull market it can make use of nicely. Boxes for stocks like SAMP, REXP, and COMB LFIN built up one top of another nicely.

Darvas box method followed a fundamental approach with a technical analysis approach when it came to actually buying the stock. Darvas talked about this idea of selecting only stocks that were in new and growing industries. Successful investors and traders have made use of this box method to trade stocks in a period of less than two years. As long as the boxes pile one on top of another continuously investors or traders will keep their stocks for a long time.

I haven’t heard about  Japanese named "Renko”

I got some ideas about this Renko bricks.

The smaller the size, the higher number of boxes, and so more details of the price changes. The larger the size, the lower number of boxes and less details from the small price changes and noises.On a Renko chart, time and volume have no role. Only the price changes are considered.

@NC What are the stocks in the accumulation phase according to your tech analysis? Cheers.

NC

NC
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

Thats true in Renko there's no any time axis or period.
As you know many stocks break out its accumulation, and ran. However, I've recently noticed AAF.N looks like accumulating...
Very Happy

FLOWER2

FLOWER2
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

NC wrote:Thats true in Renko there's no any time axis or period.
As you know many stocks break out its accumulation, and ran. However, I've recently noticed AAF.N looks like accumulating...
Very Happy

Cheers. Surprise to see there are stocks nobody is accumulating. Why?
Gran,SPEN, MPRH, LGL,PABC,CARS are in accumulation phase or just came out of that line?

NC

NC
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

FLOWER2 wrote:
NC wrote:Thats true in Renko there's no any time axis or period.
As you know many stocks break out its accumulation, and ran. However, I've recently noticed AAF.N looks like accumulating...
Very Happy

Cheers. Surprise to see there are stocks nobody is accumulating. Why?
Gran,SPEN, MPRH, LGL,PABC,CARS are in accumulation phase or just came out of that line?

Since, market are fractals in nature, the accumulation is depend on the period we analyze such as , intraday, daily weekly , monthly, yearly..
I haven't much studied above, except Lgl and Gran..

FLOWER2

FLOWER2
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

NC wrote:
FLOWER2 wrote:
NC wrote:Thats true in Renko there's no any time axis or period.
As you know many stocks break out its accumulation, and ran. However, I've recently noticed AAF.N looks like accumulating...
Very Happy

Cheers. Surprise to see there are stocks nobody is accumulating. Why?
Gran,SPEN, MPRH, LGL,PABC,CARS are in accumulation phase or just came out of that line?

Since, market are fractals in nature, the accumulation is depend on the period we analyze such as , intraday, daily weekly , monthly, yearly..
I haven't much studied above, except Lgl and Gran..

cheers. I suppose it is best time to study chart and boxes for LGL and Gran.

FLOWER2

FLOWER2
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics

Strong activities can be expected during next six to eight months. Strong boxes are building in new sectors, stocks. Eg: LIOC, MPRH, UDPL, PLC, ODEL. .Building strong boxes were limited to few sectors like banking and finance, diversify and few more stocks in the past. Broader market should build strong boxes hereafter. More strong boxes should build in new bullish stocks and bullish sectors in the coming months. Cheers

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